Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 4426.08 DOT at 0.824$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8281 (0.44 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8227 (0.22 %)
Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 4426.08 DOT at 0.824$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8281 (0.44 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8227 (0.22 %)
Position
Entry 0.8245$
Qty 4426.0762 DOT
Size 3649.3441$ (margin 100$) (leverage 36)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8281 (+0.44%)
TP $ 15.93$
SL 0.8227 (-0.22%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8291
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.35×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.24×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.29×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 03/08 15:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.395628 15m : 0.370973 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 03/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 03/08 15:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6323 | r1h: -0.001% · r4h: 0.555% · r1d: 3.81% · r3d: 7.87% · ema21_slope: 0.1783% · dist_ema21: 2.200% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6159 | rs_1h: 0.115% · rs_4h: 0.774% · rs_1d: 3.12% · rs_3d: 6.72% · beta_24h: 0.614 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3964 | rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: 0.354 · trend: 33.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7610 | ADX: 31.3 (trend) · Chop: 24.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.777% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.699% | 3.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.699% | 3.2R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.030% | 0.1R | -0.699% | 3.2R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.733% | 12.5R | -0.699% | 3.2R | 3.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.733% | 12.5R | -0.699% | 3.2R | 3.9× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -4.93% | -0.11 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
choppy 46% | late | — | — | 0.74 | range_high | -0.12% | +0.70 | 03/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
54%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.65 | bull_medium_confirmed | +0.86% | +0.29 | 03/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | — | bull_low | +1.04% | +0.05 | 03/08 15:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.444×ATR | p0 | +1.057×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 19b | — | 7.202×ATR | p100 | +1.867×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.972×ATR | p32 | +0.653×ATR | p58 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 18b | — | 4.073×ATR | p70 | -0.345×ATR | p32 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63560.7
0.00540058
63904
0.395628
63297.2
0.0094432
63895
0.370973
63449.7
0.00747489
63924
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0.7581
0.9468
0.2815
0.1812
1
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4.0131
0.5
0.5
1
5
1
0.5126
0.6866
5.887
0.5
0.3705
2.1811
4.0131
0.1334
0.1884
0.84
0.8354
0.612
0.5903
0.8013
0.9468
-0.6849
12.1783
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:55 | 0.82451000 | +0.001% |
| 2 | 16:02 | 0.82351000 | -0.12% |
| 3 | 16:08 | 0.82286000 | -0.199% |
| 4 | 16:14 | 0.82226000 | -0.272% |
| 5 | 16:20 | 0.82185000 | -0.321% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 14:15:00 | 0.8199 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 15:00:00 | 0.82404 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:05:00 | 0.81419 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:00:00 | 0.82704 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 16:40:00 | 0.82129 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:25:00 | 0.82992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 18:20:00 | 0.82973 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 18:30:00 | 0.82682 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:55:00 | 0.83152 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:55:00 | 0.82432 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 03:45:00 | 0.7871 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 05:30:00 | 0.78878 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 06:00:00 | 0.79838 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:30:00 | 0.79025 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:45:00 | 0.80667 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 14:00:00 | 0.82828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:00:00 | 0.81419 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:15:00 | 0.82992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 18:45:00 | 0.83152 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:45:00 | 0.82651 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 23:00:00 | 0.75783 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 0.76749 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 0.76058 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 0.78392 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.76317 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 0.79923 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 0.80063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 0.79096 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 03:00:00 | 0.7871 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 0.83152 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8245 | 0.8227 | 0.8281 | 2 | 1.1991 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8227 - 0.8245 = -0.0018
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8245 - 0.8281 = -0.0035999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0035999999999999 / -0.0018 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3649.3441 | 100 | 4426.0762 | 36.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0018 = -4444.44
Taille de position USD = -4444.44 x 0.8245 = -3664.44
Donc, tu peux acheter -4444.44 avec un stoploss a 0.8227
Avec un position size USD de -3664.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4444.44 x -0.0018 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4444.44 x -0.0035999999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.44 % | 15.93 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.22 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.97 $ | -0.22 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2717 % | 124.46 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8245 | 0.8227 | 0.8281 | 2 | 1.1991 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8227 - 0.8245 = -0.0018
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8245 - 0.8281 = -0.0035999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0035999999999999 / -0.0018 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.699% | 3.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.699% | 3.2R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.030% | 0.1R | -0.699% | 3.2R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.733% | 12.5R | -0.699% | 3.2R | 3.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.733% | 12.5R | -0.699% | 3.2R | 3.9× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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