Short Trade on CRV (CatchTheWave)
With 13301.19 CRV at 0.205$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2035 (0.59 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2053 (0.29 %)
Short Trade on CRV (CatchTheWave)
With 13301.19 CRV at 0.205$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2035 (0.59 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2053 (0.29 %)
Position
Entry 0.2047$
Qty 13301.1888 CRV
Size 2722.6203$ (margin 100$) (leverage 27)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2035 (+0.59%)
TP $ 15.96$
SL 0.2053 (-0.29%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3622
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -1.76×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.69×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 10:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.607265 15m : 0.416735 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : bull_low_confirmed 5m_regime : bull_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 03/08 09:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5226 | r1h: 1.043% · r4h: 1.163% · r1d: 0.15% · r3d: -1.39% · ema21_slope: -0.0536% · dist_ema21: 0.947% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5477 | rs_1h: 0.673% · rs_4h: 1.009% · rs_1d: 0.45% · rs_3d: -0.84% · beta_24h: 0.793 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9983 | rvol_20: 5.00× · zscore_50: 3.159 · trend: 98.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5494 | ADX: 16.9 (weak) · Chop: 49.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.611% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.186% | 0.6R | -0.430% | 1.5R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.186% | 0.6R | -0.620% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.186% | 0.6R | -0.918% | 3.1R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.186% | 0.6R | -1.055% | 3.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.186% | 0.6R | -1.055% | 3.6R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.68 | bear_high | -7.04% | -0.54 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near -1.8ATR | — | 0.52 | bear_high | -1.85% | -0.11 | 03/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.53 | range_medium | -0.64% | +0.09 | 03/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | range_low |
45%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.04% | +0.04 | 03/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 20b | — | 2.955×ATR | p25 | -0.533×ATR | p57 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.692×ATR | p0 | -0.137×ATR | p19 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 3.538×ATR | p79 | +1.711×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 2.515×ATR | p36 | +1.424×ATR | p82 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62730
0.00779378
63219
0.607265
62937.7
0.00446817
63219
0.416735
63359.9
-0.00711733
62909
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5.2544
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0.1664
0.48
0.2713
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0.6668
0.3387
-8.5273
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0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 07:50:00 | 0.2011 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 08:15:00 | 0.20218 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:25:00 | 0.20099 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:40:00 | 0.20296 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 10:25:00 | 0.20242 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 10:50:00 | 0.20163 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 11:20:00 | 0.20237 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 12:05:00 | 0.2015 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 13:20:00 | 0.20478 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 13:55:00 | 0.205 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 18:30:00 | 0.20533 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 0.20414 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:45:00 | 0.20612 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 03:00:00 | 0.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 04:15:00 | 0.2015 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 06:00:00 | 0.20167 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 06:45:00 | 0.20047 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:30:00 | 0.20296 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 12:00:00 | 0.2015 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 13:45:00 | 0.205 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 12:00:00 | 0.20911 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 19:00:00 | 0.2152 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 0.20555 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 17:00:00 | 0.2101 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 19:00:00 | 0.1989 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 08:00:00 | 0.20716 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 0.20286 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 0.20612 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 03:00:00 | 0.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 13:00:00 | 0.20478 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2047 | 0.2053 | 0.2035 | 2 | 0.361 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2053 - 0.2047 = 0.00060000000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2047 - 0.2035 = 0.0012
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0012 / 0.00060000000000002 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2722.6203 | 100 | 13301.1888 | 27.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00060000000000002 = 13333.33
Taille de position USD = 13333.33 x 0.2047 = 2729.33
Donc, tu peux acheter 13333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.2053
Avec un position size USD de 2729.33$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 13333.33 x 0.00060000000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 13333.33 x 0.0012 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.59 % | 15.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.29 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.98 $ | -0.29 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4299 % | 146.67 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2047 | 0.2053 | 0.2035 | 2 | 0.361 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2053 - 0.2047 = 0.00060000000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2047 - 0.2035 = 0.0012
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0012 / 0.00060000000000002 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.186% | 0.6R | -0.430% | 1.5R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.186% | 0.6R | -0.620% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.186% | 0.6R | -0.918% | 3.1R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.186% | 0.6R | -1.055% | 3.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.186% | 0.6R | -1.055% | 3.6R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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