Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 259.78 AVAX at 6.831$ per unit. Take profit: 6.8929 (0.9 %) & Stop Loss: 6.8005 (0.45 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 259.78 AVAX at 6.831$ per unit. Take profit: 6.8929 (0.9 %) & Stop Loss: 6.8005 (0.45 %)
Position
Entry 6.8313$
Qty 259.784 AVAX
Size 1774.6627$ (margin 100$) (leverage 18)
Risk Setup
TP 6.8929 (+0.9%)
TP $ 16$
SL 6.8005 (-0.45%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8016
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.07×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 10.70×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 04/08 01:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.353607 15m : 0.423852 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 04/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 04/08 01:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7042 | r1h: 0.335% · r4h: 4.595% · r1d: 7.48% · r3d: 6.90% · ema21_slope: 0.1999% · dist_ema21: 3.658% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6816 | rs_1h: -0.087% · rs_4h: 3.479% · rs_1d: 5.45% · rs_3d: 5.35% · beta_24h: 1.353 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5321 | rvol_20: 1.25× · zscore_50: 0.182 · trend: 122.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7979 | ADX: 35.7 (trend) · Chop: 16.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.070% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.302% | 0.7R | -0.599% | 1.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.302% | 0.7R | -0.862% | 1.9R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.302% | 0.7R | -1.047% | 2.3R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.302% | 0.7R | -1.640% | 3.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.302% | 0.7R | -2.090% | 4.6R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | continuation_ready | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.77 | bear_high | -5.36% | +0.05 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.67 | range_high | +0.00% | +0.53 | 04/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
choppy 46% | mid | — | — | 0.56 | range_medium | +0.62% | +0.42 | 04/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | near -0.8ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.50% | +0.32 | 04/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 31b | — | 1.782×ATR | p0 | +0.363×ATR | p43 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.968×ATR | p72 | +1.742×ATR | p95 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.715×ATR | p12 | +1.152×ATR | p79 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 2.666×ATR | p42 | -0.158×ATR | p20 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63732.6
0.000867792
63788
0.353607
63454.6
0.00523681
63787
0.423852
63425
0.00644804
63834
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.6200941915228
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6.98
196
0.7317
0.6153
0.2873
0.174
0.38
1
0.3704
0.5566
0.6282
0.928
0.6248
0.8677
0.3122
0.159
1
2.21
3.3885
0.45
0.55
1
3
1
0.6519
0.495
8.2937
0.55
2.0504
11.47
3.3885
0
0.2956
0.88
0.6964
0.4984
0.5596
0.6935
0.8677
-1.4609
9.5814
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:54 | 6.83130000 | 0% |
| 2 | 02:00 | 6.82820000 | -0.045% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 00:35:00 | 6.5609 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 01:40:00 | 6.924 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 02:30:00 | 6.7786 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:45:00 | 6.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 03:20:00 | 6.8554 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 03:50:00 | 6.9049 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 04:05:00 | 6.8366 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:45:00 | 6.9081 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 05:30:00 | 6.8982 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 05:50:00 | 6.8286 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 10:00:00 | 6.4576 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 12:00:00 | 6.4175 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 14:15:00 | 6.5456 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:45:00 | 6.497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:00:00 | 6.5508 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:30:00 | 6.594 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 6.5455 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:45:00 | 6.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 04:45:00 | 6.9081 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 05:45:00 | 6.8418 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 6.3318 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 23:00:00 | 6.3783 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 6.4476 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 6.3203 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 6.3858 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 6.0382 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 6.6806 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 18:00:00 | 6.6688 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 6.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:00:00 | 6.98 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.8313 | 6.8005 | 6.8929 | 2 | 11.009 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.8005 - 6.8313 = -0.030799999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.8313 - 6.8929 = -0.0616
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0616 / -0.030799999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1774.6627 | 100 | 259.784 | 18.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.030799999999999 = -259.74
Taille de position USD = -259.74 x 6.8313 = -1774.36
Donc, tu peux acheter -259.74 avec un stoploss a 6.8005
Avec un position size USD de -1774.36$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -259.74 x -0.030799999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -259.74 x -0.0616 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.9 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.45 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.45 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4655 % | 103.24 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.8313 | 6.8005 | 6.8929 | 2 | 11.009 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.8005 - 6.8313 = -0.030799999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.8313 - 6.8929 = -0.0616
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0616 / -0.030799999999999 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.302% | 0.7R | -0.599% | 1.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.302% | 0.7R | -0.862% | 1.9R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.302% | 0.7R | -1.047% | 2.3R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.302% | 0.7R | -1.640% | 3.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.302% | 0.7R | -2.090% | 4.6R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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