Long Trade on PUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 104356.9 PUMP at 0.00217$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002364 (8.84 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002095 (3.55 %)
03 Aug 2026 at 13:09:33
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
03 Aug 2026 13:09
→ 01:00
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.002172$
Qty 104356.9006 PUMP
Size 226.6632$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002364 (+8.84%)
TP $ 20.04$
SL 0.002095 (-3.55%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 2.49
Status
win
PnL
+2.49%
/ +5.64$
MAE -3.13%
MFE +3.96%
1.1R
expires
04 Aug 01:09
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 57516)
#18 / 38
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 03/08/2026 13:00
score du 03/08/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3333
Quality Score
0.552
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
22.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/08 13:02
03/08 13:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#18 / 38
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#18 / 38
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.05×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 13:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 03/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 03/08 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1265
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.53
Transition risk :
0.47
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.72
Snapshot évalué :
03/08 13:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
03/08/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.5516
Score SMA
0.4974
Rank
#18
/ 38
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3333
Rank Norm SMA
0.2882
Calculé le
03/08/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5788 | r1h: 2.156% · r4h: 2.107% · r1d: -0.88% · r3d: -0.23% · ema21_slope: -0.0346% · dist_ema21: 1.085% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5565 | rs_1h: 2.024% · rs_4h: 0.403% · rs_1d: -1.79% · rs_3d: -1.66% · beta_24h: 1.097 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3556 | rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: -0.304 · trend: 45.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4514 | ADX: 14.4 (weak) · Chop: 59.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.770% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.545%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.670% | 0.8R | -0.276% | 0.1R | 9.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.960% | 1.1R | -0.276% | 0.1R | 14.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.960% | 1.1R | -1.381% | 0.4R | 2.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.960% | 1.1R | -3.131% | 0.9R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.960% | 1.1R | -3.131% | 0.9R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.709% | 1.6R | -3.131% | 0.9R | 1.8× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.95
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.61 | bear_high | -7.04% | +1.00 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | near -1.8ATR | — | 0.49 | range_high | -0.15% | +0.29 | 03/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.33 | range_medium | +0.62% | -0.17 | 03/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | — | bull_low | +1.01% | -0.15 | 03/08 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 20b | — | 4.254×ATR | p65 | +0.361×ATR | p43 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 2.848×ATR | p50 | -0.3×ATR | p29 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.141×ATR | p0 | +0.101×ATR | p13 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.173×ATR | p31 | +0.811×ATR | p72 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9419
- reason: up_bo width=2.98×ATR dur=73b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.00209534
- tp_price: 0.00236364
- atr:
- score: 0.94194107471476
- expires_at: 2026-08-04T05:09:25.346081
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.94194107471476
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0678
- obi_top10 : 0.0958
- micro_price : 0.00217946
- spread_pct : 0.091827
- mid_price : 0.002179
- bid_wall_price : 0.00216
- bid_wall_size : 65051597.6
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.00221
- ask_wall_size : 40776283.6
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.085
- obi_top5_std : 0.0199
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7102
- aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.0021575
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.002041
- balance_zone_mid:
0.00209925
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785517200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785776400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9829
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
73
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.9419
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785772800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.0021575
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7123
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3713
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
19
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 3.906E-5 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
73
inside_close_ratio
0.7123
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3713
Signaux confirmants (10)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:09 | 0.00217200 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:15 | 0.00217200 | 0% |
| 3 | 13:21 | 0.00217600 | +0.184% |
| 4 | 13:27 | 0.00217600 | +0.184% |
| 5 | 13:33 | 0.00217600 | +0.184% |
| 6 | 13:39 | 0.00217000 | -0.092% |
| 7 | 13:45 | 0.00217000 | -0.092% |
| 8 | 13:51 | 0.00218600 | +0.645% |
| 9 | 13:57 | 0.00218600 | +0.645% |
| 10 | 14:04 | 0.00218600 | +0.645% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7102ms
Confidence avant OB :
94%
→
94%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.068
avg 0.085
± 0.020
OBI Top 10
0.096
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0022
Micro Price
0.0022
Spread
0.0918%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0022
Size
65,051,597.60
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0022
Size
40,776,283.60
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002172 | 0.002095 | 0.002364 | 2.49 | 0.006349 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002172
- Stop Loss: 0.002095
- Take Profit: 0.002364
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002095 - 0.002172 = -7.7E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002172 - 0.002364 = -0.000192
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000192 / -7.7E-5 = 2.4935
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 226.6632 | 100 | 104356.9006 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -7.7E-5
Taille de position = 8 / -7.7E-5 = -103896.1
Taille de position USD = -103896.1 x 0.002172 = -225.66
Donc, tu peux acheter -103896.1 avec un stoploss a 0.002095
Avec un position size USD de -225.66$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -103896.1 x -7.7E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -103896.1 x -0.000192 = 19.95
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.95$
Résumé
- Taille de position -103896.1
- Taille de position USD -225.66
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.95
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4935
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.84 % | 20.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.55 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.64 $ | 2.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.1308 % | 88.31 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002172 | 0.002095 | 0.002364 | 2.49 | 0.006349 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002172
- Stop Loss: 0.002095
- Take Profit: 0.002364
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002095 - 0.002172 = -7.7E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002172 - 0.002364 = -0.000192
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000192 / -7.7E-5 = 2.4935
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.545%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.670% | 0.8R | -0.276% | 0.1R | 9.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.960% | 1.1R | -0.276% | 0.1R | 14.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.960% | 1.1R | -1.381% | 0.4R | 2.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.960% | 1.1R | -3.131% | 0.9R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.960% | 1.1R | -3.131% | 0.9R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.709% | 1.6R | -3.131% | 0.9R | 1.8× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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