Long Trade on BNB (BosPullback)
With 2.47 BNB at 584.24$ per unit. Take profit: 590.495 (1.07 %) & Stop Loss: 581.0023 (0.55 %)
Long Trade on BNB (BosPullback)
With 2.47 BNB at 584.24$ per unit. Take profit: 590.495 (1.07 %) & Stop Loss: 581.0023 (0.55 %)
Position
Entry 584.24$
Qty 2.4709 BNB
Size 1443.5754$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)
Risk Setup
TP 590.495 (+1.07%)
TP $ 15.46$
SL 581.0023 (-0.55%)
SL $ 8$
RR 1.93
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4688
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.74×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.21×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.02×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 22:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 21:00 Score : -1 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4980 | r1h: -0.058% · r4h: -0.847% · r1d: 1.26% · r3d: -0.87% · ema21_slope: 0.0526% · dist_ema21: -0.178% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5183 | rs_1h: 0.084% · rs_4h: -0.290% · rs_1d: 0.88% · rs_3d: 1.18% · beta_24h: 0.821 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1626 | rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.973 · trend: -29.39% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6550 | ADX: 23.4 (weak) · Chop: 43.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.371% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.315% | 0.6R | -0.012% | 0.0R | 26.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.315% | 0.6R | -0.291% | 0.5R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.315% | 0.6R | -0.413% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.435% | 0.8R | -0.577% | 1.0R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.686% | 1.2R | -0.577% | 1.0R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.81 | bear_high | -5.66% | +0.32 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.83 | bear_high | -1.20% | +0.07 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | compression | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.71 | range_low | -0.42% | +0.04 | 02/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | range_low |
34%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.08% | -0.03 | 02/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 2.269×ATR | p0 | +0.484×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.083×ATR | p3 | -0.082×ATR | p8 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.021×ATR | p53 | -0.986×ATR | p77 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 6.842×ATR | p92 | -1.1×ATR | p65 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
591.03
141
0.5382
0.6767
0.3195
0.1977
0.4192
1
0.3198
0.4943
0.6824
0.0979
0.6253
0.6175
0.0136
0.0342
0.3333
-0.6393
-0.0446
0.65
0.35
1
8
1
0.6046
0.5927
5.3651
0.6
1.9779
4.5725
-0.0446
0.606
0.2938
0.02
-0.1711
0.4304
0.4846
0.7828
0.6175
-6.0827
9.8189
1
0
0
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581.18
591.03
591.03
581.18
584.55
581.18
582.865
0.8284
592.74
588.25
590.495
0.7453
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 584.24 | 581.0023 | 590.495 | 1.93 | 750.45 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 581.0023 - 584.24 = -3.2377
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 584.24 - 590.495 = -6.255
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -6.255 / -3.2377 = 1.9319
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1443.5754 | 100 | 2.4709 | 14.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -3.2377 = -2.47
Taille de position USD = -2.47 x 584.24 = -1443.07
Donc, tu peux acheter -2.47 avec un stoploss a 581.0023
Avec un position size USD de -1443.07$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2.47 x -3.2377 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2.47 x -6.255 = 15.45
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.45$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.07 % | 15.46 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.55 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.55 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5768 % | 104.08 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 584.24 | 581.0023 | 590.495 | 1.93 | 750.45 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 581.0023 - 584.24 = -3.2377
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 584.24 - 590.495 = -6.255
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -6.255 / -3.2377 = 1.9319
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.315% | 0.6R | -0.012% | 0.0R | 26.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.315% | 0.6R | -0.291% | 0.5R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.315% | 0.6R | -0.413% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.435% | 0.8R | -0.577% | 1.0R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.686% | 1.2R | -0.577% | 1.0R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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