Short Trade on UNI

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03 Aug 2026 at 12:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on UNI (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 58.72 UNI at 3.933$ per unit. Take profit: 3.8347 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 4.0692 (3.46 %)

UNI SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Aug 2026 12:10 → 12:15 · 4 minutes

Position

Entry 3.933$

Qty 58.7213 UNI

Size 230.9509$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 3.8347 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.77$

SL 4.0692 (-3.46%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.72

Status win PnL +1.08% / +2.5$ MAE -0.36% MFE +1.52% 0.4R expires 03 Aug 12:20 Exit rank_decay: short rank=28 <= threshold=28/38

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 57463)

#28 / 38 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 03/08/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1914

Quality Score

0.512

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

10.2M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
03/08 12:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#28 / 38 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-4 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.46 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#28 / 38 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-4 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.46 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.08×ATR
4h	near	-1.03×ATR
1d	clear	5.59×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 12:00 Score : 0

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_medium_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

03/08 12:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 03/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 03/08 11:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

02/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

03/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

03/08 11:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1264

range compression range_bound

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	range	compression	—	0
Tactical	range	range	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.53

Transition risk : 0.47

Score contribution (this trade) 0

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.72

Snapshot évalué : 03/08 12:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 03/08/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.5115

Score SMA

0.5032

Rank

#28 / 38

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1914

Rank Norm SMA

0.3205

Calculé le

03/08/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2705	r1h: -2.561% · r4h: -3.117% · r1d: -6.67% · r3d: -7.34% · ema21_slope: -0.1479% · dist_ema21: -3.881%
Force Relative	25%	0.1269	rs_1h: -2.289% · rs_4h: -5.087% · rs_1d: -7.72% · rs_3d: -9.04% · beta_24h: 0.136
Volume	20%	1.0000	rvol_20: 3.88× · zscore_50: 3.659 · trend: 105.85%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6574	ADX: 18.9 (weak) · Chop: 34.4 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.467% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -3.463% (0.1362)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.521%	0.4R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+1.521%	0.4R	-0.359%	0.1R	4.2×	24
4h ★	+1.521%	0.4R	-0.359%	0.1R	4.2×	48
8h	+1.521%	0.4R	-0.384%	0.1R	4.0×	96
12h	+3.176%	0.9R	-0.384%	0.1R	8.3×	144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 5.15

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 36%	early	—	—	0.66	bear_high	-7.04%	+0.89	02/08 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	compression	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 41%	mid	near -1.0ATR	—	0.52	range_high	-0.17%	-0.68	03/08 08:00
1h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	56%	noisy_chop 46%	late	near -0.1ATR	—	0.42	range_medium	+0.66%	-0.65	03/08 11:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	45%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	—	—	bull_low_confirmed	+1.12%	-0.46	03/08 11:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	33b	—	5.373×ATR	p47	+0.02×ATR	p2
4h	↓ down	mid	8b	—	2.31×ATR	p24	-0.757×ATR	p75
1h	↓ down	late	2b	—	3.168×ATR	p74	-2.058×ATR	p95
15m	↓ down	late	7b	—	5.223×ATR	p90	-2.634×ATR	p99

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 4.06923677
tp_price: 3.834675
atr: 0.05449471
expires_at: 2026-08-03T22:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 38
total: 39
score: 0.2705
delta_2h: -0.1797
extension_atr: -2.6
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1914
confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
3.933	4.0692	3.8347	0.72	8.8599

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 3.933
Stop Loss: 4.0692
Take Profit: 3.8347

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 4.0692 - 3.933 = 0.1362
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 3.933 - 3.8347 = 0.0983
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0983 / 0.1362 = 0.7217

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
230.9509	100	58.7213	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.1362

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1362 = 58.74

Taille de position USD = 58.74 x 3.933 = 231.02

Donc, tu peux acheter 58.74 avec un stoploss a 4.0692

Avec un position size USD de 231.02$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 58.74 x 0.1362 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 58.74 x 0.0983 = 5.77

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.77$

Résumé

Taille de position 58.74
Taille de position USD 231.02
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 5.77
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7217

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	5.77 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.46 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
2.5 $	1.08

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
0 %	0 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
3.933	4.0692	3.8347	0.72	8.8599

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 3.933
Stop Loss: 4.0692
Take Profit: 3.8347

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 4.0692 - 3.933 = 0.1362
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 3.933 - 3.8347 = 0.0983
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0983 / 0.1362 = 0.7217

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -3.463% (0.1362)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.521%	0.4R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+1.521%	0.4R	-0.359%	0.1R	4.2×	24
4h ★	+1.521%	0.4R	-0.359%	0.1R	4.2×	48
8h	+1.521%	0.4R	-0.384%	0.1R	4.0×	96
12h	+3.176%	0.9R	-0.384%	0.1R	8.3×	144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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