Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 307.09 AVAX at 6.739$ per unit. Take profit: 6.7913 (0.77 %) & Stop Loss: 6.7131 (0.39 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 307.09 AVAX at 6.739$ per unit. Take profit: 6.7913 (0.77 %) & Stop Loss: 6.7131 (0.39 %)
Position
Entry 6.7392$
Qty 307.0942 AVAX
Size 2069.5691$ (margin 100$) (leverage 21)
Risk Setup
TP 6.7913 (+0.77%)
TP $ 16$
SL 6.7131 (-0.39%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9539
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.62×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.35×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 04/08 09:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.478245 15m : 0.430073 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 04/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 04/08 09:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6603 | r1h: -0.085% · r4h: 0.662% · r1d: 5.83% · r3d: 7.35% · ema21_slope: 0.2531% · dist_ema21: 1.229% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5916 | rs_1h: -0.159% · rs_4h: 0.050% · rs_1d: 3.80% · rs_3d: 5.96% · beta_24h: 1.501 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3979 | rvol_20: 0.97× · zscore_50: 0.417 · trend: 21.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8443 | ADX: 41.3 (trend) · Chop: 30.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.947% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.381% | 1.0R | -0.582% | 1.5R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.381% | 1.0R | -0.752% | 1.9R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.381% | 1.0R | -0.752% | 1.9R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.381% | 1.0R | -0.767% | 2.0R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.381% | 1.0R | -1.407% | 3.6R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.76 | bear_high | -4.96% | +0.29 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | range_high | +0.10% | +0.48 | 04/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | range_medium | +0.70% | +0.38 | 04/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | range_medium |
36%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.45 | range_low | +0.38% | -0.10 | 04/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.456×ATR | p0 | +0.832×ATR | p76 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 3.561×ATR | p67 | +1.019×ATR | p85 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 2.742×ATR | p61 | +0.121×ATR | p12 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 3.356×ATR | p61 | -1.788×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63747.9
0.00139735
63837
0.478245
63561.3
0.00433752
63837
0.430073
63423.5
0.00790686
63925
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.458452722063
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.71895618213556
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.2574928252315
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[detected_trend] => downtrend
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
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6.98
188
0.7057
0.6502
0.28
0.1986
0.3467
1
0.3293
0.5585
0.6282
0.796
0.6221
0.8178
0.139
0.1291
1
1.1152
2.9638
0.45
0.55
1
11
1
0.6028
0.495
8.2937
0.65
2.0504
11.47
2.9638
0
0.2799
0.66
0.3283
0.4605
0.5511
0.7948
0.8178
-2.8643
12.856
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:30 | 6.73920000 | 0% |
| 2 | 09:36 | 6.75560000 | +0.243% |
| 3 | 09:48 | 6.73910000 | -0.001% |
| 4 | 10:00 | 6.73910000 | -0.001% |
| 5 | 10:12 | 6.72840000 | -0.16% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 10:10:00 | 6.8135 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 10:25:00 | 6.7867 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 10:45:00 | 6.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 11:00:00 | 6.7943 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 11:35:00 | 6.7976 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 11:50:00 | 6.8231 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 12:20:00 | 6.7819 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 12:35:00 | 6.8215 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 13:05:00 | 6.8345 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 13:30:00 | 6.7193 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 15:45:00 | 6.497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 16:00:00 | 6.5508 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 19:30:00 | 6.594 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 6.5455 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:45:00 | 6.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 04:45:00 | 6.9081 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 09:15:00 | 6.7598 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 10:45:00 | 6.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 13:00:00 | 6.8345 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 13:30:00 | 6.7193 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 23:00:00 | 6.3783 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 6.4476 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 10:00:00 | 6.3203 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 16:00:00 | 6.3858 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 6.0382 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 05:00:00 | 6.6806 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 18:00:00 | 6.6688 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 08:00:00 | 6.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 02:00:00 | 6.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 09:00:00 | 6.7598 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7392 | 6.7131 | 6.7913 | 2 | 11.135 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.7131 - 6.7392 = -0.0261
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.7392 - 6.7913 = -0.052099999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.052099999999999 / -0.0261 = 1.9962
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2069.5691 | 100 | 307.0942 | 21.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0261 = -306.51
Taille de position USD = -306.51 x 6.7392 = -2065.63
Donc, tu peux acheter -306.51 avec un stoploss a 6.7131
Avec un position size USD de -2065.63$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -306.51 x -0.0261 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -306.51 x -0.052099999999999 = 15.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.77 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.39 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -0.39 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5817 % | 150.19 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7392 | 6.7131 | 6.7913 | 2 | 11.135 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.7131 - 6.7392 = -0.0261
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.7392 - 6.7913 = -0.052099999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.052099999999999 / -0.0261 = 1.9962
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[result] => loss
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[result] => loss
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.381% | 1.0R | -0.582% | 1.5R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.381% | 1.0R | -0.752% | 1.9R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.381% | 1.0R | -0.752% | 1.9R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.381% | 1.0R | -0.767% | 2.0R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.381% | 1.0R | -1.407% | 3.6R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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