Long Trade on VVV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 12.71 VVV at 12.381$ per unit. Take profit: 13.9546 (12.71 %) & Stop Loss: 11.7516 (5.08 %)
03 Aug 2026 at 20:15:36
hyperliquid
VVV
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
03 Aug 2026 20:15
→ 08:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 12.381$
Qty 12.7099 VVV
Size 157.3619$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 13.9546 (+12.71%)
TP $ 20$
SL 11.7516 (-5.08%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.76%
/ -4.35$
MAE -3.89%
MFE +0.27%
0.1R
expires
04 Aug 08:15
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 57777)
#6 / 38
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/08/2026 20:00
score du 03/08/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8637
Quality Score
0.587
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/08 20:02
03/08 20:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#6 / 38
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.08 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 38
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.08 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.67×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.25×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.55×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 03/08 20:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 02/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 03/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 03/08 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1272
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué :
03/08 20:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
03/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5866
Score SMA
0.5552
Rank
#6
/ 38
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8637
Rank Norm SMA
0.5524
Calculé le
03/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5840 | r1h: -0.097% · r4h: -0.633% · r1d: 4.60% · r3d: 5.20% · ema21_slope: 0.2654% · dist_ema21: 2.492% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5977 | rs_1h: 0.094% · rs_4h: -0.047% · rs_1d: 4.76% · rs_3d: 4.24% · beta_24h: 1.659 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2485 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.371 · trend: 4.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7484 | ADX: 29.8 (trend) · Chop: 30.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.329% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.084%
(0.6294)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.599% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.267% | 0.1R | -1.599% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.267% | 0.1R | -1.785% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.267% | 0.1R | -2.359% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.267% | 0.1R | -3.885% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 143 |
| 24h | +0.267% | 0.1R | -6.155% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.2
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -4.93% | +0.85 | 02/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.49 | range_high | -0.62% | +0.31 | 03/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | — | 0.43 | range_medium | +0.10% | +0.44 | 03/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.15% | +0.04 | 03/08 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.424×ATR | p4 | +0.16×ATR | p20 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 2.495×ATR | p13 | +1.131×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.84×ATR | p19 | +0.157×ATR | p19 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.473×ATR | p45 | -0.373×ATR | p32 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.781
- reason: up_bo width=2.89×ATR dur=63b phase=extending
- stop_price: 11.75157183
- tp_price: 13.95457042
- atr:
- score: 0.78097185937607
- expires_at: 2026-08-04T12:15:28.712629
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.78097185937607
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0793
- obi_top10 : 0.0399
- micro_price : 12.32269293
- spread_pct : 0.056809
- mid_price : 12.3255
- bid_wall_price : 12.2
- bid_wall_size : 9451.662
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 12.4
- ask_wall_size : 8081.146
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0813
- obi_top5_std : 0.0212
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6955
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
11.998
- balance_zone_bottom:
11.537
- balance_zone_mid:
11.7675
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785578400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785801600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8942
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
63
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.781
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785776400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
11.998
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8571
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
7
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.4045
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.15928167 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
63
inside_close_ratio
0.8571
bars_since_breakout
7
distance_to_edge_atr
2.4045
Signaux confirmants (30)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:15 | 12.38100000 | 0% |
| 2 | 20:21 | 12.31300000 | -0.549% |
| 3 | 20:27 | 12.31300000 | -0.549% |
| 4 | 20:34 | 12.31300000 | -0.549% |
| 5 | 20:39 | 12.21600000 | -1.333% |
| 6 | 20:45 | 12.21600000 | -1.333% |
| 7 | 20:51 | 12.23800000 | -1.155% |
| 8 | 20:57 | 12.23800000 | -1.155% |
| 9 | 21:04 | 12.23800000 | -1.155% |
| 10 | 21:09 | 12.26300000 | -0.953% |
| 11 | 21:15 | 12.26300000 | -0.953% |
| 12 | 21:21 | 12.22700000 | -1.244% |
| 13 | 21:26 | 12.22700000 | -1.244% |
| 14 | 21:33 | 12.22700000 | -1.244% |
| 15 | 21:38 | 12.30400000 | -0.622% |
| 16 | 21:44 | 12.30400000 | -0.622% |
| 17 | 21:50 | 12.38300000 | +0.016% |
| 18 | 21:57 | 12.38300000 | +0.016% |
| 19 | 22:04 | 12.38300000 | +0.016% |
| 20 | 22:09 | 12.39300000 | +0.097% |
| 21 | 22:15 | 12.39300000 | +0.097% |
| 22 | 22:21 | 12.37300000 | -0.065% |
| 23 | 22:27 | 12.37300000 | -0.065% |
| 24 | 22:33 | 12.37300000 | -0.065% |
| 25 | 22:39 | 12.33900000 | -0.339% |
| 26 | 22:45 | 12.33900000 | -0.339% |
| 27 | 22:51 | 12.34400000 | -0.299% |
| 28 | 22:57 | 12.34400000 | -0.299% |
| 29 | 23:04 | 12.34400000 | -0.299% |
| 30 | 23:09 | 12.26700000 | -0.921% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6955ms
Confidence avant OB :
78%
→
78%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.079
avg 0.081
± 0.021
OBI Top 10
0.040
Microstructure
Mid Price
12.3255
Micro Price
12.3227
Spread
0.0568%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
12.2000
Size
9,451.66
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
12.4000
Size
8,081.15
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.381 | 11.7516 | 13.9546 | 2.5 | 27.806 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 12.381
- Stop Loss: 11.7516
- Take Profit: 13.9546
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.7516 - 12.381 = -0.6294
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.381 - 13.9546 = -1.5736
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5736 / -0.6294 = 2.5002
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 157.3619 | 100 | 12.7099 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.6294
Taille de position = 8 / -0.6294 = -12.71
Taille de position USD = -12.71 x 12.381 = -157.36
Donc, tu peux acheter -12.71 avec un stoploss a 11.7516
Avec un position size USD de -157.36$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -12.71 x -0.6294 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -12.71 x -1.5736 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -12.71
- Taille de position USD -157.36
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5002
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 12.71 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.08 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.35 $ | -2.76 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.885 % | 76.42 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.381 | 11.7516 | 13.9546 | 2.5 | 27.806 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 12.381
- Stop Loss: 11.7516
- Take Profit: 13.9546
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.7516 - 12.381 = -0.6294
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.381 - 13.9546 = -1.5736
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5736 / -0.6294 = 2.5002
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.084%
(0.6294)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.599% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.267% | 0.1R | -1.599% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.267% | 0.1R | -1.785% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.267% | 0.1R | -2.359% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.267% | 0.1R | -3.885% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 143 |
| 24h | +0.267% | 0.1R | -6.155% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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