Short Trade on PENDLE

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03 Aug 2026 at 00:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on PENDLE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 276.28 PENDLE at 1.341$ per unit. Take profit: 1.3074 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.3699 (2.16 %)

PENDLE SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Aug 2026 00:10 → 00:20 · 9 minutes

Position

Entry 1.3409$

Qty 276.2834 PENDLE

Size 370.4683$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 1.3074 (+2.5%)

TP $ 9.26$

SL 1.3699 (-2.16%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 1.16

Status win PnL +0.03% / +0.11$ MAE -0.48% MFE +0.36% 0.2R expires 03 Aug 00:20 Exit rank_decay: short rank=2 <= threshold=28/38

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 57014)

#2 / 38 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 03/08/2026 00:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4123

Quality Score

0.582

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

3 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.3M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
03/08 00:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#2 / 38 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

N/A

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.16 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#2 / 38 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.16 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	clear	—
1d	clear	—

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	—	—	OK
4h	—	—	OK
1d	—	—	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 00:00 Score : +1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 3

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

03/08 00:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		—

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1252

range compression range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	bear	expansion	—	+1
Tactical	range	range	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.53

Transition risk : 0.47

Score contribution (this trade) +1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.47

Snapshot évalué : 03/08 00:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 03/08/2026 00:00

Score brut

0.5821

Score SMA

0.4980

Rank

#2 / 38

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4123

Rank Norm SMA

0.4197

Calculé le

03/08/2026 00:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3113	r1h: -1.183% · r4h: -2.846% · r1d: -4.09% · r3d: -5.35% · ema21_slope: -0.0679% · dist_ema21: -2.307%
Force Relative	25%	0.3430	rs_1h: -1.047% · rs_4h: -2.037% · rs_1d: -3.47% · rs_3d: -3.32% · beta_24h: 1.932
Volume	20%	1.0000	rvol_20: 14.82× · zscore_50: 6.854 · trend: 504.84%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6863	ADX: 22.4 (weak) · Chop: 33.5 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 0.889% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -2.163% (0.0290)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.157%	0.1R	-0.261%	0.1R	0.6×	12
2h	+0.298%	0.1R	-0.410%	0.2R	0.7×	24
4h ★	+0.358%	0.2R	-0.485%	0.2R	0.7×	48
8h	+0.358%	0.2R	-1.947%	0.9R	0.2×	96
12h	+0.358%	0.2R	-2.827%	1.3R	0.1×	144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 0.72

Prediction Score: N/A

No context market snapshot

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 1.36985578
tp_price: 1.3073775
atr: 0.01158231
expires_at: 2026-08-03T10:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 35
total: 38
score: 0.3113
delta_2h: 0
extension_atr: -2.74
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4123
confidence: 0.919

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1.3409	1.3699	1.3074	1.16	2.0661

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1.3409
Stop Loss: 1.3699
Take Profit: 1.3074

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1.3699 - 1.3409 = 0.029
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1.3409 - 1.3074 = 0.0335
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0335 / 0.029 = 1.1552

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
370.4683	100	276.2834	4.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.029

Taille de position = 8 / 0.029 = 275.86

Taille de position USD = 275.86 x 1.3409 = 369.9

Donc, tu peux acheter 275.86 avec un stoploss a 1.3699

Avec un position size USD de 369.9$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 275.86 x 0.029 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 275.86 x 0.0335 = 9.24

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 9.24$

Résumé

Taille de position 275.86
Taille de position USD 369.9
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 9.24
Risk-Reward Ratio 1.1552

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	9.26 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
2.16 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
0.11 $	0.03

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.0671 %	3.1 %	2

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1.3409	1.3699	1.3074	1.16	2.0661

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1.3409
Stop Loss: 1.3699
Take Profit: 1.3074

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1.3699 - 1.3409 = 0.029
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1.3409 - 1.3074 = 0.0335
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0335 / 0.029 = 1.1552

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -2.163% (0.0290)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.157%	0.1R	-0.261%	0.1R	0.6×	12
2h	+0.298%	0.1R	-0.410%	0.2R	0.7×	24
4h ★	+0.358%	0.2R	-0.485%	0.2R	0.7×	48
8h	+0.358%	0.2R	-1.947%	0.9R	0.2×	96
12h	+0.358%	0.2R	-2.827%	1.3R	0.1×	144

computed 2 months ago

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