Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 478.84 AVAX at 6.787$ per unit. Take profit: 6.8199 (0.49 %) & Stop Loss: 6.7698 (0.25 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 478.84 AVAX at 6.787$ per unit. Take profit: 6.8199 (0.49 %) & Stop Loss: 6.7698 (0.25 %)
Position
Entry 6.7865$
Qty 478.8412 AVAX
Size 3249.6558$ (margin 100$) (leverage 32)
Risk Setup
TP 6.8199 (+0.49%)
TP $ 15.99$
SL 6.7698 (-0.25%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9567
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.70×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.35×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 04/08 08:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.409778 15m : 0.415428 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 04/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 04/08 08:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6464 | r1h: 0.103% · r4h: -0.309% · r1d: 5.81% · r3d: 7.61% · ema21_slope: 0.2483% · dist_ema21: 1.331% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5849 | rs_1h: -0.054% · rs_4h: -0.592% · rs_1d: 3.72% · rs_3d: 6.35% · beta_24h: 1.489 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2651 | rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.195 · trend: 8.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8424 | ADX: 41.1 (trend) · Chop: 28.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.975% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.707% | 2.9R | -0.298% | 1.2R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.707% | 2.9R | -1.275% | 5.2R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.707% | 2.9R | -1.444% | 5.9R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.707% | 2.9R | -1.459% | 5.9R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.707% | 2.9R | -2.094% | 8.5R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.76 | bear_high | -4.96% | +0.29 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | range_high | -0.10% | +0.49 | 04/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | range_medium | +0.50% | +0.39 | 04/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.35% | +0.00 | 04/08 08:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.456×ATR | p0 | +0.832×ATR | p76 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 3.574×ATR | p67 | +0.985×ATR | p83 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 2.734×ATR | p61 | +0.132×ATR | p13 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.641×ATR | p0 | -0.062×ATR | p5 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63694.3
0.0016116
63797
0.409778
63524.4
0.00386524
63770
0.415428
63384.2
0.00638534
63789
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6.98
189
0.7062
0.6502
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0.2055
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0.3338
0.5573
0.6282
0.7573
0.6262
0.8176
0.142
0.1296
1
1.2079
3.0596
0.45
0.55
1
10
1
0.5891
0.495
8.2937
0.65
2.0504
11.47
3.0596
0
0.2645
0.66
0.2419
0.4557
0.5593
0.8216
0.8176
-2.8531
12.7874
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 07:55:00 | 6.8332 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 08:30:00 | 6.7622 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 09:15:00 | 6.7598 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 10:10:00 | 6.8135 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 10:25:00 | 6.7867 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 10:45:00 | 6.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 11:00:00 | 6.7943 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 11:35:00 | 6.7976 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 11:50:00 | 6.8231 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 12:20:00 | 6.7865 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 12:00:00 | 6.4175 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 14:15:00 | 6.5456 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:45:00 | 6.497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:00:00 | 6.5508 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:30:00 | 6.594 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 6.5455 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:45:00 | 6.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 04:45:00 | 6.9081 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 09:15:00 | 6.7598 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 10:45:00 | 6.85 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 23:00:00 | 6.3783 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 6.4476 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 6.3203 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 6.3858 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 6.0382 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 6.6806 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 18:00:00 | 6.6688 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 6.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:00:00 | 6.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 09:00:00 | 6.7598 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7865 | 6.7698 | 6.8199 | 2 | 11.276 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.7698 - 6.7865 = -0.0167
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.7865 - 6.8199 = -0.033399999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.033399999999999 / -0.0167 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3249.6558 | 100 | 478.8412 | 32.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0167 = -479.04
Taille de position USD = -479.04 x 6.7865 = -3251
Donc, tu peux acheter -479.04 avec un stoploss a 6.7698
Avec un position size USD de -3251$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -479.04 x -0.0167 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -479.04 x -0.033399999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.49 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.25 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.99 $ | 0.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0545 % | 22.15 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7865 | 6.7698 | 6.8199 | 2 | 11.276 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.7698 - 6.7865 = -0.0167
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.7865 - 6.8199 = -0.033399999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.033399999999999 / -0.0167 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.707% | 2.9R | -0.298% | 1.2R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.707% | 2.9R | -1.275% | 5.2R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.707% | 2.9R | -1.444% | 5.9R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.707% | 2.9R | -1.459% | 5.9R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.707% | 2.9R | -2.094% | 8.5R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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