Long Trade on SAGA

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02 Aug 2026 at 19:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on SAGA (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 20558.68 SAGA at 0.0129$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01319 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01248 (3.03 %)

SAGA LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Aug 2026 19:10 → 20:00 · 49 minutes

Position

Entry 0.01287$

Qty 20558.6822 SAGA

Size 264.5902$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.01319 (+2.49%)

TP $ 6.58$

SL 0.01248 (-3.03%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR 0.82

Status win PnL +0.23% / +0.62$ MAE -0.39% MFE +0.70% 0.2R expires 02 Aug 20:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=15 > threshold=10/37

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 56833)

#9 / 37 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 02/08/2026 19:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7289

Quality Score

0.585

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.3M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
02/08 19:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#9 / 37 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.03 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#9 / 37 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.03 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	3.16×ATR
4h	clear	6.39×ATR
1d	clear	104.86×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	early	OK
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 19:00 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

02/08 19:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 01/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/08 18:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

01/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

02/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

02/08 18:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1247

range compression range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	bear	expansion	—	-1
Tactical	range	range	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.57

Transition risk : 0.43

Score contribution (this trade) -1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.49

Snapshot évalué : 02/08 19:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 02/08/2026 19:00

Score brut

0.5853

Score SMA

0.5940

Rank

#9 / 37

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.7289

Rank Norm SMA

0.7925

Calculé le

02/08/2026 19:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6539	r1h: 0.465% · r4h: 0.699% · r1d: 4.85% · r3d: 5.80% · ema21_slope: 0.2310% · dist_ema21: 0.852%
Force Relative	25%	0.6463	rs_1h: 0.569% · rs_4h: 0.491% · rs_1d: 3.76% · rs_3d: 7.85% · beta_24h: -2.515
Volume	20%	0.1866	rvol_20: 0.06× · zscore_50: -0.200 · trend: -72.73%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6018	ADX: 20.8 (weak) · Chop: 47.1 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.282% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -3.030% (0.0004)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.699%	0.2R	-0.389%	0.1R	1.8×	12
1.2h ★	+0.699%	0.2R	-0.389%	0.1R	1.8×	14
2h	+2.253%	0.7R	-0.389%	0.1R	5.8×	24
4h	+2.331%	0.8R	-0.389%	0.1R	6.0×	48
8h	+3.419%	1.1R	-1.088%	0.4R	3.1×	96
12h	+3.419%	1.1R	-1.554%	0.5R	2.2×	144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 5.35

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	normal	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 37%	early	near -1.3ATR	—	0.39	bear_high	-5.92%	+0.38	01/08 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 43%	early	—	—	0.48	range_high	-0.53%	+0.54	02/08 16:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	—	0.30	range_low	+0.02%	+0.37	02/08 18:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	compression	bull_medium	60%	noisy_chop 43%	early	near -0.5ATR	—	—	range_low	+0.40%	-0.12	02/08 18:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	8b	—	1.985×ATR	p0	+0.315×ATR	p31
4h	↓ down	early	2b	—	1.876×ATR	p0	+0.417×ATR	p54
1h	↓ down	early	7b	—	2.671×ATR	p27	-0.063×ATR	p6
15m	↓ down	early	10b	—	1.013×ATR	p6	+0.381×ATR	p18

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.01248087
tp_price: 0.01319175
atr: 0.00015565
expires_at: 2026-08-03T05:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 4
total: 37
score: 0.6539
delta_2h: 0.0276
extension_atr: 0.09
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7289
confidence: 0.917

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.01287	0.01248	0.01319	0.82	0.0219

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.01287
Stop Loss: 0.01248
Take Profit: 0.01319

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.01248 - 0.01287 = -0.00039
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.01287 - 0.01319 = -0.00032
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00032 / -0.00039 = 0.8205

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
264.5902	100	20558.6822	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.00039

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00039 = -20512.82

Taille de position USD = -20512.82 x 0.01287 = -264

Donc, tu peux acheter -20512.82 avec un stoploss a 0.01248

Avec un position size USD de -264$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -20512.82 x -0.00039 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -20512.82 x -0.00032 = 6.56

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.56$

Résumé

Taille de position -20512.82
Taille de position USD -264
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 6.56
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8205

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.49 %	6.58 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.03 %	8.02 $

PNL	PNL %
0.62 $	0.23

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.3885 %	12.82 %	4

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.01287	0.01248	0.01319	0.82	0.0219

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.01287
Stop Loss: 0.01248
Take Profit: 0.01319

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.01248 - 0.01287 = -0.00039
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.01287 - 0.01319 = -0.00032
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00032 / -0.00039 = 0.8205

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -3.030% (0.0004)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.699%	0.2R	-0.389%	0.1R	1.8×	12
1.2h ★	+0.699%	0.2R	-0.389%	0.1R	1.8×	14
2h	+2.253%	0.7R	-0.389%	0.1R	5.8×	24
4h	+2.331%	0.8R	-0.389%	0.1R	6.0×	48
8h	+3.419%	1.1R	-1.088%	0.4R	3.1×	96
12h	+3.419%	1.1R	-1.554%	0.5R	2.2×	144

computed 2 months ago

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