Long Trade on XRP (CatchTheWave)
With 3525.63 XRP at 1.083$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0877 (0.42 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0809 (0.21 %)
Long Trade on XRP (CatchTheWave)
With 3525.63 XRP at 1.083$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0877 (0.42 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0809 (0.21 %)
Position
Entry 1.0832$
Qty 3525.6269 XRP
Size 3818.9591$ (margin 100$) (leverage 38)
Risk Setup
TP 1.0877 (+0.42%)
TP $ 15.87$
SL 1.0809 (-0.21%)
SL $ 8.11$
RR 1.96
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5137
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.75×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.06×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 34.31×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 19:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.742422 15m : 0.786487 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 02/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 02/08 18:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5612 | r1h: 0.166% · r4h: 0.657% · r1d: 2.59% · r3d: 0.22% · ema21_slope: 0.0511% · dist_ema21: 0.828% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5582 | rs_1h: 0.270% · rs_4h: 0.449% · rs_1d: 1.49% · rs_3d: 2.28% · beta_24h: 0.885 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7352 | rvol_20: 2.25× · zscore_50: 1.974 · trend: 42.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6247 | ADX: 27.1 (trend) · Chop: 50.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.420% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.379% | 1.8R | -0.046% | 0.2R | 8.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.379% | 1.8R | -0.397% | 1.9R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.379% | 1.8R | -0.979% | 4.6R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.379% | 1.8R | -1.523% | 7.2R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.379% | 1.8R | -1.976% | 9.3R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.87 | bear_high | -5.92% | -0.01 | 01/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.82 | range_high | -0.53% | +0.13 | 02/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | near -1.8ATR | 0.76 | range_low | +0.02% | +0.11 | 02/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_low_confirmed |
35%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.40% | +0.01 | 02/08 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 2.436×ATR | p0 | +0.1×ATR | p12 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 3.991×ATR | p61 | +1.273×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.881×ATR | p17 | +1.161×ATR | p82 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 0.661×ATR | p0 | +0.336×ATR | p27 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63366.5
-4.0178E-5
63364
0.742422
63236.5
0.00201465
63364
0.786487
63371.5
0.000732689
63418
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1.0925
198
0.7521
0.5754
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0.2083
0.4183
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0.5512
0.7096
0.458
0.6421
0.7857
0.1262
0.0921
1
1.0869
2.2216
0.6
0.4
1
1
1
0.5833
0.6359
2.8563
0.5
1.9265
3.1163
2.2216
0.345
0.3324
0.56
-0.117
0.3861
0.4581
0.9611
0.7857
-2.3631
8.6647
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:07 | 1.08320000 | 0% |
| 2 | 20:32 | 1.08130000 | -0.175% |
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 16:40:00 | 1.0811 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 17:20:00 | 1.0825 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 18:40:00 | 1.0862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 18:50:00 | 1.0802 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 19:30:00 | 1.0794 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 19:50:00 | 1.082 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 20:25:00 | 1.0795 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:40:00 | 1.0897 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 22:15:00 | 1.0925 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 23:05:00 | 1.0831 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 07:30:00 | 1.0846 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 1.0762 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 09:45:00 | 1.0831 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 13:00:00 | 1.0767 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 14:45:00 | 1.0827 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 1.0773 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 18:30:00 | 1.0862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 19:30:00 | 1.0794 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 22:15:00 | 1.0925 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 23:00:00 | 1.0831 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 15:00:00 | 1.0945 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 1.0571 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 1.0589 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 1.0669 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 1.0593 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 1.0656 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 1.0469 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 06:00:00 | 1.0852 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 1.0762 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 22:00:00 | 1.0925 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0832 | 1.0809 | 1.0877 | 1.96 | 1.3963 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0809 - 1.0832 = -0.0023
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0832 - 1.0877 = -0.0044999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0044999999999999 / -0.0023 = 1.9565
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3818.9591 | 100 | 3525.6269 | 38.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0023 = -3478.26
Taille de position USD = -3478.26 x 1.0832 = -3767.65
Donc, tu peux acheter -3478.26 avec un stoploss a 1.0809
Avec un position size USD de -3767.65$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3478.26 x -0.0023 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3478.26 x -0.0044999999999999 = 15.65
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.65$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.42 % | 15.87 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.21 % | 8.11 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.11 $ | -0.21 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2585 % | 121.76 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0832 | 1.0809 | 1.0877 | 1.96 | 1.3963 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0809 - 1.0832 = -0.0023
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0832 - 1.0877 = -0.0044999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0044999999999999 / -0.0023 = 1.9565
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.379% | 1.8R | -0.046% | 0.2R | 8.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.379% | 1.8R | -0.397% | 1.9R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.379% | 1.8R | -0.979% | 4.6R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.379% | 1.8R | -1.523% | 7.2R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.379% | 1.8R | -1.976% | 9.3R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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