Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 4215.59 DOT at 0.831$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8344 (0.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8287 (0.23 %)
Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 4215.59 DOT at 0.831$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8344 (0.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8287 (0.23 %)
Position
Entry 0.8306$
Qty 4215.585 DOT
Size 3501.2963$ (margin 100$) (leverage 35)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8344 (+0.46%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 0.8287 (-0.23%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9053
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.66×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.11×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 04/08 04:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.527498 15m : 0.447423 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 04/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 04/08 04:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6070 | r1h: 0.032% · r4h: -0.868% · r1d: 5.05% · r3d: 9.55% · ema21_slope: 0.1466% · dist_ema21: 0.876% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6018 | rs_1h: 0.042% · rs_4h: -0.655% · rs_1d: 3.39% · rs_3d: 8.56% · beta_24h: 0.851 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2120 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.593 · trend: -11.32% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7165 | ADX: 32.6 (trend) · Chop: 45.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.802% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.875% | 3.8R | -0.110% | 0.5R | 8.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.886% | 3.9R | -0.110% | 0.5R | 8.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.886% | 3.9R | -0.383% | 1.7R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.717% | 7.5R | -0.712% | 3.1R | 2.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.759% | 7.7R | -0.712% | 3.1R | 2.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -4.94% | -0.00 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high |
65%
|
choppy 48% | late | — | — | 0.73 | range_high | -0.36% | +0.66 | 04/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.65 | range_medium | +0.25% | +0.10 | 04/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
47%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.08% | -0.04 | 04/08 04:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.695×ATR | p13 | +1.09×ATR | p83 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 23b | — | 7.933×ATR | p100 | +1.235×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.032×ATR | p31 | +0.047×ATR | p5 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.288×ATR | p3 | -0.062×ATR | p5 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63675.5
-0.0010925
63606
0.527498
63462.3
0.00152236
63559
0.447423
63444.6
0.0025905
63609
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0.1868
0.64
0.0235
0.5372
0.5556
0.8745
0.8739
-2.0843
14.4447
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:26 | 0.83056000 | -0.005% |
| 2 | 04:32 | 0.83056000 | -0.005% |
| 3 | 04:38 | 0.83009000 | -0.061% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 02:40:00 | 0.84703 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 03:15:00 | 0.83859 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 03:30:00 | 0.84571 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 04:30:00 | 0.83572 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 04:50:00 | 0.8394 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 06:05:00 | 0.83313 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 06:10:00 | 0.83796 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 07:20:00 | 0.83008 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 08:00:00 | 0.83667 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 08:25:00 | 0.83011 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 14:00:00 | 0.82828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:00:00 | 0.81419 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:15:00 | 0.82992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 18:45:00 | 0.83152 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:45:00 | 0.81874 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 22:15:00 | 0.82475 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 23:30:00 | 0.82008 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:30:00 | 0.84703 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 07:15:00 | 0.83008 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 08:00:00 | 0.83667 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 0.76058 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 0.78392 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.76317 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 0.79923 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 0.80063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 0.79096 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 03:00:00 | 0.7871 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 0.83152 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 02:00:00 | 0.84703 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 0.83008 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8306 | 0.8287 | 0.8344 | 2 | 1.2274 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8287 - 0.8306 = -0.0019
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8306 - 0.8344 = -0.0038
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0038 / -0.0019 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3501.2963 | 100 | 4215.585 | 35.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0019 = -4210.53
Taille de position USD = -4210.53 x 0.8306 = -3497.27
Donc, tu peux acheter -4210.53 avec un stoploss a 0.8287
Avec un position size USD de -3497.27$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4210.53 x -0.0019 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4210.53 x -0.0038 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.46 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.23 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.02 $ | 0.46 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1096 % | 47.9 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8306 | 0.8287 | 0.8344 | 2 | 1.2274 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8287 - 0.8306 = -0.0019
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8306 - 0.8344 = -0.0038
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0038 / -0.0019 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.875% | 3.8R | -0.110% | 0.5R | 8.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.886% | 3.9R | -0.110% | 0.5R | 8.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.886% | 3.9R | -0.383% | 1.7R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.717% | 7.5R | -0.712% | 3.1R | 2.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.759% | 7.7R | -0.712% | 3.1R | 2.5× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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