Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 4357.51 DOT at 0.828$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8316 (0.43 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8261 (0.23 %)
Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 4357.51 DOT at 0.828$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8316 (0.43 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8261 (0.23 %)
Position
Entry 0.828$
Qty 4357.5121 DOT
Size 3607.8893$ (margin 100$) (leverage 36)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8316 (+0.43%)
TP $ 15.69$
SL 0.8261 (-0.23%)
SL $ 8.28$
RR 1.89
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8891
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.01×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.22×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 04/08 08:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.353246 15m : 0.421382 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 04/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 04/08 08:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6148 | r1h: -0.097% · r4h: -0.189% · r1d: 3.55% · r3d: 8.82% · ema21_slope: 0.1398% · dist_ema21: 0.603% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5609 | rs_1h: -0.254% · rs_4h: -0.472% · rs_1d: 1.46% · rs_3d: 7.56% · beta_24h: 0.834 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1831 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.673 · trend: -28.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6885 | ADX: 31.2 (trend) · Chop: 47.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.772% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.336% | 1.5R | -0.150% | 0.7R | 2.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.336% | 1.5R | -0.400% | 1.7R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.036% | 8.9R | -0.400% | 1.7R | 5.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.079% | 9.1R | -0.400% | 1.7R | 5.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.943% | 21.5R | -0.400% | 1.7R | 12.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -4.96% | -0.05 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.73 | range_high | -0.10% | +0.65 | 04/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.64 | range_medium | +0.50% | +0.05 | 04/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -1.0ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.33% | -0.03 | 04/08 08:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.582×ATR | p13 | +0.989×ATR | p80 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 24b | — | 7.759×ATR | p100 | +0.749×ATR | p66 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 2.735×ATR | p59 | -0.475×ATR | p49 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 2.862×ATR | p52 | -0.954×ATR | p73 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63692.6
0.00137202
63780
0.353246
63524.6
0.00401953
63780
0.421382
63384.2
0.00638534
63789
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0.336
0.2445
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0.5833
0.7502
0.3241
0.6353
0.8367
0.0896
0.1364
1
0.1162
2.48
0.65
0.35
1
10
1
0.5109
0.5479
3.9765
0.6
2.2136
4.3256
2.48
0.1838
0.1906
0.5
-0.2638
0.462
0.5148
0.8156
0.8367
-2.9134
14.9243
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:20 | 0.82797000 | -0.004% |
| 2 | 08:26 | 0.82829000 | +0.035% |
| 3 | 08:32 | 0.82682000 | -0.143% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 08:00:00 | 0.83667 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 08:30:00 | 0.82969 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 08:50:00 | 0.83787 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 09:30:00 | 0.83796 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 10:05:00 | 0.83794 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 10:30:00 | 0.83195 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 10:45:00 | 0.83652 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 11:25:00 | 0.83115 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 11:55:00 | 0.83408 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 12:15:00 | 0.82797 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 15:00:00 | 0.81419 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 17:15:00 | 0.82992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 18:45:00 | 0.83152 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 20:45:00 | 0.81874 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 22:15:00 | 0.82475 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 23:30:00 | 0.82008 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:30:00 | 0.84703 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 08:30:00 | 0.82969 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 09:30:00 | 0.83796 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 12:15:00 | 0.82797 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 07:00:00 | 0.76058 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 14:00:00 | 0.78392 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 0.76317 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 0.79923 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 09:00:00 | 0.80063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 0.79096 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 03:00:00 | 0.7871 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 0.83152 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 02:00:00 | 0.84703 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 08:00:00 | 0.82969 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.828 | 0.8261 | 0.8316 | 1.89 | 1.24 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8261 - 0.828 = -0.0019
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.828 - 0.8316 = -0.0036
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0036 / -0.0019 = 1.8947
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3607.8893 | 100 | 4357.5121 | 36.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0019 = -4210.53
Taille de position USD = -4210.53 x 0.828 = -3486.32
Donc, tu peux acheter -4210.53 avec un stoploss a 0.8261
Avec un position size USD de -3486.32$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4210.53 x -0.0019 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4210.53 x -0.0036 = 15.16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.43 % | 15.69 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.23 % | 8.28 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.28 $ | -0.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2766 % | 120.52 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.828 | 0.8261 | 0.8316 | 1.89 | 1.24 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8261 - 0.828 = -0.0019
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.828 - 0.8316 = -0.0036
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0036 / -0.0019 = 1.8947
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.336% | 1.5R | -0.150% | 0.7R | 2.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.336% | 1.5R | -0.400% | 1.7R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.036% | 8.9R | -0.400% | 1.7R | 5.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.079% | 9.1R | -0.400% | 1.7R | 5.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.943% | 21.5R | -0.400% | 1.7R | 12.4× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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