Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 93.61 KAITO at 0.994$ per unit. Take profit: 0.9696 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.08 (8.6 %)
03 Aug 2026 at 07:10:03
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Aug 2026 07:10
→ 10:10
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.9945$
Qty 93.6112 KAITO
Size 93.0963$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.9696 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.33$
SL 1.08 (-8.6%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.29
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +2.33$
MAE -3.49%
MFE +6.42%
0.8R
expires
03 Aug 13:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 57290)
#38 / 38
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/08/2026 07:00
score du 03/08/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0034
Quality Score
0.386
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
26.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/08 07:02
03/08 07:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#38 / 38
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.60 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#38 / 38
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.60 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.62×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.19×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.63×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 03/08 07:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 03/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/08 06:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1259
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.53
Transition risk :
0.47
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.47
Snapshot évalué :
03/08 07:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
03/08/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.3859
Score SMA
0.4263
Rank
#38
/ 38
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0034
Rank Norm SMA
0.1586
Calculé le
03/08/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2994 | r1h: -0.574% · r4h: 3.835% · r1d: -16.02% · r3d: -9.45% · ema21_slope: -0.5518% · dist_ema21: -2.121% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3733 | rs_1h: -0.373% · rs_4h: 3.688% · rs_1d: -15.25% · rs_3d: -7.56% · beta_24h: -1.010 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1990 | rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.593 · trend: -21.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5412 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 52.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8180 | ATR%: 3.546% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.597%
(0.0855)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.542% | 0.2R | -1.931% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.681% | 0.2R | -3.489% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.456% | 0.4R | -3.489% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +6.419% | 0.8R | -3.489% | 0.4R | 1.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +7.429% | 0.9R | -3.489% | 0.4R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.498% | 1.0R | -3.489% | 0.4R | 2.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.54
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.42 | bear_high | -6.47% | +0.98 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.03 | bear_high | -1.81% | -0.70 | 03/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | -0.13 | bear_low | -1.05% | -0.61 | 03/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.49% | +0.55 | 03/08 06:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.946×ATR | p10 | -0.737×ATR | p63 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 3.384×ATR | p28 | -0.749×ATR | p69 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.625×ATR | p4 | -0.028×ATR | p3 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.266×ATR | p8 | +0.2×ATR | p14 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1.0799599
- tp_price: 0.9696375
- atr: 0.03418396
- expires_at: 2026-08-03T17:10:03+00:00
Details
- rank: 39
- total: 39
- score: 0.2994
- delta_2h: -0.0514
- extension_atr: -0.79
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0034
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:10 | 0.99450000 | 0% |
| 2 | 09:10 | 1.00010000 | +0.563% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9945 | 1.08 | 0.9696 | 0.29 | 0.3204 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.9945
- Stop Loss: 1.08
- Take Profit: 0.9696
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.08 - 0.9945 = 0.0855
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.9945 - 0.9696 = 0.0249
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0249 / 0.0855 = 0.2912
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93.0963 | 93.0963 | 93.6112 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0855
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0855 = 93.57
Taille de position USD = 93.57 x 0.9945 = 93.06
Donc, tu peux acheter 93.57 avec un stoploss a 1.08
Avec un position size USD de 93.06$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 93.57 x 0.0855 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 93.57 x 0.0249 = 2.33
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.33$
Résumé
- Taille de position 93.57
- Taille de position USD 93.06
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.33
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2912
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.33 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.6 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.33 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.4892 % | 40.58 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9945 | 1.08 | 0.9696 | 0.29 | 0.3204 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.9945
- Stop Loss: 1.08
- Take Profit: 0.9696
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.08 - 0.9945 = 0.0855
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.9945 - 0.9696 = 0.0249
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0249 / 0.0855 = 0.2912
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.597%
(0.0855)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.542% | 0.2R | -1.931% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.681% | 0.2R | -3.489% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.456% | 0.4R | -3.489% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +6.419% | 0.8R | -3.489% | 0.4R | 1.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +7.429% | 0.9R | -3.489% | 0.4R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.498% | 1.0R | -3.489% | 0.4R | 2.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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