Long Trade on XRP (CatchTheWave)
With 3704.78 XRP at 1.08$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0846 (0.4 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0781 (0.2 %)
Long Trade on XRP (CatchTheWave)
With 3704.78 XRP at 1.08$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0846 (0.4 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0781 (0.2 %)
Position
Entry 1.0803$
Qty 3704.7843 XRP
Size 4002.2784$ (margin 100$) (leverage 40)
Risk Setup
TP 1.0846 (+0.4%)
TP $ 15.93$
SL 1.0781 (-0.2%)
SL $ 8.15$
RR 1.95
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5188
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.17×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.48×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 36.03×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 20:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.735623 15m : 0.779441 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 02/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 02/08 20:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5322 | r1h: -0.175% · r4h: 0.204% · r1d: 2.23% · r3d: 0.14% · ema21_slope: 0.0479% · dist_ema21: 0.393% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5192 | rs_1h: -0.336% · rs_4h: 0.111% · rs_1d: 1.09% · rs_3d: 2.07% · beta_24h: 0.845 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2337 | rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.771 · trend: 13.85% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6218 | ADX: 27.8 (trend) · Chop: 51.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.412% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.083% | 0.4R | -0.518% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.083% | 0.4R | -0.713% | 3.5R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.083% | 0.4R | -1.148% | 5.6R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.083% | 0.4R | -1.713% | 8.4R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.083% | 0.4R | -1.713% | 8.4R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.87 | bear_high | -5.66% | +0.01 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.82 | bear_high | -0.86% | +0.16 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 29% | early | near -1.1ATR | near -0.2ATR | 0.76 | range_low | -0.26% | +0.03 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_low |
29%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.08% | +0.02 | 02/08 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 2.479×ATR | p0 | +0.131×ATR | p16 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 3.72×ATR | p58 | +0.719×ATR | p65 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.471×ATR | p45 | -0.427×ATR | p45 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.369×ATR | p38 | -0.805×ATR | p64 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63397.6
-0.00182452
63282
0.735623
63267
0.000236736
63282
0.779441
63420.5
-0.00169639
63313
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 15:00:00
[1] => 1.0945
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 14:00:00
[1] => 1.0571
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 21:00:00
[1] => 1.0589
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 04:00:00
[1] => 1.0669
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 10:00:00
[1] => 1.0593
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 14:00:00
[1] => 1.0656
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-01 18:00:00
[1] => 1.0469
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 06:00:00
[1] => 1.0852
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 09:00:00
[1] => 1.0762
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 22:00:00
[1] => 1.0925
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.070938215103
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.42742984575357
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5145883664746
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 07:30:00
[1] => 1.0846
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 09:00:00
[1] => 1.0762
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 09:45:00
[1] => 1.0831
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 13:00:00
[1] => 1.0767
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 14:45:00
[1] => 1.0827
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 16:00:00
[1] => 1.0773
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 18:30:00
[1] => 1.0862
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 19:30:00
[1] => 1.0794
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 22:15:00
[1] => 1.0925
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 00:45:00
[1] => 1.08
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.116704805492
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.027777777777775
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1574074074074
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 18:40:00
[1] => 1.0862
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 18:50:00
[1] => 1.0802
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 19:30:00
[1] => 1.0794
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 19:50:00
[1] => 1.082
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 20:25:00
[1] => 1.0795
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 21:40:00
[1] => 1.0897
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 22:15:00
[1] => 1.0925
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-02 23:10:00
[1] => 1.0827
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 00:00:00
[1] => 1.0873
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-03 00:45:00
[1] => 1.08
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.64379656028694
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.027777777777775
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.67592592592591
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
1.0925
197
0.7488
0.5754
0.3221
0.2096
0.4142
1
0.314
0.5803
0.7096
0.7332
0.6585
0.7122
0.1041
0.0787
1
0.1751
1.1471
0.6
0.4
1
2
1
0.5808
0.6359
2.8563
0.5
1.9265
3.1163
1.1471
0.345
0.3027
0.92
-0.0282
0.4141
0.476
0.9623
0.7122
-2.7267
6.7471
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:49 | 1.08030000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:02 | 1.08000000 | -0.028% |
| 3 | 21:07 | 1.07950000 | -0.074% |
| 4 | 21:13 | 1.07930000 | -0.093% |
| 5 | 21:19 | 1.07650000 | -0.352% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 18:40:00 | 1.0862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 18:50:00 | 1.0802 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 19:30:00 | 1.0794 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 19:50:00 | 1.082 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 20:25:00 | 1.0795 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:40:00 | 1.0897 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 22:15:00 | 1.0925 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 23:10:00 | 1.0827 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 00:00:00 | 1.0873 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 00:45:00 | 1.08 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 07:30:00 | 1.0846 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 1.0762 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 09:45:00 | 1.0831 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 13:00:00 | 1.0767 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 14:45:00 | 1.0827 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 1.0773 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 18:30:00 | 1.0862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 19:30:00 | 1.0794 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 22:15:00 | 1.0925 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 00:45:00 | 1.08 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 15:00:00 | 1.0945 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 1.0571 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 1.0589 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 1.0669 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 1.0593 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 1.0656 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 1.0469 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 06:00:00 | 1.0852 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 1.0762 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 22:00:00 | 1.0925 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0803 | 1.0781 | 1.0846 | 1.95 | 1.3998 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0781 - 1.0803 = -0.0022
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0803 - 1.0846 = -0.0043
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0043 / -0.0022 = 1.9545
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4002.2784 | 100 | 3704.7843 | 40.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0022 = -3636.36
Taille de position USD = -3636.36 x 1.0803 = -3928.36
Donc, tu peux acheter -3636.36 avec un stoploss a 1.0781
Avec un position size USD de -3928.36$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3636.36 x -0.0022 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3636.36 x -0.0043 = 15.64
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.64$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.4 % | 15.93 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.2 % | 8.15 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.15 $ | -0.20 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2499 % | 122.74 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0803 | 1.0781 | 1.0846 | 1.95 | 1.3998 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0781 - 1.0803 = -0.0022
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0803 - 1.0846 = -0.0043
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0043 / -0.0022 = 1.9545
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0846
[entry_price] => 1.0803
[stop_loss] => 1.07788
[rr_ratio] => 1.78
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-03 01:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0846
[entry_price] => 1.0803
[stop_loss] => 1.07766
[rr_ratio] => 1.63
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-03 01:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0846
[entry_price] => 1.0803
[stop_loss] => 1.07744
[rr_ratio] => 1.5
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-03 01:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0846
[entry_price] => 1.0803
[stop_loss] => 1.077
[rr_ratio] => 1.3
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-03 01:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.083% | 0.4R | -0.518% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.083% | 0.4R | -0.713% | 3.5R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.083% | 0.4R | -1.148% | 5.6R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.083% | 0.4R | -1.713% | 8.4R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.083% | 0.4R | -1.713% | 8.4R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Aucun commentaire.