Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 360.81 AVAX at 6.779$ per unit. Take profit: 6.8232 (0.65 %) & Stop Loss: 6.7567 (0.33 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 360.81 AVAX at 6.779$ per unit. Take profit: 6.8232 (0.65 %) & Stop Loss: 6.7567 (0.33 %)
Position
Entry 6.7789$
Qty 360.812 AVAX
Size 2445.9086$ (margin 100$) (leverage 24)
Risk Setup
TP 6.8232 (+0.65%)
TP $ 15.98$
SL 6.7567 (-0.33%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9653
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.82×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.45×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 04/08 04:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.378137 15m : 0.423709 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 04/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 04/08 04:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6271 | r1h: 0.354% · r4h: -0.549% · r1d: 6.67% · r3d: 7.05% · ema21_slope: 0.2317% · dist_ema21: 2.078% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6211 | rs_1h: 0.364% · rs_4h: -0.336% · rs_1d: 5.00% · rs_3d: 6.06% · beta_24h: 1.373 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2733 | rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.160 · trend: 12.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8282 | ADX: 39.4 (trend) · Chop: 22.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.052% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.140% | 0.4R | -0.282% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.510% | 1.6R | -0.282% | 0.9R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.049% | 3.2R | -0.282% | 0.9R | 3.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.049% | 3.2R | -1.334% | 4.1R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.049% | 3.2R | -1.348% | 4.1R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.76 | bear_high | -4.94% | +0.33 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | range_high | -0.36% | +0.44 | 04/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | range_medium | +0.25% | +0.35 | 04/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -2.9ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.11% | -0.14 | 04/08 04:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.553×ATR | p0 | +0.908×ATR | p79 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 3.281×ATR | p59 | +0.94×ATR | p82 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.871×ATR | p64 | -0.099×ATR | p11 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.205×ATR | p0 | -0.874×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63696.4
-0.00170187
63588
0.378137
63462.9
0.00197026
63588
0.423709
63444.6
0.0025905
63609
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6.98
193
0.7142
0.6327
0.297
0.2109
0.3675
1
0.2645
0.5813
0.6282
0.88
0.6664
0.7814
0.1955
0.1287
1
0.9327
2.3021
0.45
0.55
1
6
1
0.5782
0.495
8.2937
0.6
2.0504
11.47
2.3021
0
0.2523
0.8
0.8233
0.5652
0.5563
0.7904
0.7814
-2.6084
9.3227
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:18 | 6.77890000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:36 | 6.76640000 | -0.184% |
| 3 | 05:18 | 6.75980000 | -0.282% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 03:20:00 | 6.8554 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 03:50:00 | 6.9049 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 04:05:00 | 6.8366 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:45:00 | 6.9081 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 05:30:00 | 6.8982 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 06:00:00 | 6.8226 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 06:25:00 | 6.8519 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 6.7724 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 07:55:00 | 6.8332 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 08:10:00 | 6.7693 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 10:00:00 | 6.4576 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 12:00:00 | 6.4175 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 14:15:00 | 6.5456 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:45:00 | 6.497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:00:00 | 6.5508 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:30:00 | 6.594 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 6.5455 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:45:00 | 6.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 04:45:00 | 6.9081 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 08:00:00 | 6.7693 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 23:00:00 | 6.3783 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 6.4476 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 6.3203 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 6.3858 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 6.0382 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 6.6806 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 18:00:00 | 6.6688 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 6.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:00:00 | 6.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 08:00:00 | 6.7693 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7789 | 6.7567 | 6.8232 | 2 | 11.102 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.7567 - 6.7789 = -0.0222
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.7789 - 6.8232 = -0.0443
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0443 / -0.0222 = 1.9955
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2445.9086 | 100 | 360.812 | 24.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0222 = -360.36
Taille de position USD = -360.36 x 6.7789 = -2442.84
Donc, tu peux acheter -360.36 avec un stoploss a 6.7567
Avec un position size USD de -2442.84$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -360.36 x -0.0222 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -360.36 x -0.0443 = 15.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.96$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.65 % | 15.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.98 $ | 0.65 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2818 % | 86.05 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7789 | 6.7567 | 6.8232 | 2 | 11.102 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.7567 - 6.7789 = -0.0222
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.7789 - 6.8232 = -0.0443
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0443 / -0.0222 = 1.9955
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.140% | 0.4R | -0.282% | 0.9R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.510% | 1.6R | -0.282% | 0.9R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.049% | 3.2R | -0.282% | 0.9R | 3.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.049% | 3.2R | -1.334% | 4.1R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.049% | 3.2R | -1.348% | 4.1R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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