Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 413223.14 PUMP at 0.00218$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002215 (1.79 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002157 (0.87 %)
Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 413223.14 PUMP at 0.00218$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002215 (1.79 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002157 (0.87 %)
Position
Entry 0.002176$
Qty 413223.1405 PUMP
Size 899.1736$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002215 (+1.79%)
TP $ 16.12$
SL 0.002157 (-0.87%)
SL $ 7.85$
RR 2.05
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4347
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.84×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 03/08 15:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.254972 15m : 0.315162 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 03/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 03/08 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7135 | r1h: 0.541% · r4h: 5.333% · r1d: 4.40% · r3d: 5.04% · ema21_slope: 0.0863% · dist_ema21: 4.679% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7217 | rs_1h: 0.656% · rs_4h: 5.552% · rs_1d: 3.71% · rs_3d: 3.88% · beta_24h: 1.254 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9789 | rvol_20: 3.23× · zscore_50: 2.683 · trend: 102.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6651 | ADX: 19.8 (weak) · Chop: 33.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.917% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.597% | 0.7R | -0.919% | 1.1R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.597% | 0.7R | -1.563% | 1.8R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.597% | 0.7R | -3.125% | 3.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.597% | 0.7R | -3.309% | 3.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.550% | 5.2R | -3.309% | 3.8R | 1.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.61 | bear_high | -4.93% | +1.00 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.49 | range_high | -0.12% | +0.70 | 03/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.33 | bull_medium_confirmed | +0.86% | +0.43 | 03/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | — | 0.20 | bull_low | +1.04% | +0.27 | 03/08 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 20b | — | 4.908×ATR | p75 | +0.965×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.904×ATR | p0 | +0.913×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.496×ATR | p0 | +0.837×ATR | p74 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 3.455×ATR | p72 | -0.534×ATR | p51 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63561.3
0.00557988
63916
0.254972
63297.2
0.0094432
63895
0.315162
63449.7
0.00747489
63924
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0.002258
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0.6346
0.7651
0.115
0.0458
1
0.8364
1.0361
0.7
0.3
1
1
1
0.5194
0.707
4.2293
0.5
2.5493
4.9707
1.0361
0.1298
0.2651
0.8
0.3695
0.5628
0.5015
0.1816
0.7651
-2.386
7.7703
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 14:40:00 | 0.002135 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 14:50:00 | 0.00208 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 15:25:00 | 0.002086 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 15:55:00 | 0.002077 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:05:00 | 0.002077 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:15:00 | 0.002077 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:05:00 | 0.002193 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 17:35:00 | 0.002166 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:30:00 | 0.002258 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:40:00 | 0.002173 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 07:15:00 | 0.002102 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:15:00 | 0.002068 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:45:00 | 0.002148 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 12:00:00 | 0.002082 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 12:30:00 | 0.002082 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 14:30:00 | 0.002135 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:45:00 | 0.002077 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:15:00 | 0.002077 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:30:00 | 0.002258 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:30:00 | 0.002173 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 22:00:00 | 0.002024 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 0.002249 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.002041 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 0.002288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 12:00:00 | 0.002129 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 0.002186 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 05:00:00 | 0.002044 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:00:00 | 0.002148 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:00:00 | 0.002077 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 0.002258 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002176 | 0.002157 | 0.002215 | 2.05 | 0.006413 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002157 - 0.002176 = -1.9E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002176 - 0.002215 = -3.9E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.9E-5 / -1.9E-5 = 2.0526
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 899.1736 | 100 | 413223.1405 | 9.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.9E-5 = -421052.63
Taille de position USD = -421052.63 x 0.002176 = -916.21
Donc, tu peux acheter -421052.63 avec un stoploss a 0.002157
Avec un position size USD de -916.21$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -421052.63 x -1.9E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -421052.63 x -3.9E-5 = 16.42
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.42$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.79 % | 16.12 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.87 % | 7.85 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.85 $ | -0.87 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9191 % | 105.26 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002176 | 0.002157 | 0.002215 | 2.05 | 0.006413 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002157 - 0.002176 = -1.9E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002176 - 0.002215 = -3.9E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.9E-5 / -1.9E-5 = 2.0526
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.597% | 0.7R | -0.919% | 1.1R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.597% | 0.7R | -1.563% | 1.8R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.597% | 0.7R | -3.125% | 3.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.597% | 0.7R | -3.309% | 3.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.550% | 5.2R | -3.309% | 3.8R | 1.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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