Long Trade on NIL

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03 Aug 2026 at 06:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 4214.63 NIL at 0.0305$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03126 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0286 (6.23 %)

NIL LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Aug 2026 06:10 → 10:00 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.0305$

Qty 4214.63 NIL

Size 128.5378$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.03126 (+2.49%)

TP $ 3.2$

SL 0.0286 (-6.23%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.4

Status loss PnL -0.09% / -0.12$ MAE -1.06% MFE +1.92% 0.3R expires 03 Aug 10:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=19 > threshold=10/37

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 57253)

#1 / 38 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 03/08/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8538

Quality Score

0.662

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.6M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
03/08 06:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#1 / 38 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.23 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#1 / 38 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.23 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	2.90×ATR
4h	clear	—
1d	clear	54.64×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 03/08 06:00 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1)

03/08 06:00

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 03/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 03/08 05:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

02/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

03/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

03/08 05:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1258

range compression range_breakdown_risk

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	bear	expansion	—	-1
Tactical	bear	expansion	—	-1
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 0.53

Transition risk : 0.47

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.47

Snapshot évalué : 03/08 06:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 03/08/2026 06:00

Score brut

0.6623

Score SMA

0.5342

Rank

#1 / 38

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8538

Rank Norm SMA

0.6372

Calculé le

03/08/2026 06:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6690	r1h: 1.487% · r4h: 2.255% · r1d: 5.17% · r3d: -1.75% · ema21_slope: 0.1117% · dist_ema21: 2.120%
Force Relative	25%	0.6776	rs_1h: 1.234% · rs_4h: 2.465% · rs_1d: 6.09% · rs_3d: -0.15% · beta_24h: -0.457
Volume	20%	0.4162	rvol_20: 1.09× · zscore_50: 0.263 · trend: 28.72%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7265	ADX: 50.1 (trend) · Chop: 61.8 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.614% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4.2h) Initial Risk: -6.230% (0.0019)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.925%	0.3R	-0.426%	0.1R	4.5×	12
2h	+1.925%	0.3R	-0.426%	0.1R	4.5×	24
4h	+1.925%	0.3R	-1.056%	0.2R	1.8×	48
4.2h ★	+1.925%	0.3R	-1.056%	0.2R	1.8×	49
8h	+6.046%	1.0R	-1.056%	0.2R	5.7×	96
12h	+9.518%	1.5R	-1.056%	0.2R	9.0×	144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60

ML Pullback Score: 5.74

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 40%	mid	—	—	0.37	bear_high	-6.47%	-0.80	02/08 20:00
4h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 37%	early	—	—	0.47	bear_high	-2.15%	+0.18	03/08 04:00
1h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 37%	mid	—	—	0.15	bear_low	-1.09%	+0.16	03/08 05:00
15m	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 39%	early	—	—	0.13	range_low	-0.54%	+0.20	03/08 05:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	7b	—	5.323×ATR	p68	-0.482×ATR	p50
4h	↓ down	early	5b	—	1.509×ATR	p0	+0.452×ATR	p52
1h	↑ up	mid	1b	—	1.717×ATR	p4	+0.94×ATR	p73
15m	↑ up	early	7b	—	2.058×ATR	p22	+0.281×ATR	p37

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.02859985
tp_price: 0.03126045
atr: 0.00075926
expires_at: 2026-08-03T16:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 3
total: 39
score: 0.669
delta_2h: 0.1166
extension_atr: 0.59
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8538
confidence: 0.997

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.0305	0.0286	0.03126	0.4	0.09158

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.0305
Stop Loss: 0.0286
Take Profit: 0.03126

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.0286 - 0.0305 = -0.0019
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.0305 - 0.03126 = -0.00076
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00076 / -0.0019 = 0.4

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
128.5378	100	4214.63	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.0019

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0019 = -4210.53

Taille de position USD = -4210.53 x 0.0305 = -128.42

Donc, tu peux acheter -4210.53 avec un stoploss a 0.0286

Avec un position size USD de -128.42$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -4210.53 x -0.0019 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -4210.53 x -0.00076 = 3.2

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.2$

Résumé

Taille de position -4210.53
Taille de position USD -128.42
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.2
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.49 %	3.2 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
6.23 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
-0.12 $	-0.09

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.0557 %	16.95 %	18

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.0305	0.0286	0.03126	0.4	0.09158

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.0305
Stop Loss: 0.0286
Take Profit: 0.03126

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.0286 - 0.0305 = -0.0019
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.0305 - 0.03126 = -0.00076
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00076 / -0.0019 = 0.4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03126
            [entry_price] => 0.0305
            [stop_loss] => 0.02841
            [rr_ratio] => 0.36
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-03 15:05:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03126
            [entry_price] => 0.0305
            [stop_loss] => 0.02822
            [rr_ratio] => 0.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-03 15:05:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03126
            [entry_price] => 0.0305
            [stop_loss] => 0.02803
            [rr_ratio] => 0.31
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-03 15:05:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03126
            [entry_price] => 0.0305
            [stop_loss] => 0.02765
            [rr_ratio] => 0.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-03 15:05:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4.2h) Initial Risk: -6.230% (0.0019)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.925%	0.3R	-0.426%	0.1R	4.5×	12
2h	+1.925%	0.3R	-0.426%	0.1R	4.5×	24
4h	+1.925%	0.3R	-1.056%	0.2R	1.8×	48
4.2h ★	+1.925%	0.3R	-1.056%	0.2R	1.8×	49
8h	+6.046%	1.0R	-1.056%	0.2R	5.7×	96
12h	+9.518%	1.5R	-1.056%	0.2R	9.0×	144

computed 2 months ago

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