Short Trade on LIT (BosPullback)
With 245.81 LIT at 2.019$ per unit. Take profit: 1.938 (4.03 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0519 (1.61 %)
Short Trade on LIT (BosPullback)
With 245.81 LIT at 2.019$ per unit. Take profit: 1.938 (4.03 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0519 (1.61 %)
Position
Entry 2.0194$
Qty 245.8062 LIT
Size 496.381$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 1.938 (+4.03%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 2.0519 (-1.61%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3022
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.94×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.10×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.39×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 04:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/08 04:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5200 | r1h: 2.094% · r4h: 2.750% · r1d: -4.10% · r3d: -6.90% · ema21_slope: -0.1051% · dist_ema21: 0.626% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5753 | rs_1h: 2.054% · rs_4h: 3.111% · rs_1d: -2.77% · rs_3d: -4.87% · beta_24h: 1.007 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2537 | rvol_20: 0.65× · zscore_50: -0.321 · trend: -12.17% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5003 | ADX: 12.2 (weak) · Chop: 50.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.651% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.104% | 0.1R | -2.996% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.104% | 0.1R | -2.996% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.104% | 0.1R | -3.387% | 2.1R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.104% | 0.1R | -5.437% | 3.4R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.104% | 0.1R | -5.437% | 3.4R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | — | bear_high | -6.47% | -0.97 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.39 | bear_high | -2.09% | -0.57 | 03/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.44 | bear_low | -1.32% | +0.01 | 03/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | — | bear_low | -1.13% | +0.25 | 03/08 04:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 28b | — | 3.899×ATR | p50 | -0.484×ATR | p50 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.486×ATR | p3 | +0.173×ATR | p21 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 0.042×ATR | p0 | +0.602×ATR | p52 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.001×ATR | p22 | +0.274×ATR | p29 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
2.0485
145
0.2677
0.6805
0.4169
0.2197
0.5783
0.7541
0.2558
0.4054
0.2822
0.9361
0.6788
0.1713
-0.0422
-0.0449
0
-0.2646
-0.9369
0.3
0.7
-1
5
1
0.5606
0.7686
3.5531
0.55
0.7541
2.6794
-0.9369
0.2894
0.2322
0.98
0.2221
0.466
0.3888
0.7893
0.1713
-7.3818
1.5264
1
0
1
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1.9648
2.0485
2.0485
1.9648
2.016
1.9648
1.9904
1.6754
2.0758
2.0208
2.0483
0.7881
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0194 | 2.0519 | 1.938 | 2.5 | 3.5543 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0519 - 2.0194 = 0.0325
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.0194 - 1.938 = 0.0814
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0814 / 0.0325 = 2.5046
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 496.381 | 100 | 245.8062 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0325 = 246.15
Taille de position USD = 246.15 x 2.0194 = 497.08
Donc, tu peux acheter 246.15 avec un stoploss a 2.0519
Avec un position size USD de 497.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 246.15 x 0.0325 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 246.15 x 0.0814 = 20.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.04$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.03 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.61 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -1.61 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5651 % | 159.38 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0194 | 2.0519 | 1.938 | 2.5 | 3.5543 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0519 - 2.0194 = 0.0325
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.0194 - 1.938 = 0.0814
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0814 / 0.0325 = 2.5046
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.104% | 0.1R | -2.996% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.104% | 0.1R | -2.996% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.104% | 0.1R | -3.387% | 2.1R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.104% | 0.1R | -5.437% | 3.4R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.104% | 0.1R | -5.437% | 3.4R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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