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Short Trade on ACE

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03 Aug 2026 at 06:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ACE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1832.57 ACE at 0.065$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06337 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06937 (6.72 %)

ACE SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Aug 2026 06:10 → 06:20 · 9 minutes

Position

Entry 0.065$

Qty 1832.5717 ACE

Size 119.1172$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.06337 (+2.51%)

TP $ 2.99$

SL 0.06937 (-6.72%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.37

Status win PnL 0.00% MAE -4.46% MFE +1.08% 0.2R expires 03 Aug 06:20 Exit rank_decay: short rank=13 <= threshold=28/38

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 57243)
#13 / 38 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 03/08/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1803

Quality Score
0.545
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/08 06:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#13 / 38 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+1
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.72 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#13 / 38 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.72 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.11×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h — — OK
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1)

03/08 06:00

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/08 05:00

Score : +1 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1258
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational bear expansion — +1
Tactical bear expansion — +1
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.53
Transition risk : 0.47
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.47
Snapshot évalué : 03/08 06:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 03/08/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.5446
Score SMA
0.4060
Rank
#13 / 38
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1803
Rank Norm SMA
0.1531
Calculé le
03/08/2026 06:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3481 r1h: -4.956% · r4h: -2.976% · r1d: -0.15% · r3d: -1.81% · ema21_slope: 0.1596% · dist_ema21: -1.731%
Force Relative 25% 0.3252 rs_1h: -5.209% · rs_4h: -2.766% · rs_1d: 0.76% · rs_3d: -0.21% · beta_24h: -1.627
Volume 20% 0.6836 rvol_20: 1.84× · zscore_50: 1.044 · trend: 201.69%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8143 ADX: 37.7 (trend) · Chop: 17.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.811% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -6.723% (0.0044)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.077% 0.2R -0.154% 0.0R 7.0× 12
2h +1.077% 0.2R -2.462% 0.4R 0.4× 24
4h ★ +1.077% 0.2R -4.462% 0.7R 0.2× 48
8h +1.077% 0.2R -4.462% 0.7R 0.2× 96
12h +1.077% 0.2R -4.462% 0.7R 0.2× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.51
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d —
4h —
1h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 39% late near 0.1ATR — 0.04 bear_low -1.09% +0.13 03/08 05:00
15m —
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1h ↓ down late 2b — 4.638×ATR p83 -0.936×ATR p73

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.06936545
  2. tp_price: 0.063375
  3. atr: 0.00174618
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-03T16:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 38
  2. total: 39
  3. score: 0.3481
  4. delta_2h: 0
  5. extension_atr: -0.71
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1803
  9. confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.065 0.06937 0.06337 0.37 0.1694
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.065
  • Stop Loss: 0.06937
  • Take Profit: 0.06337

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.06937 - 0.065 = 0.00437

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.065 - 0.06337 = 0.00163

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00163 / 0.00437 = 0.373

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
119.1172 100 1832.5717 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00437

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00437 = 1830.66

Taille de position USD = 1830.66 x 0.065 = 118.99

Donc, tu peux acheter 1830.66 avec un stoploss a 0.06937

Avec un position size USD de 118.99$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1830.66 x 0.00437 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1830.66 x 0.00163 = 2.98

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.98$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1830.66
  • Taille de position USD 118.99
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.98
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.373

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 2.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.72 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
0 $ 0.00
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1538 % 2.29 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.065 0.06937 0.06337 0.37 0.1694
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.065
  • Stop Loss: 0.06937
  • Take Profit: 0.06337

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.06937 - 0.065 = 0.00437

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.065 - 0.06337 = 0.00163

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00163 / 0.00437 = 0.373

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -6.723% (0.0044)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.077% 0.2R -0.154% 0.0R 7.0× 12
2h +1.077% 0.2R -2.462% 0.4R 0.4× 24
4h ★ +1.077% 0.2R -4.462% 0.7R 0.2× 48
8h +1.077% 0.2R -4.462% 0.7R 0.2× 96
12h +1.077% 0.2R -4.462% 0.7R 0.2× 144

computed 2 months ago

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