Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 2949.19 DOT at 0.835$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8404 (0.66 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8322 (0.32 %)
Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 2949.19 DOT at 0.835$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8404 (0.66 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8322 (0.32 %)
Position
Entry 0.8349$
Qty 2949.1892 DOT
Size 2462.3665$ (margin 100$) (leverage 25)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8404 (+0.66%)
TP $ 16.22$
SL 0.8322 (-0.32%)
SL $ 7.96$
RR 2.04
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8923
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.40×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.63×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 04/08 01:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.107367 15m : 0.439721 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 04/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 04/08 01:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6581 | r1h: -0.424% · r4h: 1.920% · r1d: 5.85% · r3d: 9.22% · ema21_slope: 0.1741% · dist_ema21: 1.655% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5931 | rs_1h: -0.845% · rs_4h: 0.804% · rs_1d: 3.81% · rs_3d: 7.67% · beta_24h: 0.787 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5362 | rvol_20: 1.17× · zscore_50: 1.018 · trend: 70.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7654 | ADX: 33.0 (trend) · Chop: 39.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.836% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.367% | 1.1R | -0.212% | 0.7R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.367% | 1.1R | -0.577% | 1.8R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.367% | 1.1R | -0.624% | 1.9R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.367% | 1.1R | -0.975% | 3.0R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.193% | 3.7R | -1.223% | 3.8R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -5.36% | -0.09 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
choppy 48% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.74 | range_high | +0.00% | +0.69 | 04/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.64 | range_medium | +0.58% | +0.22 | 04/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.55% | +0.08 | 04/08 01:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.489×ATR | p0 | +0.839×ATR | p74 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 22b | — | 7.92×ATR | p100 | +1.616×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.632×ATR | p9 | +0.431×ATR | p42 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.69×ATR | p48 | -0.487×ATR | p42 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63728.5
0.00198387
63855
0.107367
63456.9
0.00628902
63856
0.439721
63424.4
0.00601537
63806
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196
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0.5597
0.7502
0.8043
0.7103
0.8941
0.2587
0.1874
1
1.5687
3.792
0.65
0.35
1
3
1
0.5066
0.5479
3.9765
0.5
2.2136
4.3256
3.792
0.1838
0.1819
0.74
0.2405
0.5719
0.5925
0.8807
0.8941
-1.59
13.4259
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:20 | 0.83493000 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 01:26 | 0.83437000 | -0.063% |
| 3 | 01:38 | 0.83445000 | -0.054% |
| 4 | 01:44 | 0.83376000 | -0.137% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 23:15:00 | 0.82342 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 23:30:00 | 0.82008 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 0.82525 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:55:00 | 0.82022 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:40:00 | 0.84703 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 03:15:00 | 0.83859 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 03:30:00 | 0.84571 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 04:30:00 | 0.83572 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:50:00 | 0.8394 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 05:15:00 | 0.83485 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 09:45:00 | 0.80667 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 14:00:00 | 0.82828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:00:00 | 0.81419 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:15:00 | 0.82992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 18:45:00 | 0.83152 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:45:00 | 0.81874 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 22:15:00 | 0.82475 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 23:30:00 | 0.82008 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:30:00 | 0.84703 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 05:15:00 | 0.83485 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 0.76749 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 0.76058 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 0.78392 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.76317 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 0.79923 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 0.80063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 0.79096 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 03:00:00 | 0.7871 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 0.83152 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 02:00:00 | 0.84703 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8349 | 0.8322 | 0.8404 | 2.04 | 1.2399 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8322 - 0.8349 = -0.0026999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8349 - 0.8404 = -0.0055000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0055000000000001 / -0.0026999999999999 = 2.037
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2462.3665 | 100 | 2949.1892 | 25.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0026999999999999 = -2962.96
Taille de position USD = -2962.96 x 0.8349 = -2473.78
Donc, tu peux acheter -2962.96 avec un stoploss a 0.8322
Avec un position size USD de -2473.78$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2962.96 x -0.0026999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2962.96 x -0.0055000000000001 = 16.3
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.3$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.66 % | 16.22 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.32 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.96 $ | -0.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3533 % | 109.25 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8349 | 0.8322 | 0.8404 | 2.04 | 1.2399 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8322 - 0.8349 = -0.0026999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8349 - 0.8404 = -0.0055000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0055000000000001 / -0.0026999999999999 = 2.037
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.367% | 1.1R | -0.212% | 0.7R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.367% | 1.1R | -0.577% | 1.8R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.367% | 1.1R | -0.624% | 1.9R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.367% | 1.1R | -0.975% | 3.0R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.193% | 3.7R | -1.223% | 3.8R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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