Long Trade on VVV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 12.56 VVV at 12.39$ per unit. Take profit: 13.9818 (12.85 %) & Stop Loss: 11.7533 (5.14 %)
03 Aug 2026 at 14:15:27
hyperliquid
VVV
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
03 Aug 2026 14:15
→ 02:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 12.39$
Qty 12.5648 VVV
Size 155.6776$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 13.9818 (+12.85%)
TP $ 20$
SL 11.7533 (-5.14%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.51%
/ -2.35$
MAE -1.92%
MFE +1.90%
0.4R
expires
04 Aug 02:15
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 57552)
#1 / 38
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/08/2026 14:00
score du 03/08/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6469
Quality Score
0.786
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/08 14:02
03/08 14:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#1 / 38
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.14 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 38
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.14 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.20×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 11.18×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.44×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 03/08 14:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 03/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 03/08 13:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1266
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.53
Transition risk :
0.47
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.72
Snapshot évalué :
03/08 14:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
03/08/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.7859
Score SMA
0.5206
Rank
#1
/ 38
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6469
Rank Norm SMA
0.4212
Calculé le
03/08/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6782 | r1h: 3.471% · r4h: 3.228% · r1d: 5.19% · r3d: 3.82% · ema21_slope: 0.0655% · dist_ema21: 4.042% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7517 | rs_1h: 3.281% · rs_4h: 2.397% · rs_1d: 4.29% · rs_3d: 2.78% · beta_24h: 1.766 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 7.52× · zscore_50: 5.612 · trend: 235.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6301 | ADX: 15.6 (weak) · Chop: 27.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.400% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.139%
(0.6367)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.897% | 0.4R | -0.589% | 0.1R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.897% | 0.4R | -0.589% | 0.1R | 3.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.897% | 0.4R | -0.589% | 0.1R | 3.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.897% | 0.4R | -1.671% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.897% | 0.4R | -1.921% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 143 |
| 24h | +1.897% | 0.4R | -3.955% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.18
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -7.04% | +0.72 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.49 | range_high | -0.20% | +0.01 | 03/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.43 | bull_medium_confirmed | +0.80% | +0.33 | 03/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | — | bull_low | +1.11% | +0.27 | 03/08 13:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 3.231×ATR | p35 | -0.396×ATR | p41 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 37b | — | 5.11×ATR | p82 | +0.68×ATR | p69 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 5.086×ATR | p96 | +2.513×ATR | p100 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +2.619×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7961
- reason: up_bo width=2.83×ATR dur=65b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 11.75329937
- tp_price: 13.98175158
- atr:
- score: 0.79613324666799
- expires_at: 2026-08-04T06:15:19.325604
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79613324666799
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0759
- obi_top10 : 0.0076
- micro_price : 12.3381501
- spread_pct : 0.05674
- mid_price : 12.3405
- bid_wall_price : 12.2
- bid_wall_size : 7167.31
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 12.4
- ask_wall_size : 6091.85
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0734
- obi_top5_std : 0.0055
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7095
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
12.0025
- balance_zone_bottom:
11.537
- balance_zone_mid:
11.76975
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785549600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785780000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8297
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
65
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7961
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785776400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
12.0025
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9692
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.3555
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.16450632 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
65
inside_close_ratio
0.9692
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
2.3555
Signaux confirmants (25)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:15 | 12.39000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:21 | 12.35400000 | -0.291% |
| 3 | 14:27 | 12.35400000 | -0.291% |
| 4 | 14:33 | 12.35400000 | -0.291% |
| 5 | 14:39 | 12.36600000 | -0.194% |
| 6 | 14:45 | 12.36600000 | -0.194% |
| 7 | 15:51 | 12.45800000 | +0.549% |
| 8 | 15:57 | 12.45800000 | +0.549% |
| 9 | 16:04 | 12.45800000 | +0.549% |
| 10 | 18:39 | 12.41900000 | +0.234% |
| 11 | 18:45 | 12.41900000 | +0.234% |
| 12 | 18:51 | 12.41300000 | +0.186% |
| 13 | 18:57 | 12.41300000 | +0.186% |
| 14 | 19:04 | 12.41300000 | +0.186% |
| 15 | 19:09 | 12.36500000 | -0.202% |
| 16 | 19:15 | 12.36500000 | -0.202% |
| 17 | 19:21 | 12.34800000 | -0.339% |
| 18 | 19:27 | 12.34800000 | -0.339% |
| 19 | 19:34 | 12.34800000 | -0.339% |
| 20 | 19:39 | 12.32200000 | -0.549% |
| 21 | 19:45 | 12.32200000 | -0.549% |
| 22 | 19:51 | 12.40800000 | +0.145% |
| 23 | 19:57 | 12.40800000 | +0.145% |
| 24 | 20:04 | 12.40800000 | +0.145% |
| 25 | 20:09 | 12.38100000 | -0.073% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7095ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
80%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.076
avg 0.073
± 0.006
OBI Top 10
0.008
Microstructure
Mid Price
12.3405
Micro Price
12.3382
Spread
0.0567%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
12.2000
Size
7,167.31
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
12.4000
Size
6,091.85
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.39 | 11.7533 | 13.9818 | 2.5 | 28.733 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 12.39
- Stop Loss: 11.7533
- Take Profit: 13.9818
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.7533 - 12.39 = -0.6367
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.39 - 13.9818 = -1.5918
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5918 / -0.6367 = 2.5001
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155.6776 | 100 | 12.5648 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.6367
Taille de position = 8 / -0.6367 = -12.56
Taille de position USD = -12.56 x 12.39 = -155.62
Donc, tu peux acheter -12.56 avec un stoploss a 11.7533
Avec un position size USD de -155.62$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -12.56 x -0.6367 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -12.56 x -1.5918 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -12.56
- Taille de position USD -155.62
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5001
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 12.85 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.14 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.35 $ | -1.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.9209 % | 37.38 % | 16 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.39 | 11.7533 | 13.9818 | 2.5 | 28.733 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 12.39
- Stop Loss: 11.7533
- Take Profit: 13.9818
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.7533 - 12.39 = -0.6367
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.39 - 13.9818 = -1.5918
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5918 / -0.6367 = 2.5001
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.139%
(0.6367)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.897% | 0.4R | -0.589% | 0.1R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.897% | 0.4R | -0.589% | 0.1R | 3.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.897% | 0.4R | -0.589% | 0.1R | 3.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.897% | 0.4R | -1.671% | 0.3R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.897% | 0.4R | -1.921% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 143 |
| 24h | +1.897% | 0.4R | -3.955% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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