Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 167.63 VVV at 12.051$ per unit. Take profit: 12.1464 (0.79 %) & Stop Loss: 12.0033 (0.4 %)
Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 167.63 VVV at 12.051$ per unit. Take profit: 12.1464 (0.79 %) & Stop Loss: 12.0033 (0.4 %)
Position
Entry 12.051$
Qty 167.6323 VVV
Size 2020.1368$ (margin 100$) (leverage 20)
Risk Setup
TP 12.1464 (+0.79%)
TP $ 15.99$
SL 12.0033 (-0.4%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7249
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 4.12×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.82×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.93×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 04/08 04:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.623781 15m : 0.575844 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 04/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 04/08 04:00 Score : +1 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5748 | r1h: 0.107% · r4h: -0.402% · r1d: 4.00% · r3d: 2.80% · ema21_slope: 0.1405% · dist_ema21: -0.141% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5452 | rs_1h: 0.117% · rs_4h: -0.189% · rs_1d: 2.33% · rs_3d: 1.81% · beta_24h: 1.585 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1612 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -0.582 · trend: -61.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5591 | ADX: 24.4 (weak) · Chop: 56.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.280% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.017% | 0.0R | -0.465% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.266% | 0.7R | -1.253% | 3.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.145% | 2.9R | -1.253% | 3.2R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.958% | 5.0R | -1.253% | 3.2R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.958% | 5.0R | -2.664% | 6.7R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -4.94% | +0.88 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.49 | range_high | -0.36% | +0.11 | 04/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.44 | range_medium | +0.25% | +0.18 | 04/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | range_medium |
41%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.06% | -0.01 | 04/08 04:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.719×ATR | p17 | -0.036×ATR | p5 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 2.194×ATR | p4 | +0.309×ATR | p34 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 3.196×ATR | p64 | -0.346×ATR | p35 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 0.956×ATR | p0 | -0.123×ATR | p9 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63666.8
-0.0019134
63545
0.623781
63462.1
0.00113255
63534
0.575844
63443.3
0.00157085
63543
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
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12.625
186
0.62
0.5876
0.268
0.2187
0.3083
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0.0853
0.5974
0.6608
0.6953
0.5676
0.4775
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0.033
0.6667
-0.6883
0.15
0.5
0.5
1
13
1
0.5627
0.4335
6.1823
0.55
2.3117
9.3084
0.15
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0.2888
0.66
0.1489
0.5201
0.4592
0.5623
0.4775
-3.767
3.4423
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:39 | 12.05100000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:51 | 12.05300000 | +0.017% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 03:50:00 | 12.232 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 04:10:00 | 12.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:40:00 | 12.289 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 05:15:00 | 12.152 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 05:50:00 | 12.156 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 06:20:00 | 12.319 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 07:20:00 | 12.089 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 07:30:00 | 12.185 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 08:05:00 | 12.195 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 08:30:00 | 12.015 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 13:45:00 | 11.966 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:00:00 | 12.625 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 21:15:00 | 12.568 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:30:00 | 12.183 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:00:00 | 12.414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 04:30:00 | 12.289 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 05:15:00 | 12.152 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 06:15:00 | 12.319 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 08:00:00 | 12.195 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 08:30:00 | 12.015 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 02:00:00 | 12.007 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 11.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 12.076 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 20:00:00 | 11.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 07:00:00 | 11.876 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 12:00:00 | 11.537 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 11.998 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 11.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 19:00:00 | 12.625 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 08:00:00 | 12.015 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.051 | 12.0033 | 12.1464 | 2 | 27.987 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.0033 - 12.051 = -0.047700000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.051 - 12.1464 = -0.0954
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0954 / -0.047700000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.1368 | 100 | 167.6323 | 20.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.047700000000001 = -167.71
Taille de position USD = -167.71 x 12.051 = -2021.07
Donc, tu peux acheter -167.71 avec un stoploss a 12.0033
Avec un position size USD de -2021.07$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -167.71 x -0.047700000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -167.71 x -0.0954 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.79 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.4 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.40 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4647 % | 117.41 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.051 | 12.0033 | 12.1464 | 2 | 27.987 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.0033 - 12.051 = -0.047700000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.051 - 12.1464 = -0.0954
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0954 / -0.047700000000001 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.017% | 0.0R | -0.465% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.266% | 0.7R | -1.253% | 3.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.145% | 2.9R | -1.253% | 3.2R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.958% | 5.0R | -1.253% | 3.2R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.958% | 5.0R | -2.664% | 6.7R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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