Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 4724.78 DOT at 0.821$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8241 (0.41 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8191 (0.19 %)
Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 4724.78 DOT at 0.821$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8241 (0.41 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8191 (0.19 %)
Position
Entry 0.8207$
Qty 4724.7815 DOT
Size 3877.8644$ (margin 100$) (leverage 39)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8241 (+0.41%)
TP $ 16.06$
SL 0.8191 (-0.19%)
SL $ 7.56$
RR 2.13
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8266
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.08×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.91×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.29×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 16:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.388089 15m : 0.371612 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 03/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 03/08 16:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6216 | r1h: -0.503% · r4h: 0.202% · r1d: 3.76% · r3d: 8.62% · ema21_slope: 0.1968% · dist_ema21: 1.824% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5653 | rs_1h: -0.636% · rs_4h: -0.211% · rs_1d: 3.00% · rs_3d: 7.05% · beta_24h: 0.592 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2660 | rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.292 · trend: 14.07% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7703 | ADX: 32.4 (trend) · Chop: 25.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.776% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.284% | 1.5R | -0.239% | 1.2R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.494% | 2.5R | -0.239% | 1.2R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.554% | 2.8R | -0.239% | 1.2R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.208% | 16.5R | -0.239% | 1.2R | 13.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.208% | 16.5R | -0.239% | 1.2R | 13.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -4.93% | -0.11 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.74 | range_high | -0.15% | +0.58 | 03/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
54%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | — | 0.65 | bull_medium | +0.75% | +0.22 | 03/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
50%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near -0.6ATR | — | — | bull_low | +0.98% | +0.03 | 03/08 16:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.444×ATR | p0 | +1.057×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 20b | — | 7.144×ATR | p100 | +1.295×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.294×ATR | p2 | +0.099×ATR | p9 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 3.032×ATR | p39 | -1.496×ATR | p89 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63579.2
0.00526532
63914
0.388089
63325.1
0.00981923
63947
0.371612
63462.5
0.00637293
63867
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0.7592
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0.251
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1
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3.3923
0.5
0.5
1
6
1
0.4924
0.6866
5.887
0.5
0.3705
2.1811
3.3923
0.1334
0.1933
0.78
0.7792
0.6245
0.5651
0.8509
0.8954
-1.4091
12.0689
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:25 | 0.82075000 | +0.006% |
| 2 | 16:32 | 0.82013000 | -0.069% |
| 3 | 16:38 | 0.82135000 | +0.079% |
| 4 | 16:44 | 0.81996000 | -0.09% |
| 5 | 16:49 | 0.81874000 | -0.239% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 14:15:00 | 0.8199 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 15:00:00 | 0.82404 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:05:00 | 0.81419 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:00:00 | 0.82704 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 16:40:00 | 0.82129 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:25:00 | 0.82992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 18:20:00 | 0.82973 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 18:30:00 | 0.82682 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:55:00 | 0.83152 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:20:00 | 0.82056 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 03:45:00 | 0.7871 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 05:30:00 | 0.78878 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 06:00:00 | 0.79838 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:30:00 | 0.79025 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:45:00 | 0.80667 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 14:00:00 | 0.82828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:00:00 | 0.81419 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:15:00 | 0.82992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 18:45:00 | 0.83152 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:15:00 | 0.82185 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 23:00:00 | 0.75783 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 0.76749 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 0.76058 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 0.78392 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.76317 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 0.79923 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 0.80063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 0.79096 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 03:00:00 | 0.7871 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 0.83152 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8207 | 0.8191 | 0.8241 | 2.13 | 1.2146 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8191 - 0.8207 = -0.0015999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8207 - 0.8241 = -0.0034000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0034000000000001 / -0.0015999999999999 = 2.125
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3877.8644 | 100 | 4724.7815 | 39.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0015999999999999 = -5000
Taille de position USD = -5000 x 0.8207 = -4103.5
Donc, tu peux acheter -5000 avec un stoploss a 0.8191
Avec un position size USD de -4103.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5000 x -0.0015999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5000 x -0.0034000000000001 = 17
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 17$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.41 % | 16.06 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.19 % | 7.56 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.56 $ | -0.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2388 % | 122.46 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8207 | 0.8191 | 0.8241 | 2.13 | 1.2146 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8191 - 0.8207 = -0.0015999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8207 - 0.8241 = -0.0034000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0034000000000001 / -0.0015999999999999 = 2.125
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.284% | 1.5R | -0.239% | 1.2R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.494% | 2.5R | -0.239% | 1.2R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.554% | 2.8R | -0.239% | 1.2R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.208% | 16.5R | -0.239% | 1.2R | 13.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.208% | 16.5R | -0.239% | 1.2R | 13.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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