Short Trade on HYPE (BosPullback)
With 9.59 HYPE at 52.21$ per unit. Take profit: 50.1238 (4 %) & Stop Loss: 53.0445 (1.6 %)
Short Trade on HYPE (BosPullback)
With 9.59 HYPE at 52.21$ per unit. Take profit: 50.1238 (4 %) & Stop Loss: 53.0445 (1.6 %)
Position
Entry 52.21$
Qty 9.5869 HYPE
Size 500.5325$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 50.1238 (+4%)
TP $ 20$
SL 53.0445 (-1.6%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3958
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 3.58×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 23:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4370 | r1h: -0.528% · r4h: -0.615% · r1d: -1.27% · r3d: -5.17% · ema21_slope: 0.0539% · dist_ema21: -0.109% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4364 | rs_1h: -0.469% · rs_4h: -0.235% · rs_1d: -0.84% · rs_3d: -3.44% · beta_24h: 0.509 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1999 | rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.516 · trend: -32.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6030 | ADX: 21.1 (weak) · Chop: 47.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.828% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.364% | 0.2R | -0.234% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.364% | 0.2R | -0.925% | 0.6R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.623% | 0.4R | -1.155% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.623% | 0.4R | -1.212% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.623% | 0.4R | -3.907% | 2.4R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -5.66% | -0.96 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -1.26% | -0.32 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.49 | range_low | -0.49% | +0.08 | 02/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_medium |
34%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.14% | -0.07 | 02/08 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 27b | — | 6.911×ATR | p95 | -0.714×ATR | p64 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 18b | — | 3.902×ATR | p63 | +0.009×ATR | p1 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.552×ATR | p2 | -0.225×ATR | p20 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.846×ATR | p15 | -0.602×ATR | p60 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
53
143
0.3524
0.5073
0.3909
0.2229
0.5283
0.9871
0.224
0.4488
0.2672
0.4156
0.5476
0.2579
0.0529
0.0012
0.3333
0.1795
-0.2206
0.3
0.7
-1
17
1
0.5541
0.316
4.7519
0.5
0.9871
4.6906
-0.2206
0.3266
0.2963
0.28
0.0714
0.4609
0.5209
0.7647
0.2579
-9.6225
3.3446
1
1
1
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[time] => 2026-07-28 17:00:00
[price] => 54.602
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[time] => 2026-07-28 21:00:00
[price] => 55.725
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Array
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[time] => 2026-07-29 04:00:00
[price] => 54.003
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[price] => 55.542
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[price] => 54.255
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[price] => 53.061
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[price] => 54.3
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[price] => 52.761
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[price] => 56.094
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[price] => 55.48
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[price] => 51.488
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[price] => 52.611
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[price] => 51.6
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[price] => 53.025
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[price] => 51.725
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[price] => 52.128
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[price] => 51.081
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[price] => 51.564
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[price] => 51.252
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[price] => 52.401
[kind] => high
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-02 17:15:00
[price] => 51.921
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-02 18:30:00
[price] => 52.748
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-02 19:15:00
[price] => 52.323
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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Array
(
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[price] => 52.809
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[label] => LH
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-02 20:30:00
[price] => 52.346
[kind] => low
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Array
(
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[price] => 53
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-03 00:00:00
[price] => 52.295
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[label] => HL
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51.081
53
53
51.081
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.21 | 53.0445 | 50.1238 | 2.5 | 83.98 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 53.0445 - 52.21 = 0.8345
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 52.21 - 50.1238 = 2.0862
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.0862 / 0.8345 = 2.4999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 500.5325 | 100 | 9.5869 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.8345 = 9.59
Taille de position USD = 9.59 x 52.21 = 500.69
Donc, tu peux acheter 9.59 avec un stoploss a 53.0445
Avec un position size USD de 500.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 9.59 x 0.8345 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 9.59 x 2.0862 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.6 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.60 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6434 % | 102.82 % | 16 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.21 | 53.0445 | 50.1238 | 2.5 | 83.98 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 53.0445 - 52.21 = 0.8345
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 52.21 - 50.1238 = 2.0862
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.0862 / 0.8345 = 2.4999
Array
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.364% | 0.2R | -0.234% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.364% | 0.2R | -0.925% | 0.6R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.623% | 0.4R | -1.155% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.623% | 0.4R | -1.212% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.623% | 0.4R | -3.907% | 2.4R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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