Long Trade on BNB (CatchTheWave)
With 10.23 BNB at 583.52$ per unit. Take profit: 585.0837 (0.27 %) & Stop Loss: 582.7382 (0.13 %)
Long Trade on BNB (CatchTheWave)
With 10.23 BNB at 583.52$ per unit. Take profit: 585.0837 (0.27 %) & Stop Loss: 582.7382 (0.13 %)
Position
Entry 583.52$
Qty 10.2323 BNB
Size 5970.7462$ (margin 100$) (leverage 60)
Risk Setup
TP 585.0837 (+0.27%)
TP $ 16$
SL 582.7382 (-0.13%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4653
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.79×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.15×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.02×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 23:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.740468 15m : 0.516179 |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 02/08 23:00 Score : -1 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5141 | r1h: 0.308% · r4h: -0.384% · r1d: 0.84% · r3d: -0.37% · ema21_slope: 0.0496% · dist_ema21: 0.061% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5423 | rs_1h: 0.367% · rs_4h: -0.004% · rs_1d: 1.27% · rs_3d: 1.35% · beta_24h: 0.801 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1388 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -1.025 · trend: -44.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6429 | ADX: 22.2 (weak) · Chop: 43.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.376% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.147% | 1.1R | -0.115% | 0.9R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.147% | 1.1R | -0.290% | 2.2R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.147% | 1.1R | -0.336% | 2.5R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.711% | 5.3R | -0.454% | 3.4R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.710% | 12.8R | -0.454% | 3.4R | 3.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.81 | bear_high | -5.66% | +0.32 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.83 | bear_high | -1.39% | +0.09 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | compression | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.70 | range_low | -0.66% | +0.05 | 02/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_low |
43%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | near -0.6ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.31% | -0.01 | 02/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 2.269×ATR | p0 | +0.484×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.131×ATR | p3 | -0.03×ATR | p2 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 3.087×ATR | p57 | -0.692×ATR | p62 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.72×ATR | p8 | -0.39×ATR | p25 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63276.3
-0.00664287
62856
0.740468
63297.1
-0.00696919
62856
0.516179
63379
-0.00531808
63042
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.12678397039423
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
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591.03
190
0.6177
0.6592
0.3264
0.218
0.415
1
0.3117
0.5286
0.6824
0.2541
0.6255
0.6243
-0.012
0.0213
0.6667
-0.5004
0.0355
0.65
0.35
1
9
1
0.564
0.5927
5.3652
0.55
1.9779
4.5725
0.0355
0.606
0.2648
0.18
-0.0808
0.4763
0.4544
0.7068
0.6243
-5.5634
9.2435
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:48 | 583.52000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 00:01 | 583.06000000 | -0.079% |
| 3 | 00:54 | 582.69000000 | -0.142% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 21:40:00 | 588.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:45:00 | 590.65 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 22:40:00 | 587.47 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 23:15:00 | 587.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 23:35:00 | 588.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 00:30:00 | 584.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 01:10:00 | 585.07 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 01:55:00 | 583.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 02:40:00 | 586.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 03:45:00 | 582.54 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 09:30:00 | 584.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 12:30:00 | 581.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 16:45:00 | 588.65 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 18:30:00 | 591.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 20:15:00 | 588.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:45:00 | 590.65 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 22:30:00 | 587.47 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 01:45:00 | 583.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 02:30:00 | 586.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 03:45:00 | 582.54 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 03:00:00 | 586 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 13:00:00 | 595.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 15:00:00 | 583.84 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 592.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 573.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 00:00:00 | 573.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:00:00 | 586.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 12:00:00 | 581.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 18:00:00 | 591.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 01:00:00 | 583.67 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 583.52 | 582.7382 | 585.0837 | 2 | 745.13 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 582.7382 - 583.52 = -0.78179999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 583.52 - 585.0837 = -1.5637
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5637 / -0.78179999999998 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5970.7462 | 100 | 10.2323 | 60.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.78179999999998 = -10.23
Taille de position USD = -10.23 x 583.52 = -5969.41
Donc, tu peux acheter -10.23 avec un stoploss a 582.7382
Avec un position size USD de -5969.41$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -10.23 x -0.78179999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -10.23 x -1.5637 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.13 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1422 % | 106.12 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 583.52 | 582.7382 | 585.0837 | 2 | 745.13 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 582.7382 - 583.52 = -0.78179999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 583.52 - 585.0837 = -1.5637
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5637 / -0.78179999999998 = 2.0001
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.147% | 1.1R | -0.115% | 0.9R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.147% | 1.1R | -0.290% | 2.2R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.147% | 1.1R | -0.336% | 2.5R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.711% | 5.3R | -0.454% | 3.4R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.710% | 12.8R | -0.454% | 3.4R | 3.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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