Short Trade on LIT (BosPullback)
With 272.55 LIT at 2.023$ per unit. Take profit: 1.9491 (3.63 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0519 (1.45 %)
Short Trade on LIT (BosPullback)
With 272.55 LIT at 2.023$ per unit. Take profit: 1.9491 (3.63 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0519 (1.45 %)
Position
Entry 2.0225$
Qty 272.553 LIT
Size 551.2384$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 1.9491 (+3.63%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 2.0519 (-1.45%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2384
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.03×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.92×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.43×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 02:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/08 01:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4366 | r1h: 0.793% · r4h: 0.527% · r1d: -3.90% · r3d: -8.72% · ema21_slope: -0.1086% · dist_ema21: -0.775% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4680 | rs_1h: 0.769% · rs_4h: 1.181% · rs_1d: -2.88% · rs_3d: -6.32% · beta_24h: 0.705 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2546 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.773 · trend: 29.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5147 | ADX: 13.2 (weak) · Chop: 50.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.629% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.964% | 0.7R | -0.292% | 0.2R | 3.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.964% | 0.7R | -1.681% | 1.2R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.964% | 0.7R | -2.838% | 2.0R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.964% | 0.7R | -5.276% | 3.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.964% | 0.7R | -5.276% | 3.6R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | — | bear_high | -5.66% | -0.98 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.39 | bear_high | -1.84% | -0.76 | 03/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near 0.0ATR | near 0.1ATR | 0.43 | bear_low | -1.02% | -0.33 | 03/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.38 | range_low | -0.62% | -0.07 | 03/08 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 28b | — | 4.022×ATR | p57 | -0.507×ATR | p52 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.242×ATR | p19 | -0.613×ATR | p61 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 0.979×ATR | p0 | -0.055×ATR | p4 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.419×ATR | p0 | +0.49×ATR | p47 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
2.0485
147
0.2586
0.698
0.4239
0.2249
0.5867
0.7541
0.2778
0.3951
0.2822
0.6315
0.6571
0.1636
-0.1034
-0.0729
0
-0.3637
-1.1782
0.3
0.7
-1
3
1
0.5502
0.7686
3.5531
0.6
0.7541
2.6794
-1.1782
0.2894
0.2356
0.72
-0.0007
0.4419
0.3617
0.7571
0.1636
-9.2353
1.8064
1
0
1
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1.9648
2.0485
2.0485
1.9648
2.016
1.9648
1.9904
1.6754
2.0758
2.0208
2.0483
0.7881
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0225 | 2.0519 | 1.9491 | 2.5 | 3.5338 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0519 - 2.0225 = 0.0294
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.0225 - 1.9491 = 0.0734
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0734 / 0.0294 = 2.4966
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 551.2384 | 100 | 272.553 | 6.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0294 = 272.11
Taille de position USD = 272.11 x 2.0225 = 550.34
Donc, tu peux acheter 272.11 avec un stoploss a 2.0519
Avec un position size USD de 550.34$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 272.11 x 0.0294 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 272.11 x 0.0734 = 19.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.63 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.45 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -1.45 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5575 % | 107.15 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0225 | 2.0519 | 1.9491 | 2.5 | 3.5338 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0519 - 2.0225 = 0.0294
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.0225 - 1.9491 = 0.0734
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0734 / 0.0294 = 2.4966
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.964% | 0.7R | -0.292% | 0.2R | 3.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.964% | 0.7R | -1.681% | 1.2R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.964% | 0.7R | -2.838% | 2.0R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.964% | 0.7R | -5.276% | 3.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.964% | 0.7R | -5.276% | 3.6R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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