Short Trade on SOL (CatchTheWave)
With 34.9 SOL at 73.186$ per unit. Take profit: 72.7276 (0.63 %) & Stop Loss: 73.4152 (0.31 %)
Short Trade on SOL (CatchTheWave)
With 34.9 SOL at 73.186$ per unit. Take profit: 72.7276 (0.63 %) & Stop Loss: 73.4152 (0.31 %)
Position
Entry 73.186$
Qty 34.9021 SOL
Size 2554.3465$ (margin 100$) (leverage 26)
Risk Setup
TP 72.7276 (+0.63%)
TP $ 16$
SL 73.4152 (-0.31%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6069
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.03×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.13×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 10:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.827585 15m : 0.832766 |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 03/08 09:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | expansion | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4979 | r1h: 0.529% · r4h: 0.080% · r1d: -0.23% · r3d: -0.66% · ema21_slope: -0.0487% · dist_ema21: -0.061% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5051 | rs_1h: 0.159% · rs_4h: -0.075% · rs_1d: 0.07% · rs_3d: -0.10% · beta_24h: 1.004 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5001 | rvol_20: 1.69× · zscore_50: 0.691 · trend: -1.87% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6467 | ADX: 20.0 (weak) · Chop: 40.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.483% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.254% | 0.8R | -0.834% | 2.7R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.254% | 0.8R | -0.834% | 2.7R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.254% | 0.8R | -1.208% | 3.9R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.254% | 0.8R | -1.488% | 4.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.254% | 0.8R | -1.488% | 4.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.87 | bear_high | -7.04% | -0.32 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.83 | bear_high | -1.85% | +0.02 | 03/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | expansion | range_medium |
43%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.85 | range_medium | -0.64% | -0.01 | 03/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | — | range_low | -0.04% | +0.02 | 03/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 30b | — | 4.479×ATR | p61 | -0.526×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.362×ATR | p11 | -0.473×ATR | p44 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.32×ATR | p34 | +0.379×ATR | p41 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 2.572×ATR | p39 | +1.476×ATR | p89 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62732.9
0.00787565
63227
0.827585
62937.9
0.00459275
63227
0.832766
63390.8
-0.0034524
63172
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
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[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
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71.955
193
0.4828
0.6743
0.298
0.2497
0.3375
1
0.1262
0.5302
0.3692
0.7343
0.6356
0.5628
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0.6667
0.8322
0.5999
0.5
0.5
-1
6
0.9474
0.5531
0.5096
6.5354
0.7
1.4475
6.6319
0.5999
0
0.2949
0.78
0.0994
0.5207
0.4582
0.8385
0.5628
-5.3262
6.8554
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 07:30:00 | 72.665 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:30:00 | 71.955 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:55:00 | 72.763 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 11:10:00 | 72.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 11:35:00 | 72.604 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 12:05:00 | 72.306 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 12:15:00 | 72.522 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 12:45:00 | 72.498 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 13:30:00 | 72.301 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 14:00:00 | 73.282 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 72.874 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 18:30:00 | 73.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 21:45:00 | 74.271 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 02:00:00 | 72.883 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 03:45:00 | 72.677 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 08:30:00 | 71.955 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:45:00 | 72.763 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 12:00:00 | 72.306 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 13:30:00 | 72.301 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 14:00:00 | 73.282 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 72.782 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 72.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 73.175 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 72.625 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 70.552 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 73.635 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 13:00:00 | 72.671 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 74.271 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 71.955 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 14:00:00 | 73.282 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73.186 | 73.4152 | 72.7276 | 2 | 121.27 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 73.4152 - 73.186 = 0.22919999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 73.186 - 72.7276 = 0.45840000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.45840000000001 / 0.22919999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2554.3465 | 100 | 34.9021 | 26.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.22919999999999 = 34.9
Taille de position USD = 34.9 x 73.186 = 2554.19
Donc, tu peux acheter 34.9 avec un stoploss a 73.4152
Avec un position size USD de 2554.19$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 34.9 x 0.22919999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 34.9 x 0.45840000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.63 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.31 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.31 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6545 % | 208.97 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73.186 | 73.4152 | 72.7276 | 2 | 121.27 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 73.4152 - 73.186 = 0.22919999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 73.186 - 72.7276 = 0.45840000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.45840000000001 / 0.22919999999999 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.254% | 0.8R | -0.834% | 2.7R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.254% | 0.8R | -0.834% | 2.7R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.254% | 0.8R | -1.208% | 3.9R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.254% | 0.8R | -1.488% | 4.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.254% | 0.8R | -1.488% | 4.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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