Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 388.42 AVAX at 6.482$ per unit. Take profit: 6.5232 (0.64 %) & Stop Loss: 6.4614 (0.32 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 388.42 AVAX at 6.482$ per unit. Take profit: 6.5232 (0.64 %) & Stop Loss: 6.4614 (0.32 %)
Position
Entry 6.482$
Qty 388.4219 AVAX
Size 2517.7509$ (margin 100$) (leverage 25)
Risk Setup
TP 6.5232 (+0.64%)
TP $ 16$
SL 6.4614 (-0.32%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6771
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.18×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.01×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 10.78×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 22:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.520026 15m : 0.358962 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bear_low_confirmed 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 02/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/08 21:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5328 | r1h: -0.254% · r4h: -1.827% · r1d: 4.80% · r3d: 0.59% · ema21_slope: 0.1009% · dist_ema21: -0.368% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5463 | rs_1h: -0.112% · rs_4h: -1.270% · rs_1d: 4.43% · rs_3d: 2.64% · beta_24h: 1.351 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1899 | rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.467 · trend: -34.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5892 | ADX: 33.6 (trend) · Chop: 61.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.872% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.236% | 0.7R | -0.312% | 1.0R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.236% | 0.7R | -1.368% | 4.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.236% | 0.7R | -1.368% | 4.3R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.236% | 0.7R | -1.728% | 5.4R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.966% | 3.0R | -1.728% | 5.4R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | continuation_ready | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.77 | bear_high | -5.66% | -0.02 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.69 | bear_high | -1.20% | +0.32 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.56 | range_low | -0.42% | -0.05 | 02/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.08% | -0.06 | 02/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 30b | — | 2.036×ATR | p0 | +0.205×ATR | p24 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 4.129×ATR | p72 | +0.215×ATR | p23 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.641×ATR | p60 | -0.964×ATR | p77 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 7.004×ATR | p88 | -0.916×ATR | p60 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63362.2
-0.00276565
63187
0.520026
63269.9
-0.001311
63187
0.358962
63426.4
-0.00379176
63186
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0.276
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0.6877
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0.0431
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0.45
0.55
1
21
1
0.5293
0.8371
2.0181
0.65
0.9867
1.7757
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0.5851
0.2673
0.46
-0.3857
0.4
0.4079
0.7122
0.6877
-3.735
8.2259
1
0
2
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:06 | 6.48200000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:12 | 6.47340000 | -0.133% |
| 3 | 22:54 | 6.47720000 | -0.074% |
| 4 | 23:00 | 6.47500000 | -0.108% |
| 5 | 23:06 | 6.47150000 | -0.162% |
| 6 | 23:12 | 6.46550000 | -0.255% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 19:40:00 | 6.5849 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 20:00:00 | 6.6016 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 20:40:00 | 6.5709 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:40:00 | 6.6675 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 22:40:00 | 6.568 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 23:40:00 | 6.5265 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 00:00:00 | 6.5581 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 00:25:00 | 6.5164 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 01:05:00 | 6.5433 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 02:00:00 | 6.4683 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 6.5524 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 09:45:00 | 6.65 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 11:15:00 | 6.6277 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 13:00:00 | 6.5537 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 15:00:00 | 6.6078 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:15:00 | 6.5624 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 18:00:00 | 6.6688 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 20:30:00 | 6.5709 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:30:00 | 6.6675 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 02:00:00 | 6.4683 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 11:00:00 | 6.5206 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 6.3318 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 23:00:00 | 6.3783 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 6.4476 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 6.3203 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 6.3858 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 6.0382 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 6.6806 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 18:00:00 | 6.6688 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 02:00:00 | 6.4683 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.482 | 6.4614 | 6.5232 | 2 | 10.492 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.4614 - 6.482 = -0.0206
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.482 - 6.5232 = -0.0412
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0412 / -0.0206 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2517.7509 | 100 | 388.4219 | 25.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0206 = -388.35
Taille de position USD = -388.35 x 6.482 = -2517.28
Donc, tu peux acheter -388.35 avec un stoploss a 6.4614
Avec un position size USD de -2517.28$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -388.35 x -0.0206 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -388.35 x -0.0412 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.64 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.32 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3656 % | 115.04 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.482 | 6.4614 | 6.5232 | 2 | 10.492 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.4614 - 6.482 = -0.0206
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.482 - 6.5232 = -0.0412
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0412 / -0.0206 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.236% | 0.7R | -0.312% | 1.0R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.236% | 0.7R | -1.368% | 4.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.236% | 0.7R | -1.368% | 4.3R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.236% | 0.7R | -1.728% | 5.4R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.966% | 3.0R | -1.728% | 5.4R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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