Short Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 572.63 LIT at 2.071$ per unit. Take profit: 2.0428 (1.35 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0847 (0.68 %)
Short Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 572.63 LIT at 2.071$ per unit. Take profit: 2.0428 (1.35 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0847 (0.68 %)
Position
Entry 2.0707$
Qty 572.6278 LIT
Size 1185.7404$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)
Risk Setup
TP 2.0428 (+1.35%)
TP $ 15.98$
SL 2.0847 (-0.68%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 1.99
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2987
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.35×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.41×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.39×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1) 03/08 05:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.400155 15m : 0.446661 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/08 05:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3859 | r1h: -0.952% · r4h: 0.733% · r1d: -4.60% · r3d: -8.56% · ema21_slope: -0.1110% · dist_ema21: -0.668% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4043 | rs_1h: -0.653% · rs_4h: 1.304% · rs_1d: -3.41% · rs_3d: -6.37% · beta_24h: 0.916 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1932 | rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.596 · trend: -25.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4984 | ADX: 12.4 (weak) · Chop: 51.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.712% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.966% | 1.4R | -0.324% | 0.5R | 3.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.000% | 1.5R | -0.324% | 0.5R | 3.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.000% | 1.5R | -1.082% | 1.6R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.000% | 1.5R | -2.825% | 4.2R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.811% | 4.2R | -2.825% | 4.2R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | — | bear_high | -6.47% | -0.97 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.39 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.63 | 03/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.44 | bear_low | -1.28% | +0.10 | 03/08 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.40 | range_low | -0.70% | +0.25 | 03/08 05:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 28b | — | 3.899×ATR | p50 | -0.484×ATR | p50 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.758×ATR | p3 | -0.106×ATR | p16 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +0.897×ATR | p73 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.996×ATR | p21 | +0.95×ATR | p73 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62781.6
-0.00249554
62625
0.400155
63039.5
-0.00733789
62577
0.446661
63325.5
-0.0122161
62552
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6
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0.214
0.98
0.3002
0.5
0.4164
0.7542
0.2928
-6.2885
2.6041
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:21 | 2.07070000 | 0% |
| 2 | 05:27 | 2.07210000 | +0.068% |
| 3 | 05:34 | 2.06370000 | -0.338% |
| 4 | 05:51 | 2.06940000 | -0.063% |
| 5 | 05:57 | 2.07700000 | +0.304% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 03:30:00 | 2.016 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 03:45:00 | 1.9648 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 04:30:00 | 2.0485 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 05:05:00 | 1.999 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 06:00:00 | 2.0318 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 07:00:00 | 2.003 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 07:30:00 | 2.054 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:10:00 | 2.0615 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:30:00 | 2.0172 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:20:00 | 2.0736 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 11:15:00 | 2.1064 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 17:15:00 | 2.0169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 19:45:00 | 2.0711 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 21:15:00 | 2.0405 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 22:15:00 | 2.0758 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 00:45:00 | 2.0574 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 03:45:00 | 1.9648 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 04:30:00 | 2.0485 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 07:00:00 | 2.003 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:15:00 | 2.0712 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 00:00:00 | 2.2998 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 20:00:00 | 2.0631 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 02:00:00 | 2.1045 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 17:00:00 | 2.0666 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 20:00:00 | 2.0083 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:00:00 | 2.1541 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 17:00:00 | 2.0169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 22:00:00 | 2.0758 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 03:00:00 | 1.9648 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:00:00 | 2.0629 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0707 | 2.0847 | 2.0428 | 1.99 | 3.5306 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0847 - 2.0707 = 0.014
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.0707 - 2.0428 = 0.0279
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0279 / 0.014 = 1.9929
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1185.7404 | 100 | 572.6278 | 12.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.014 = 571.43
Taille de position USD = 571.43 x 2.0707 = 1183.26
Donc, tu peux acheter 571.43 avec un stoploss a 2.0847
Avec un position size USD de 1183.26$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 571.43 x 0.014 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 571.43 x 0.0279 = 15.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.94$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.35 % | 15.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.68 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -0.68 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7147 % | 105.71 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0707 | 2.0847 | 2.0428 | 1.99 | 3.5306 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0847 - 2.0707 = 0.014
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.0707 - 2.0428 = 0.0279
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0279 / 0.014 = 1.9929
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.966% | 1.4R | -0.324% | 0.5R | 3.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.000% | 1.5R | -0.324% | 0.5R | 3.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.000% | 1.5R | -1.082% | 1.6R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.000% | 1.5R | -2.825% | 4.2R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.811% | 4.2R | -2.825% | 4.2R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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