Short Trade on KAITO

Previous Trade Next Trade

03 Aug 2026 at 16:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 103.16 KAITO at 0.917$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8943 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.9948 (8.46 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Aug 2026 16:10 → 22:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.9172$

Qty 103.1581 KAITO

Size 94.6176$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.8943 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.36$

SL 0.9948 (-8.46%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.3

Status win PnL 0.00% / +0.001$ MAE -2.38% MFE +0.79% 0.1R expires 03 Aug 22:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 57628)

#38 / 38 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 03/08/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0000

Quality Score

0.225

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

16.8M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
03/08 16:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#38 / 38 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

8.46 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#38 / 38 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

8.46 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-1.61×ATR
4h	near	-0.82×ATR
1d	clear	1.54×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 16:00 Score : 0

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

03/08 16:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/08 15:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

02/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

03/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/08 15:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1268

range compression range_bound

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	range	compression	—	0
Tactical	range	range	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.53

Transition risk : 0.47

Score contribution (this trade) 0

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.72

Snapshot évalué : 03/08 16:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 03/08/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.2245

Score SMA

0.3228

Rank

#38 / 38

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0000

Rank Norm SMA

0.0220

Calculé le

03/08/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.0730	r1h: -2.199% · r4h: -3.258% · r1d: -12.61% · r3d: -14.81% · ema21_slope: -0.3956% · dist_ema21: -6.475%
Force Relative	25%	0.0763	rs_1h: -2.332% · rs_4h: -3.671% · rs_1d: -13.36% · rs_3d: -16.38% · beta_24h: -0.749
Volume	20%	0.1478	rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -0.784 · trend: -51.09%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4977	ADX: 16.6 (weak) · Chop: 55.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.7936	ATR%: 3.619% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.461% (0.0776)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.383%	0.1R	-1.284%	0.2R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.496%	0.1R	-1.284%	0.2R	0.4×	24
4h	+0.786%	0.1R	-2.377%	0.3R	0.3×	48
6h ★	+0.786%	0.1R	-2.377%	0.3R	0.3×	72
8h	+2.853%	0.3R	-2.377%	0.3R	1.2×	96
12h	+2.853%	0.3R	-2.377%	0.3R	1.2×	144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 0.83

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 36%	mid	—	—	0.41	bear_high	-4.93%	+0.96	02/08 20:00
4h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	near -0.8ATR	—	0.01	range_high	-0.12%	-0.93	03/08 12:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	near -1.6ATR	—	-0.15	bull_medium_confirmed	+0.86%	-0.71	03/08 15:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 49%	mid	—	—	—	bull_low	+1.04%	-0.51	03/08 15:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	5b	—	2.996×ATR	p10	-0.782×ATR	p67
4h	↓ down	mid	12b	—	4.482×ATR	p72	-1.126×ATR	p83
1h	↓ down	mid	7b	—	3.309×ATR	p61	-1.063×ATR	p77
15m	↓ down	mid	4b	—	2.701×ATR	p50	-1.069×ATR	p77

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.99476086
tp_price: 0.89427975
atr: 0.03102034
expires_at: 2026-08-04T02:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 40
total: 40
score: 0.073
delta_2h: -0.0087
extension_atr: -1.92
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	16:10	0.91721000	+0.001%
2	17:10	0.92304000	+0.637%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.9172	0.9948	0.8943	0.3	0.3478

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.9172
Stop Loss: 0.9948
Take Profit: 0.8943

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.9948 - 0.9172 = 0.0776
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.9172 - 0.8943 = 0.0229
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0229 / 0.0776 = 0.2951

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
94.6176	94.6176	103.1581	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0776

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0776 = 103.09

Taille de position USD = 103.09 x 0.9172 = 94.55

Donc, tu peux acheter 103.09 avec un stoploss a 0.9948

Avec un position size USD de 94.55$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 103.09 x 0.0776 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 103.09 x 0.0229 = 2.36

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.36$

Résumé

Taille de position 103.09
Taille de position USD 94.55
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 2.36
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2951

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	2.36 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
8.46 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
0.001 $	0.00

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.3768 %	28.09 %	24

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.9172	0.9948	0.8943	0.3	0.3478

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.9172
Stop Loss: 0.9948
Take Profit: 0.8943

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.9948 - 0.9172 = 0.0776
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.9172 - 0.8943 = 0.0229
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0229 / 0.0776 = 0.2951

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.461% (0.0776)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.383%	0.1R	-1.284%	0.2R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.496%	0.1R	-1.284%	0.2R	0.4×	24
4h	+0.786%	0.1R	-2.377%	0.3R	0.3×	48
6h ★	+0.786%	0.1R	-2.377%	0.3R	0.3×	72
8h	+2.853%	0.3R	-2.377%	0.3R	1.2×	96
12h	+2.853%	0.3R	-2.377%	0.3R	1.2×	144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.