Long Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1820.15 FARTCOIN at 0.135$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1465 (8.12 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1311 (3.25 %)
04 Aug 2026 at 16:09:54
hyperliquid
FARTCOIN
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
04 Aug 2026 16:09
→ 04:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1355$
Qty 1820.1467 FARTCOIN
Size 246.6117$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1465 (+8.12%)
TP $ 20.02$
SL 0.1311 (-3.25%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.59%
/ +1.46$
MAE -1.00%
MFE +2.86%
0.9R
expires
05 Aug 04:09
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 58616)
#2 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 04/08/2026 16:00
score du 04/08/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5472
Quality Score
0.788
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
04/08 16:02
04/08 16:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#2 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.33×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.83×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 12.24×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 04/08 16:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 04/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 04/08 15:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1292
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué :
04/08 16:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
04/08/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.7884
Score SMA
0.5641
Rank
#2
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5472
Rank Norm SMA
0.6743
Calculé le
04/08/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7192 | r1h: 2.325% · r4h: 3.351% · r1d: 3.42% · r3d: 7.02% · ema21_slope: 0.0408% · dist_ema21: 3.162% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7184 | rs_1h: 2.185% · rs_4h: 2.935% · rs_1d: 2.60% · rs_3d: 4.05% · beta_24h: 1.729 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9531 | rvol_20: 3.12× · zscore_50: 2.814 · trend: 74.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6828 | ADX: 23.9 (weak) · Chop: 40.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.422% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.247%
(0.0044)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.864% | 0.9R | -0.701% | 0.2R | 4.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.864% | 0.9R | -0.701% | 0.2R | 4.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.864% | 0.9R | -0.701% | 0.2R | 4.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.864% | 0.9R | -1.004% | 0.3R | 2.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.864% | 0.9R | -1.004% | 0.3R | 2.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.864% | 0.9R | -3.137% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.76
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -4.55% | -0.81 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.65 | range_high | +0.60% | +0.20 | 04/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -1.3ATR | 0.65 | bull_medium | +1.27% | +0.05 | 04/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | explosive | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | 0.56 | bull_low | +0.87% | +0.35 | 04/08 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 32b | — | 5.31×ATR | p73 | +0.518×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 2.56×ATR | p28 | +0.767×ATR | p69 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.186×ATR | p74 | +1.444×ATR | p91 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 6.399×ATR | p100 | +1.914×ATR | p97 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7643
- reason: up_bo width=2.01×ATR dur=29b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.13109475
- tp_price: 0.14647814
- atr:
- score: 0.76432734896618
- expires_at: 2026-08-05T08:09:46.269705
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.76432734896618
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1305
- obi_top10 : 0.1055
- micro_price : 0.13609828
- spread_pct : 0.073529
- mid_price : 0.13605
- bid_wall_price : 0.135
- bid_wall_size : 1681397.46
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.137
- ask_wall_size : 1665009.66
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1305
- obi_top5_std : 0
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7087
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.13314
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.12942
- balance_zone_mid:
0.13128
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785772800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785873600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.008
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
29
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7643
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785870000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.13314
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8276
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.2685
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
2
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00185255 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
29
inside_close_ratio
0.8276
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.2685
Signaux confirmants (10)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.13549000 | -0.007% |
| 2 | 16:15 | 0.13549000 | -0.007% |
| 3 | 16:21 | 0.13491000 | -0.435% |
| 4 | 16:27 | 0.13491000 | -0.435% |
| 5 | 16:34 | 0.13491000 | -0.435% |
| 6 | 16:39 | 0.13674000 | +0.915% |
| 7 | 16:45 | 0.13674000 | +0.915% |
| 8 | 16:51 | 0.13639000 | +0.657% |
| 9 | 16:57 | 0.13639000 | +0.657% |
| 10 | 17:05 | 0.13639000 | +0.657% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7087ms
Confidence avant OB :
76%
→
76%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.131
avg 0.131
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.106
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1361
Micro Price
0.1361
Spread
0.0735%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1350
Size
1,681,397.46
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1370
Size
1,665,009.66
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1355 | 0.1311 | 0.1465 | 2.5 | 0.1791 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1355
- Stop Loss: 0.1311
- Take Profit: 0.1465
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1311 - 0.1355 = -0.0044
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1355 - 0.1465 = -0.011
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.011 / -0.0044 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 246.6117 | 100 | 1820.1467 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0044
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0044 = -1818.18
Taille de position USD = -1818.18 x 0.1355 = -246.36
Donc, tu peux acheter -1818.18 avec un stoploss a 0.1311
Avec un position size USD de -246.36$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1818.18 x -0.0044 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1818.18 x -0.011 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1818.18
- Taille de position USD -246.36
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.12 % | 20.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.25 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.46 $ | 0.59 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0037 % | 30.91 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1355 | 0.1311 | 0.1465 | 2.5 | 0.1791 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1355
- Stop Loss: 0.1311
- Take Profit: 0.1465
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1311 - 0.1355 = -0.0044
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1355 - 0.1465 = -0.011
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.011 / -0.0044 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.247%
(0.0044)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.864% | 0.9R | -0.701% | 0.2R | 4.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.864% | 0.9R | -0.701% | 0.2R | 4.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.864% | 0.9R | -0.701% | 0.2R | 4.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.864% | 0.9R | -1.004% | 0.3R | 2.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.864% | 0.9R | -1.004% | 0.3R | 2.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.864% | 0.9R | -3.137% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 288 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.