Short Trade on XPL (BosPullback)
With 12470.58 XPL at 0.0749$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07328 (2.15 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07553 (0.85 %)
Short Trade on XPL (BosPullback)
With 12470.58 XPL at 0.0749$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07328 (2.15 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07553 (0.85 %)
Position
Entry 0.07489$
Qty 12470.5772 XPL
Size 933.8716$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07328 (+2.15%)
TP $ 20.08$
SL 0.07553 (-0.85%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.52
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3142
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.35×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | 0.26×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1) 03/08 05:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/08 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4386 | r1h: -0.256% · r4h: 0.012% · r1d: -2.13% · r3d: -3.46% · ema21_slope: -0.0951% · dist_ema21: -1.041% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4916 | rs_1h: 0.043% · rs_4h: 0.582% · rs_1d: -0.94% · rs_3d: -1.27% · beta_24h: 1.484 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1759 | rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -0.478 · trend: -44.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6066 | ADX: 18.2 (weak) · Chop: 43.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.893% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.640% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.721% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.456% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.381% | 4.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.381% | 4.0R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.54 | bear_high | -6.47% | -0.95 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.40 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.08 | 03/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.54 | bear_low | -1.28% | -0.09 | 03/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.7ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | range_low | -0.70% | +0.08 | 03/08 05:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 30b | — | 6.669×ATR | p86 | -0.503×ATR | p38 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 1.37×ATR | p0 | -0.428×ATR | p48 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 0.883×ATR | p0 | -0.298×ATR | p28 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.897×ATR | p24 | +0.044×ATR | p3 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.075465
146
0.2378
0.5363
0.4239
0.2087
0.6
0.3427
0.4869
0.5491
0.2525
0.2619
0.5501
0.2918
-0.1194
-0.0644
0
-0.9591
-1.4991
0.25
0.75
-1
7
1
0.5826
0.3433
4.2966
0.6
0.3427
1.4725
-1.4991
0.7025
0.2988
0.12
-0.0152
0.4477
0.475
0.8307
0.2918
-9.7285
4.0094
1
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[kind] => low
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0.074475
0.075465
0.075465
0.074475
0.075129
0.073
0.0740645
0.8032
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:21 | 0.07488600 | -0.005% |
| 2 | 05:27 | 0.07488600 | -0.005% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07489 | 0.07553 | 0.07328 | 2.52 | 0.08607 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07553 - 0.07489 = 0.00064
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07489 - 0.07328 = 0.00161
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00161 / 0.00064 = 2.5156
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 933.8716 | 100 | 12470.5772 | 9.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00064 = 12500
Taille de position USD = 12500 x 0.07489 = 936.13
Donc, tu peux acheter 12500 avec un stoploss a 0.07553
Avec un position size USD de 936.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 12500 x 0.00064 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 12500 x 0.00161 = 20.13
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.13$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.15 % | 20.08 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.85 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.98 $ | -0.85 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3032 % | 152.49 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07489 | 0.07553 | 0.07328 | 2.52 | 0.08607 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07553 - 0.07489 = 0.00064
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07489 - 0.07328 = 0.00161
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00161 / 0.00064 = 2.5156
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.640% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.721% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.456% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.381% | 4.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.381% | 4.0R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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