Short Trade on UNI

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04 Aug 2026 at 00:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on UNI (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 63.85 UNI at 3.844$ per unit. Take profit: 3.7479 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.9693 (3.26 %)

UNI SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 04 Aug 2026 00:10 → 04:15 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 3.844$

Qty 63.8451 UNI

Size 245.4207$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 3.7479 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.14$

SL 3.9693 (-3.26%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.77

Status loss PnL -1.24% / -3.05$ MAE -2.12% MFE +0.02% 0.0R expires 04 Aug 04:20 Exit rank_decay: short rank=16 <= threshold=30/40

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 57921)

#38 / 40 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 04/08/2026 00:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0684

Quality Score

0.434

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

12.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
04/08 00:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#38 / 40 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-2

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.26 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#38 / 40 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.26 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.98×ATR
4h	near	-0.29×ATR
1d	clear	3.53×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 04/08 00:00 Score : 0

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

04/08 00:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 03/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/08 23:00 Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

03/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

03/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/08 23:00

Score : -2 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1276

range compression range_bound

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	range	compression	—	0
Tactical	range	range	—	0
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.50

Transition risk : 0.50

Score contribution (this trade) 0

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.70

Snapshot évalué : 04/08 00:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 04/08/2026 00:00

Score brut

0.4338

Score SMA

0.4713

Rank

#38 / 40

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0684

Rank Norm SMA

0.1598

Calculé le

04/08/2026 00:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3192	r1h: -0.261% · r4h: -0.387% · r1d: -5.53% · r3d: -9.52% · ema21_slope: -0.2525% · dist_ema21: -1.931%
Force Relative	25%	0.2920	rs_1h: -0.269% · rs_4h: -0.878% · rs_1d: -7.06% · rs_3d: -10.83% · beta_24h: 0.380
Volume	20%	0.2777	rvol_20: 0.65× · zscore_50: -0.180 · trend: -0.46%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7297	ADX: 27.9 (trend) · Chop: 38.5 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.254% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4.2h) Initial Risk: -3.260% (0.1253)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.023%	0.0R	-1.020%	0.3R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.023%	0.0R	-1.904%	0.6R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.023%	0.0R	-2.115%	0.7R	0.0×	48
4.2h ★	+0.023%	0.0R	-2.115%	0.7R	0.0×	49
8h	+0.440%	0.1R	-2.115%	0.7R	0.2×	96
12h	+1.603%	0.5R	-2.115%	0.7R	0.8×	144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.1

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	67%	noisy_chop 36%	early	—	—	0.66	bear_high	-5.36%	+0.76	03/08 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	compression	range_high	33%	noisy_chop 44%	late	near -0.3ATR	—	0.50	range_high	-0.23%	-0.75	03/08 20:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 41%	late	near -1.0ATR	—	0.41	range_medium	+0.61%	-0.54	03/08 23:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	strong	explosive	expansion	bear_medium	62%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	near -0.9ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	range_low	+0.55%	-0.10	03/08 23:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	4b	—	2.694×ATR	p0	-0.318×ATR	p36
4h	↓ down	late	11b	—	3.718×ATR	p74	-1.084×ATR	p88
1h	↓ down	late	14b	—	4.624×ATR	p88	-0.48×ATR	p46
15m	↑ up	mid	1b	—	2.046×ATR	p21	-0.543×ATR	p61

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 3.96930321
tp_price: 3.7479
atr: 0.05012128
expires_at: 2026-08-04T10:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 41
total: 42
score: 0.3192
delta_2h: -0.0476
extension_atr: -2.05
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0684
confidence: 0.976

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
3.844	3.9693	3.7479	0.77	9.074

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 3.844
Stop Loss: 3.9693
Take Profit: 3.7479

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 3.9693 - 3.844 = 0.1253
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 3.844 - 3.7479 = 0.0961
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0961 / 0.1253 = 0.767

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
245.4207	100	63.8451	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.1253

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1253 = 63.85

Taille de position USD = 63.85 x 3.844 = 245.44

Donc, tu peux acheter 63.85 avec un stoploss a 3.9693

Avec un position size USD de 245.44$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 63.85 x 0.1253 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 63.85 x 0.0961 = 6.14

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.14$

Résumé

Taille de position 63.85
Taille de position USD 245.44
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 6.14
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.767

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	6.14 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.26 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-3.05 $	-1.24

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.115 %	64.89 %	1

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
3.844	3.9693	3.7479	0.77	9.074

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 3.844
Stop Loss: 3.9693
Take Profit: 3.7479

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 3.9693 - 3.844 = 0.1253
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 3.844 - 3.7479 = 0.0961
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0961 / 0.1253 = 0.767

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4.2h) Initial Risk: -3.260% (0.1253)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.023%	0.0R	-1.020%	0.3R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.023%	0.0R	-1.904%	0.6R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.023%	0.0R	-2.115%	0.7R	0.0×	48
4.2h ★	+0.023%	0.0R	-2.115%	0.7R	0.0×	49
8h	+0.440%	0.1R	-2.115%	0.7R	0.2×	96
12h	+1.603%	0.5R	-2.115%	0.7R	0.8×	144

computed 1 month ago

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