Long Trade on AAVE (BosPullback)
With 6.4 AAVE at 91.973$ per unit. Take profit: 99.553 (8.24 %) & Stop Loss: 90.7232 (1.36 %)
Long Trade on AAVE (BosPullback)
With 6.4 AAVE at 91.973$ per unit. Take profit: 99.553 (8.24 %) & Stop Loss: 90.7232 (1.36 %)
Position
Entry 91.973$
Qty 6.4009 AAVE
Size 588.7135$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 99.553 (+8.24%)
TP $ 48.52$
SL 90.7232 (-1.36%)
SL $ 8$
RR 6.06
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1279
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.70×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 3.72×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.47×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low_confirmed Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 01:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 03/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (-1) 03/08 01:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4605 | r1h: 0.074% · r4h: -0.059% · r1d: -0.91% · r3d: -7.85% · ema21_slope: 0.0197% · dist_ema21: -0.276% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4586 | rs_1h: -0.096% · rs_4h: 0.483% · rs_1d: 0.06% · rs_3d: -5.78% · beta_24h: 0.641 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2190 | rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: -0.541 · trend: -45.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4828 | ADX: 15.3 (weak) · Chop: 56.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.790% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.359% | 0.3R | -0.241% | 0.2R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.359% | 0.3R | -0.444% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.359% | 0.3R | -0.936% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.749% | 0.6R | -0.936% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.176% | 1.6R | -0.936% | 0.7R | 2.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.176% | 1.6R | -0.936% | 0.7R | 2.3× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
35%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.7ATR | near 0.5ATR | 0.72 | bear_high | -5.66% | -0.47 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -1.84% | -0.47 | 03/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.8ATR | near -0.7ATR | 0.54 | bear_low | -0.94% | +0.02 | 03/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.38 | range_low | -0.58% | +0.10 | 03/08 01:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 16b | — | 0.801×ATR | p0 | -0.455×ATR | p45 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.507×ATR | p0 | -0.296×ATR | p30 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.143×ATR | p32 | +0.046×ATR | p4 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.613×ATR | p40 | +0.465×ATR | p40 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
93.4
141
0.4264
0.4994
0.3378
0.2383
0.4192
1
0.2485
0.471
0.6113
0.022
0.4305
0.2312
-0.0551
-0.0547
0
-0.0678
-0.8713
0.35
0.65
1
8
1
0.5235
0.3488
3.3106
0.6
1.3209
2.9959
-0.8713
0.2606
0.2722
0
-0.267
0.4571
0.4718
0
0.2312
-14.8952
4.4803
1
1
0
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90.79
93.4
93.4
90.79
92.477
90.79
91.6335
0.6666
93.456
91.385
92.4205
0.7899
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:19 | 91.97300000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:25 | 92.01400000 | +0.045% |
| 3 | 03:13 | 91.85900000 | -0.124% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.973 | 90.7232 | 99.553 | 6.06 | 172 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 90.7232 - 91.973 = -1.2498
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 91.973 - 99.553 = -7.58
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.58 / -1.2498 = 6.065
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 588.7135 | 100 | 6.4009 | 6.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.2498 = -6.4
Taille de position USD = -6.4 x 91.973 = -588.63
Donc, tu peux acheter -6.4 avec un stoploss a 90.7232
Avec un position size USD de -588.63$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -6.4 x -1.2498 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -6.4 x -7.58 = 48.51
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 48.51$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.24 % | 48.52 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.36 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5657 % | 115.22 % | 54 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.973 | 90.7232 | 99.553 | 6.06 | 172 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 90.7232 - 91.973 = -1.2498
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 91.973 - 99.553 = -7.58
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.58 / -1.2498 = 6.065
Array
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.359% | 0.3R | -0.241% | 0.2R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.359% | 0.3R | -0.444% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.359% | 0.3R | -0.936% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.749% | 0.6R | -0.936% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.176% | 1.6R | -0.936% | 0.7R | 2.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.176% | 1.6R | -0.936% | 0.7R | 2.3× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
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