Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 131.69 VVV at 12.323$ per unit. Take profit: 12.4445 (0.99 %) & Stop Loss: 12.2623 (0.49 %)
Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 131.69 VVV at 12.323$ per unit. Take profit: 12.4445 (0.99 %) & Stop Loss: 12.2623 (0.49 %)
Position
Entry 12.323$
Qty 131.6939 VVV
Size 1622.8639$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 12.4445 (+0.99%)
TP $ 16$
SL 12.2623 (-0.49%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8029
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.06×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.02×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.55×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 19:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.467118 15m : 0.544884 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 03/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 03/08 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | range | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5845 | r1h: -0.177% · r4h: -1.060% · r1d: 5.47% · r3d: 6.61% · ema21_slope: 0.2403% · dist_ema21: 2.794% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6010 | rs_1h: -0.061% · rs_4h: -0.507% · rs_1d: 5.34% · rs_3d: 5.68% · beta_24h: 1.682 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3235 | rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.027 · trend: 30.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7401 | ADX: 28.8 (trend) · Chop: 27.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.344% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.949% | 1.9R | -0.106% | 0.2R | 9.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.949% | 1.9R | -1.136% | 2.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.949% | 1.9R | -1.136% | 2.3R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.949% | 1.9R | -1.647% | 3.3R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.949% | 1.9R | -3.433% | 7.0R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -4.93% | +0.85 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.49 | range_high | -0.73% | +0.38 | 03/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.43 | range_medium | +0.15% | +0.49 | 03/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.20% | +0.07 | 03/08 18:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.424×ATR | p4 | +0.16×ATR | p20 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 2.778×ATR | p17 | +1.356×ATR | p93 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 5.389×ATR | p98 | +0.68×ATR | p64 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.154×ATR | p30 | -0.561×ATR | p48 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63738.1
-0.00299869
63547
0.467118
63403.6
0.00226157
63547
0.544884
63455
0.00188969
63575
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.3350694444444
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.5920138888889
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
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[1] => 12.387
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12.625
195
0.7421
0.5876
0.3096
0.2653
0.3458
1
0.2747
0.5894
0.6608
0.916
0.6399
0.7613
0.2426
0.1265
1
1.5098
2.4793
0.5
0.5
1
4
1
0.4693
0.4335
6.1823
0.55
2.3117
9.3084
2.4793
0
0.2309
0.86
0.3907
0.6522
0.5113
0.7357
0.7613
-1.5944
5.0841
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:09 | 12.32300000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:15 | 12.32500000 | +0.016% |
| 3 | 19:21 | 12.31700000 | -0.049% |
| 4 | 19:27 | 12.32700000 | +0.032% |
| 5 | 19:33 | 12.31600000 | -0.057% |
| 6 | 19:39 | 12.31000000 | -0.105% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 19:55:00 | 12.421 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 20:30:00 | 12.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:40:00 | 12.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:55:00 | 12.408 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 21:15:00 | 12.568 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 12.397 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 22:20:00 | 12.476 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:30:00 | 12.387 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 23:00:00 | 12.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 23:05:00 | 12.314 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 03:15:00 | 11.797 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 04:45:00 | 11.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 06:00:00 | 11.751 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:30:00 | 11.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:45:00 | 11.854 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 13:30:00 | 11.657 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 13:45:00 | 11.966 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:00:00 | 12.625 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 21:15:00 | 12.568 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 23:00:00 | 12.314 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 20:00:00 | 11.569 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 02:00:00 | 12.007 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 11.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 12.076 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 20:00:00 | 11.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:00:00 | 11.876 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 12:00:00 | 11.537 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 11.998 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 11.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 19:00:00 | 12.625 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.323 | 12.2623 | 12.4445 | 2 | 28.106 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.2623 - 12.323 = -0.060700000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.323 - 12.4445 = -0.1215
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1215 / -0.060700000000001 = 2.0016
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1622.8639 | 100 | 131.6939 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.060700000000001 = -131.8
Taille de position USD = -131.8 x 12.323 = -1624.17
Donc, tu peux acheter -131.8 avec un stoploss a 12.2623
Avec un position size USD de -1624.17$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -131.8 x -0.060700000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -131.8 x -0.1215 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.99 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.49 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0468 % | 212.51 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.323 | 12.2623 | 12.4445 | 2 | 28.106 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.2623 - 12.323 = -0.060700000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.323 - 12.4445 = -0.1215
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1215 / -0.060700000000001 = 2.0016
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(
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[result] => loss
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.949% | 1.9R | -0.106% | 0.2R | 9.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.949% | 1.9R | -1.136% | 2.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.949% | 1.9R | -1.136% | 2.3R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.949% | 1.9R | -1.647% | 3.3R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.949% | 1.9R | -3.433% | 7.0R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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