Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 377.63 LINK at 8.323$ per unit. Take profit: 8.3649 (0.51 %) & Stop Loss: 8.3013 (0.25 %)
Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 377.63 LINK at 8.323$ per unit. Take profit: 8.3649 (0.51 %) & Stop Loss: 8.3013 (0.25 %)
Position
Entry 8.3225$
Qty 377.6301 LINK
Size 3142.8268$ (margin 100$) (leverage 31)
Risk Setup
TP 8.3649 (+0.51%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 8.3013 (-0.25%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6806
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.51×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.43×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.06×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 21:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.709055 15m : 0.623139 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 02/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 02/08 21:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5280 | r1h: -0.338% · r4h: 0.139% · r1d: 3.50% · r3d: -0.97% · ema21_slope: 0.0657% · dist_ema21: 0.498% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5540 | rs_1h: 0.045% · rs_4h: 0.409% · rs_1d: 2.70% · rs_3d: 1.18% · beta_24h: 1.460 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4258 | rvol_20: 1.23× · zscore_50: 0.359 · trend: 14.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6690 | ADX: 28.3 (trend) · Chop: 46.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.605% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.145% | 0.6R | -0.388% | 1.5R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.145% | 0.6R | -1.108% | 4.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.145% | 0.6R | -1.108% | 4.4R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.145% | 0.6R | -1.984% | 7.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.145% | 0.6R | -1.984% | 7.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.85 | bear_high | -5.66% | +0.27 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.88 | bear_high | -1.20% | +0.09 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.80 | range_low | -0.42% | -0.00 | 02/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | range_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.08% | +0.05 | 02/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.737×ATR | p0 | +0.091×ATR | p11 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 3.984×ATR | p58 | +0.62×ATR | p60 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.155×ATR | p21 | -0.035×ATR | p4 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.267×ATR | p25 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63370.4
-0.00349452
63149
0.709055
63274
-0.00164376
63170
0.623139
63425.4
-0.00346044
63206
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8.451
196
0.6732
0.6228
0.3155
0.1999
0.41
1
0.5197
0.4884
0.5823
0.4337
0.5756
0.7147
0.137
0.0901
1
0.6252
1.5807
0.4
0.6
1
3
1
0.6002
0.5506
9.3572
0.5
1.2539
4.2916
1.5807
0.8063
0.2353
0.64
-0.2254
0.3656
0.4073
0.8583
0.7147
-3.7347
9.355
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:55 | 8.32250000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:02 | 8.31970000 | -0.034% |
| 3 | 22:08 | 8.31630000 | -0.074% |
| 4 | 22:13 | 8.30080000 | -0.261% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 20:15:00 | 8.349 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 21:55:00 | 8.3547 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 22:15:00 | 8.451 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 22:35:00 | 8.3583 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 22:55:00 | 8.4016 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 23:10:00 | 8.3516 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 00:00:00 | 8.3877 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 00:30:00 | 8.3335 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 01:05:00 | 8.3684 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 01:55:00 | 8.3225 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 09:30:00 | 8.3872 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:30:00 | 8.2648 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 14:00:00 | 8.2638 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 14:30:00 | 8.3086 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:15:00 | 8.248 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 18:30:00 | 8.3643 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 19:00:00 | 8.3107 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 19:30:00 | 8.3107 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 22:15:00 | 8.451 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 00:30:00 | 8.3335 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 8.3944 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 06:00:00 | 8.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 8.528 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 23:00:00 | 8.5202 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 8.0182 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 02:00:00 | 8.2417 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 7.8859 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 8.4099 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 8.248 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 22:00:00 | 8.451 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.3225 | 8.3013 | 8.3649 | 2 | 13.081 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.3013 - 8.3225 = -0.0212
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.3225 - 8.3649 = -0.042400000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.042400000000001 / -0.0212 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3142.8268 | 100 | 377.6301 | 31.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0212 = -377.36
Taille de position USD = -377.36 x 8.3225 = -3140.58
Donc, tu peux acheter -377.36 avec un stoploss a 8.3013
Avec un position size USD de -3140.58$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -377.36 x -0.0212 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -377.36 x -0.042400000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.51 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.25 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -0.25 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3881 % | 152.38 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.3225 | 8.3013 | 8.3649 | 2 | 13.081 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.3013 - 8.3225 = -0.0212
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.3225 - 8.3649 = -0.042400000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.042400000000001 / -0.0212 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.145% | 0.6R | -0.388% | 1.5R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.145% | 0.6R | -1.108% | 4.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.145% | 0.6R | -1.108% | 4.4R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.145% | 0.6R | -1.984% | 7.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.145% | 0.6R | -1.984% | 7.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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