Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 1836.08 NEAR at 1.741$ per unit. Take profit: 1.75 (0.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.7369 (0.25 %)
Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 1836.08 NEAR at 1.741$ per unit. Take profit: 1.75 (0.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.7369 (0.25 %)
Position
Entry 1.7413$
Qty 1836.0752 NEAR
Size 3197.1578$ (margin 100$) (leverage 32)
Risk Setup
TP 1.75 (+0.5%)
TP $ 15.97$
SL 1.7369 (-0.25%)
SL $ 8.08$
RR 1.98
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6425
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 6.48×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 14.04×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.28×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 18:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.37739 15m : 0.420053 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 03/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 03/08 17:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | range | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5856 | r1h: 0.155% · r4h: 0.258% · r1d: 2.14% · r3d: 5.10% · ema21_slope: 0.1032% · dist_ema21: 1.084% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5849 | rs_1h: 0.338% · rs_4h: 0.618% · rs_1d: 2.01% · rs_3d: 3.94% · beta_24h: 0.769 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2111 | rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.367 · trend: -23.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6179 | ADX: 22.9 (weak) · Chop: 47.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.730% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.115% | 0.5R | -0.758% | 3.0R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.115% | 0.5R | -0.758% | 3.0R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.062% | 4.2R | -0.758% | 3.0R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.556% | 6.2R | -0.758% | 3.0R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.556% | 6.2R | -0.758% | 3.0R | 2.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -4.93% | -0.85 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | 0.63 | range_high | -0.31% | +0.31 | 03/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.58 | range_medium | +0.40% | +0.20 | 03/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
46%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.49% | +0.03 | 03/08 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 19b | — | 3.708×ATR | p40 | +0.281×ATR | p26 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 33b | — | 6.236×ATR | p81 | +0.89×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 3.821×ATR | p92 | +0.528×ATR | p53 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.696×ATR | p15 | +0.535×ATR | p51 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63665.9
-0.00144468
63574
0.37739
63391.6
0.0028763
63574
0.420053
63441.4
0.00319201
63644
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1.7002
191
0.7293
0.5369
0.3687
0.2164
0.4933
0.794
0.5427
0.5039
0.6771
0.5103
0.6067
0.974
0.1594
0.1179
1
1.4547
2.8987
0.6
0.4
1
11
1
0.5672
0.4201
3.0087
0.65
0.794
2.3889
2.8987
0.5581
0.2633
0.42
0.0875
0.4768
0.5595
0.8078
0.974
-0.34
12.7169
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:03 | 1.74130000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:09 | 1.73910000 | -0.126% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 16:25:00 | 1.7383 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:00:00 | 1.7532 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 17:40:00 | 1.7383 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:15:00 | 1.7518 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:35:00 | 1.7472 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:00:00 | 1.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 20:25:00 | 1.751 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 21:15:00 | 1.7426 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 21:35:00 | 1.7506 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 1.74 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 07:45:00 | 1.7034 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 10:00:00 | 1.7291 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 13:00:00 | 1.7002 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 14:30:00 | 1.752 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 16:15:00 | 1.7383 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:00:00 | 1.7532 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 17:30:00 | 1.7383 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 20:00:00 | 1.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 20:15:00 | 1.751 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 1.74 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 02:00:00 | 1.6851 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 1.6439 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 1.6859 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 1.6463 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 1.7318 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 1.6909 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 23:00:00 | 1.7254 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 03:00:00 | 1.6927 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 13:00:00 | 1.7002 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:00:00 | 1.7532 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7413 | 1.7369 | 1.75 | 1.98 | 4.8508 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.7369 - 1.7413 = -0.0044
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.7413 - 1.75 = -0.0086999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0086999999999999 / -0.0044 = 1.9773
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3197.1578 | 100 | 1836.0752 | 32.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0044 = -1818.18
Taille de position USD = -1818.18 x 1.7413 = -3166
Donc, tu peux acheter -1818.18 avec un stoploss a 1.7369
Avec un position size USD de -3166$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1818.18 x -0.0044 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1818.18 x -0.0086999999999999 = 15.82
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.82$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.5 % | 15.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.25 % | 8.08 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.08 $ | -0.25 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3159 % | 125.01 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.7413 | 1.7369 | 1.75 | 1.98 | 4.8508 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.7369 - 1.7413 = -0.0044
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.7413 - 1.75 = -0.0086999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0086999999999999 / -0.0044 = 1.9773
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.115% | 0.5R | -0.758% | 3.0R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.115% | 0.5R | -0.758% | 3.0R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.062% | 4.2R | -0.758% | 3.0R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.556% | 6.2R | -0.758% | 3.0R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.556% | 6.2R | -0.758% | 3.0R | 2.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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