Long Trade on DOGE (CatchTheWave)
With 51793.34 DOGE at 0.0704$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07068 (0.44 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07021 (0.23 %)
Long Trade on DOGE (CatchTheWave)
With 51793.34 DOGE at 0.0704$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07068 (0.44 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07021 (0.23 %)
Position
Entry 0.07037$
Qty 51793.3446 DOGE
Size 3644.5423$ (margin 100$) (leverage 36)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07068 (+0.44%)
TP $ 16.06$
SL 0.07021 (-0.23%)
SL $ 8.29$
RR 1.94
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5040
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.28×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.14×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.98×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 20:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.647339 15m : 0.756487 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 02/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 02/08 20:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5251 | r1h: -0.092% · r4h: -0.065% · r1d: 2.27% · r3d: 0.16% · ema21_slope: 0.0562% · dist_ema21: 0.492% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5179 | rs_1h: -0.253% · rs_4h: -0.158% · rs_1d: 1.14% · rs_3d: 2.10% · beta_24h: 0.713 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1909 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -0.394 · trend: -37.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6635 | ADX: 24.4 (weak) · Chop: 43.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.516% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.554% | 2.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.601% | 2.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.070% | 4.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.019% | 8.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.019% | 8.9R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -5.66% | -0.26 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.83 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.19 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | range_medium |
40%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near -0.5ATR | near -1.3ATR | 0.68 | range_low | -0.13% | +0.09 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.63 | range_low | -0.02% | -0.03 | 02/08 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 30b | — | 3.543×ATR | p38 | +0.037×ATR | p5 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 3.249×ATR | p48 | +0.394×ATR | p42 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.215×ATR | p46 | +0.058×ATR | p10 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.883×ATR | p50 | -1.091×ATR | p78 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63392.2
-0.000539821
63358
0.647339
63253
0.00139006
63341
0.756487
63420.1
-0.00202097
63292
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6.1124
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:43 | 0.07036700 | -0.004% |
| 2 | 20:49 | 0.07026500 | -0.149% |
| 3 | 20:54 | 0.07028700 | -0.118% |
| 4 | 21:07 | 0.07020200 | -0.239% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 17:40:00 | 0.070637 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 18:35:00 | 0.071201 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 19:30:00 | 0.070609 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 19:50:00 | 0.070802 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 20:45:00 | 0.070461 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:55:00 | 0.070662 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 22:15:00 | 0.071436 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 23:15:00 | 0.070509 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 00:00:00 | 0.070902 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 00:30:00 | 0.070257 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 0.06983 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 09:45:00 | 0.070219 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:45:00 | 0.069896 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 14:45:00 | 0.070511 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 0.070137 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 18:30:00 | 0.071201 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 20:45:00 | 0.070461 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 22:15:00 | 0.071436 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 00:00:00 | 0.070902 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 00:30:00 | 0.070257 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 0.06848 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 19:00:00 | 0.070352 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 0.070249 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 0.069591 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 0.070195 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.0678 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 0.070553 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 0.06983 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 22:00:00 | 0.071436 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 00:00:00 | 0.070257 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07037 | 0.07021 | 0.07068 | 1.94 | 0.08595 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07021 - 0.07037 = -0.00016000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07037 - 0.07068 = -0.00031
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00031 / -0.00016000000000001 = 1.9375
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3644.5423 | 100 | 51793.3446 | 36.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00016000000000001 = -50000
Taille de position USD = -50000 x 0.07037 = -3518.5
Donc, tu peux acheter -50000 avec un stoploss a 0.07021
Avec un position size USD de -3518.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -50000 x -0.00016000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -50000 x -0.00031 = 15.5
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.5$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.44 % | 16.06 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.23 % | 8.29 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.29 $ | -0.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2757 % | 121.24 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07037 | 0.07021 | 0.07068 | 1.94 | 0.08595 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07021 - 0.07037 = -0.00016000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07037 - 0.07068 = -0.00031
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00031 / -0.00016000000000001 = 1.9375
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.554% | 2.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.601% | 2.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.070% | 4.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.019% | 8.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.019% | 8.9R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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