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Short Trade on KAITO

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03 Aug 2026 at 01:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 87.44 KAITO at 0.955$ per unit. Take profit: 0.9307 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0461 (9.59 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Aug 2026 01:10 → 07:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.9546$

Qty 87.4356 KAITO

Size 83.4642$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.9307 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.09$

SL 1.0461 (-9.59%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.26

Status loss PnL -4.14% / -3.45$ MAE -7.12% MFE +1.79% 0.2R expires 03 Aug 07:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 57062)
#38 / 38 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/08/2026 01:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0625

Quality Score
0.315
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
26.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/08 01:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#38 / 38 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.59 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#38 / 38 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.59 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.25×ATR
4h near 0.05×ATR
1d clear 2.06×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 3

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

03/08 01:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

02/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

03/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

03/08 00:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1253
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational bear expansion — +1
Tactical range range — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.53
Transition risk : 0.47
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.47
Snapshot évalué : 03/08 01:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 03/08/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.3154
Score SMA
0.4822
Rank
#38 / 38
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0625
Rank Norm SMA
0.2799
Calculé le
03/08/2026 01:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0810 r1h: -4.578% · r4h: -2.210% · r1d: -17.71% · r3d: -14.09% · ema21_slope: -0.6669% · dist_ema21: -8.669%
Force Relative 25% 0.1151 rs_1h: -4.748% · rs_4h: -1.668% · rs_1d: -16.75% · rs_3d: -12.02% · beta_24h: -1.960
Volume 20% 0.4988 rvol_20: 1.07× · zscore_50: 0.973 · trend: 56.99%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6262 ADX: 22.1 (weak) · Chop: 45.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.6868 ATR%: 3.940% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -9.585% (0.0915)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.793% 0.2R -1.312% 0.1R 1.4× 12
2h +1.793% 0.2R -2.136% 0.2R 0.8× 24
4h +1.793% 0.2R -5.594% 0.6R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +1.793% 0.2R -7.123% 0.7R 0.3× 72
8h +1.793% 0.2R -7.815% 0.8R 0.2× 96
12h +2.508% 0.3R -7.815% 0.8R 0.3× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.84
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.42 bear_high -5.66% +0.99 02/08 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 42% late near 0.1ATR — 0.02 bear_high -1.61% -0.67 03/08 00:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
46%
noisy_chop 51% mid near 0.3ATR — -0.14 bear_low -0.77% -0.94 03/08 00:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
52%
noisy_chop 39% mid near -0.9ATR — — range_low -0.40% -0.17 03/08 00:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 5b — 2.775×ATR p5 -0.544×ATR p49
4h ↓ down late 9b — 3.593×ATR p31 -1.168×ATR p85
1h ↓ down mid 1b — 2.192×ATR p25 -0.934×ATR p73
15m ↓ down mid 5b — 4.13×ATR p65 -1.168×ATR p78

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 1.04607594
  2. tp_price: 0.9307155
  3. atr: 0.03659837
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-03T11:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 38
  2. total: 38
  3. score: 0.081
  4. delta_2h: -0.2245
  5. extension_atr: -2.47
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0625
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.9546 1.0461 0.9307 0.26 0.3029
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.9546
  • Stop Loss: 1.0461
  • Take Profit: 0.9307

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.0461 - 0.9546 = 0.0915

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.9546 - 0.9307 = 0.0239

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0239 / 0.0915 = 0.2612

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
83.4642 83.4642 87.4356 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0915

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0915 = 87.43

Taille de position USD = 87.43 x 0.9546 = 83.46

Donc, tu peux acheter 87.43 avec un stoploss a 1.0461

Avec un position size USD de 83.46$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 87.43 x 0.0915 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 87.43 x 0.0239 = 2.09

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.09$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 87.43
  • Taille de position USD 83.46
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.09
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2612

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 2.09 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
9.59 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-3.45 $ -4.14
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-7.1234 % 74.32 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.9546 1.0461 0.9307 0.26 0.3029
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.9546
  • Stop Loss: 1.0461
  • Take Profit: 0.9307

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.0461 - 0.9546 = 0.0915

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.9546 - 0.9307 = 0.0239

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0239 / 0.0915 = 0.2612

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -9.585% (0.0915)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.793% 0.2R -1.312% 0.1R 1.4× 12
2h +1.793% 0.2R -2.136% 0.2R 0.8× 24
4h +1.793% 0.2R -5.594% 0.6R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +1.793% 0.2R -7.123% 0.7R 0.3× 72
8h +1.793% 0.2R -7.815% 0.8R 0.2× 96
12h +2.508% 0.3R -7.815% 0.8R 0.3× 144

computed 2 months ago

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