Short Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 658.04 ETHFI at 0.361$ per unit. Take profit: 0.352 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3732 (3.38 %)
04 Aug 2026 at 17:10:09
hyperliquid
ETHFI
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
04 Aug 2026 17:10
→ 20:05
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.361$
Qty 658.043 ETHFI
Size 237.5798$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.352 (+2.49%)
TP $ 5.92$
SL 0.3732 (-3.38%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 0.74
Status
win
PnL
+2.49%
/ +5.92$
MAE -0.76%
MFE +3.36%
1.0R
expires
04 Aug 23:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 58657)
#43 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 04/08/2026 17:00
score du 04/08/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2071
Quality Score
0.445
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
04/08 17:01
04/08 17:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#43 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.38 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#43 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.38 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 4.30×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.40×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 04/08 17:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 04/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 04/08 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1293
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | -1 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué :
04/08 17:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
04/08/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.4448
Score SMA
0.4981
Rank
#43
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2071
Rank Norm SMA
0.3960
Calculé le
04/08/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2601 | r1h: -0.560% · r4h: 0.827% · r1d: -9.97% · r3d: -8.46% · ema21_slope: -0.4159% · dist_ema21: -3.978% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2508 | rs_1h: -0.808% · rs_4h: 0.142% · rs_1d: -10.91% · rs_3d: -11.21% · beta_24h: -0.593 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3554 | rvol_20: 0.70× · zscore_50: 0.190 · trend: 33.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8866 | ADX: 46.4 (trend) · Chop: 21.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.433% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.380%
(0.0122)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.524% | 0.2R | -0.236% | 0.1R | 2.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.524% | 0.2R | -0.236% | 0.1R | 2.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.360% | 1.0R | -0.236% | 0.1R | 14.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.360% | 1.0R | -0.762% | 0.2R | 4.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.360% | 1.0R | -0.762% | 0.2R | 4.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.360% | 1.0R | -2.069% | 0.6R | 1.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.94
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.64 | bear_high | -4.55% | -0.94 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.42 | range_high | +0.38% | -0.81 | 04/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
60%
|
choppy 56% | mid | — | — | 0.41 | bull_medium | +1.26% | -0.82 | 04/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | — | bull_low | +0.83% | -0.09 | 04/08 16:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 4.039×ATR | p29 | -1.32×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 5.328×ATR | p86 | -1.752×ATR | p95 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 1.188×ATR | p0 | -0.839×ATR | p65 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.822×ATR | p7 | -0.644×ATR | p50 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.37319726
- tp_price: 0.352014
- atr: 0.00486291
- expires_at: 2026-08-05T03:10:09+00:00
Details
- rank: 46
- total: 47
- score: 0.2601
- delta_2h: -0.0596
- extension_atr: -2.85
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2071
- confidence: 0.978
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:10 | 0.36104000 | +0.011% |
| 2 | 18:10 | 0.35992000 | -0.299% |
| 3 | 19:10 | 0.36015000 | -0.235% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.361 | 0.3732 | 0.352 | 0.74 | 0.771 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.361
- Stop Loss: 0.3732
- Take Profit: 0.352
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3732 - 0.361 = 0.0122
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.361 - 0.352 = 0.009
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.009 / 0.0122 = 0.7377
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 237.5798 | 100 | 658.043 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0122
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0122 = 655.74
Taille de position USD = 655.74 x 0.361 = 236.72
Donc, tu peux acheter 655.74 avec un stoploss a 0.3732
Avec un position size USD de 236.72$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 655.74 x 0.0122 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 655.74 x 0.009 = 5.9
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.9$
Résumé
- Taille de position 655.74
- Taille de position USD 236.72
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.9
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7377
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 5.92 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.38 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.92 $ | 2.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2355 % | 6.97 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.361 | 0.3732 | 0.352 | 0.74 | 0.771 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.361
- Stop Loss: 0.3732
- Take Profit: 0.352
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3732 - 0.361 = 0.0122
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.361 - 0.352 = 0.009
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.009 / 0.0122 = 0.7377
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.380%
(0.0122)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.524% | 0.2R | -0.236% | 0.1R | 2.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.524% | 0.2R | -0.236% | 0.1R | 2.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.360% | 1.0R | -0.236% | 0.1R | 14.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.360% | 1.0R | -0.762% | 0.2R | 4.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.360% | 1.0R | -0.762% | 0.2R | 4.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.360% | 1.0R | -2.069% | 0.6R | 1.6× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.