Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 38.97 HYPE at 53.895$ per unit. Take profit: 54.3056 (0.76 %) & Stop Loss: 53.6897 (0.38 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 38.97 HYPE at 53.895$ per unit. Take profit: 54.3056 (0.76 %) & Stop Loss: 53.6897 (0.38 %)
Position
Entry 53.895$
Qty 38.9662 HYPE
Size 2100.082$ (margin 100$) (leverage 21)
Risk Setup
TP 54.3056 (+0.76%)
TP $ 16$
SL 53.6897 (-0.38%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7992
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.48×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.06×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.05×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 17:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.64819 15m : 0.572372 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 03/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 03/08 17:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5955 | r1h: 0.310% · r4h: 0.105% · r1d: 3.93% · r3d: 3.67% · ema21_slope: 0.1827% · dist_ema21: 2.149% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5665 | rs_1h: 0.232% · rs_4h: -0.111% · rs_1d: 3.30% · rs_3d: 2.14% · beta_24h: 1.071 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2155 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.639 · trend: -6.43% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7503 | ADX: 30.0 (trend) · Chop: 33.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.962% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.154% | 0.4R | -0.304% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.234% | 0.6R | -0.304% | 0.8R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.429% | 1.1R | -0.685% | 1.8R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.280% | 3.4R | -0.685% | 1.8R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.050% | 5.4R | -0.685% | 1.8R | 3.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -4.93% | -0.93 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.59 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.15 | 03/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.50 | range_medium | +0.48% | +0.25 | 03/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bull_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.54 | range_low | +0.58% | -0.07 | 03/08 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 27b | — | 5.781×ATR | p81 | -0.026×ATR | p3 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 3.17×ATR | p55 | +1.035×ATR | p81 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 4.747×ATR | p88 | +0.42×ATR | p43 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.087×ATR | p21 | -0.52×ATR | p44 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63643.5
5.43865E-5
63647
0.64819
63378.4
0.0048217
63684
0.572372
63442.2
0.00380998
63684
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51.9
186
0.5768
0.543
0.3313
0.2137
0.4275
1
0.4678
0.4654
0.319
0.8043
0.6345
0.5986
0.1895
0.109
1
1.0692
2.0493
0.35
0.65
-1
35
1
0.5725
0.4986
2.2785
0.65
1.1513
1.8643
2.0493
0.5342
0.2992
0.8
0.1865
0.4839
0.5438
0.8163
0.5986
-3.8942
5.8085
1
1
2
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:44 | 53.89500000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:50 | 53.80000000 | -0.176% |
| 3 | 17:57 | 53.93900000 | +0.082% |
| 4 | 18:04 | 53.81200000 | -0.154% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 13:30:00 | 52.733 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 14:55:00 | 54.25 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:25:00 | 53.862 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:40:00 | 54.317 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:45:00 | 54.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 17:20:00 | 54.323 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:10:00 | 54.785 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:45:00 | 54.028 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 20:20:00 | 54.717 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 21:40:00 | 53.815 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 06:30:00 | 51.885 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 08:15:00 | 51.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:30:00 | 52.843 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 11:30:00 | 53.169 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 12:00:00 | 52.565 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 13:30:00 | 52.733 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:45:00 | 54.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:45:00 | 54.028 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 20:15:00 | 54.717 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 21:30:00 | 54.121 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 13:00:00 | 55.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 20:00:00 | 51.814 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 51.488 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 13:00:00 | 52.611 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 51.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 03:00:00 | 53.025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 51.081 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 06:00:00 | 51.885 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:00:00 | 54.8 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.895 | 53.6897 | 54.3056 | 2 | 90.228 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 53.6897 - 53.895 = -0.2053
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 53.895 - 54.3056 = -0.4106
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.4106 / -0.2053 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2100.082 | 100 | 38.9662 | 21.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.2053 = -38.97
Taille de position USD = -38.97 x 53.895 = -2100.29
Donc, tu peux acheter -38.97 avec un stoploss a 53.6897
Avec un position size USD de -2100.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -38.97 x -0.2053 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -38.97 x -0.4106 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.76 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.38 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.38 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4045 % | 106.2 % | 22 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.895 | 53.6897 | 54.3056 | 2 | 90.228 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 53.6897 - 53.895 = -0.2053
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 53.895 - 54.3056 = -0.4106
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.4106 / -0.2053 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.154% | 0.4R | -0.304% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.234% | 0.6R | -0.304% | 0.8R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.429% | 1.1R | -0.685% | 1.8R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.280% | 3.4R | -0.685% | 1.8R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.050% | 5.4R | -0.685% | 1.8R | 3.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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