Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 5.75 ZEC at 481.06$ per unit. Take profit: 483.8427 (0.58 %) & Stop Loss: 479.6686 (0.29 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (CatchTheWave)
With 5.75 ZEC at 481.06$ per unit. Take profit: 483.8427 (0.58 %) & Stop Loss: 479.6686 (0.29 %)
Position
Entry 481.06$
Qty 5.7498 ZEC
Size 2765.9833$ (margin 100$) (leverage 28)
Risk Setup
TP 483.8427 (+0.58%)
TP $ 16$
SL 479.6686 (-0.29%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6648
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.86×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.82×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 18:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.562787 15m : 0.576392 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 03/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 03/08 18:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5305 | r1h: -0.190% · r4h: -1.436% · r1d: -1.59% · r3d: 6.45% · ema21_slope: 0.1232% · dist_ema21: 0.051% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: -0.006% · rs_4h: -1.076% · rs_1d: -1.72% · rs_3d: 5.30% · beta_24h: 1.056 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2697 | rvol_20: 0.76× · zscore_50: -0.301 · trend: -13.39% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7000 | ADX: 25.8 (trend) · Chop: 40.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.945% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.491% | 1.7R | -0.324% | 1.1R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.715% | 2.5R | -0.333% | 1.2R | 2.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.168% | 4.0R | -0.553% | 1.9R | 2.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.769% | 6.1R | -0.553% | 1.9R | 3.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.792% | 6.2R | -0.553% | 1.9R | 3.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.42 | bear_high | -4.93% | -0.84 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.65 | range_high | -0.73% | +0.46 | 03/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.59 | range_medium | +0.15% | +0.03 | 03/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | range_medium |
36%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | near -0.5ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.20% | -0.15 | 03/08 18:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 19b | — | 3.215×ATR | p6 | +0.353×ATR | p29 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.193×ATR | p0 | +0.224×ATR | p23 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 2.982×ATR | p62 | -0.79×ATR | p74 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 24b | — | 6.506×ATR | p93 | -1.282×ATR | p84 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63737.6
-0.00308587
63541
0.562787
63414.2
0.00195133
63538
0.576392
63454.2
0.000499934
63486
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.15426308109235
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
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494.7
191
0.6435
0.6521
0.3364
0.2555
0.4025
0.9551
0.3213
0.536
0.7079
0.3316
0.6331
0.648
0.0146
0.0547
0.6667
-0.7022
0.3773
0.65
0.35
1
25
1
0.4889
0.5768
5.5418
0.55
0.9551
5.1741
0.3773
0.551
0.2715
0.46
-0.2166
0.4896
0.4412
0.7794
0.648
-3.4377
6.3275
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:51 | 481.06000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:04 | 480.36000000 | -0.146% |
| 3 | 19:10 | 479.76000000 | -0.27% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 15:00:00 | 488.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:05:00 | 487.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:45:00 | 493.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 17:40:00 | 489.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 19:05:00 | 485.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 19:35:00 | 488.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:00:00 | 485.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 20:20:00 | 488.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:15:00 | 484.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:45:00 | 479.7 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 22:30:00 | 486.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 04:00:00 | 474.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 05:15:00 | 478.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 471.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 13:30:00 | 482.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 14:15:00 | 494.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 16:00:00 | 487.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:45:00 | 493.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:15:00 | 488.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:45:00 | 479.7 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 461.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 473.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 458.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 04:00:00 | 477.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 10:00:00 | 476.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 469.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 495.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 471.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 14:00:00 | 494.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 479.7 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 481.06 | 479.6686 | 483.8427 | 2 | 1318 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 479.6686 - 481.06 = -1.3914
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 481.06 - 483.8427 = -2.7827
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.7827 / -1.3914 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2765.9833 | 100 | 5.7498 | 28.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.3914 = -5.75
Taille de position USD = -5.75 x 481.06 = -2766.1
Donc, tu peux acheter -5.75 avec un stoploss a 479.6686
Avec un position size USD de -2766.1$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5.75 x -1.3914 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5.75 x -2.7827 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.58 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.29 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.29 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2973 % | 102.8 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 481.06 | 479.6686 | 483.8427 | 2 | 1318 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 479.6686 - 481.06 = -1.3914
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 481.06 - 483.8427 = -2.7827
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.7827 / -1.3914 = 1.9999
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[result] => loss
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.491% | 1.7R | -0.324% | 1.1R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.715% | 2.5R | -0.333% | 1.2R | 2.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.168% | 4.0R | -0.553% | 1.9R | 2.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.769% | 6.1R | -0.553% | 1.9R | 3.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.792% | 6.2R | -0.553% | 1.9R | 3.2× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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