Short Trade on KAITO

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04 Aug 2026 at 17:10:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 158.47 KAITO at 0.913$ per unit. Take profit: 0.89 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.9633 (5.53 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 04 Aug 2026 17:10 → 23:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.9128$

Qty 158.4662 KAITO

Size 144.6512$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.89 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.61$

SL 0.9633 (-5.53%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.45

Status loss PnL -0.22% / -0.32$ MAE -2.04% MFE +0.96% 0.2R expires 04 Aug 23:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 58666)

#45 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 04/08/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0566

Quality Score

0.377

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

5.0M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
04/08 17:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#45 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.53 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#45 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.53 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	clear	0.91×ATR
1d	clear	1.48×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1) 04/08 17:00 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low (-1)

04/08 17:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 04/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 04/08 16:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

03/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

04/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

04/08 16:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1293

range compression range_bound

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	range	compression	—	0
Tactical	bull	expansion	—	-1
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.50

Transition risk : 0.50

Score contribution (this trade) -1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.70

Snapshot évalué : 04/08 17:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 04/08/2026 17:00

Score brut

0.3767

Score SMA

0.3377

Rank

#45 / 45

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0566

Rank Norm SMA

0.0189

Calculé le

04/08/2026 17:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3054	r1h: -1.014% · r4h: 2.205% · r1d: -0.88% · r3d: -23.23% · ema21_slope: -0.1418% · dist_ema21: -0.324%
Force Relative	25%	0.3313	rs_1h: -1.261% · rs_4h: 1.520% · rs_1d: -1.82% · rs_3d: -25.98% · beta_24h: 0.239
Volume	20%	0.1672	rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.760 · trend: -36.56%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4587	ADX: 15.2 (weak) · Chop: 58.9 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.337% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.532% (0.0505)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.959%	0.2R	-2.037%	0.4R	0.5×	12
2h	+0.959%	0.2R	-2.037%	0.4R	0.5×	24
4h	+0.959%	0.2R	-2.037%	0.4R	0.5×	48
6h ★	+0.959%	0.2R	-2.037%	0.4R	0.5×	72
8h	+0.959%	0.2R	-2.037%	0.4R	0.5×	96
12h	+0.959%	0.2R	-5.225%	0.9R	0.2×	144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.63

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 36%	mid	—	—	0.41	bear_high	-4.55%	+0.96	03/08 20:00
4h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 45%	late	—	—	0.01	range_high	+0.38%	-0.98	04/08 16:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 37%	early	—	near -0.9ATR	-0.13	bull_medium	+1.26%	-0.25	04/08 16:00
15m	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	expansion	range_high	43%	noisy_chop 46%	early	near -0.7ATR	—	0.10	bull_low	+0.83%	+0.26	04/08 16:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	6b	—	3.221×ATR	p15	-0.699×ATR	p60
4h	↓ down	late	19b	—	5.792×ATR	p89	-0.172×ATR	p20
1h	↑ up	early	6b	—	1.737×ATR	p7	+0.149×ATR	p12
15m	↓ down	early	7b	—	2.717×ATR	p39	-0.462×ATR	p41

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.96330394
tp_price: 0.8899995
atr: 0.02019357
expires_at: 2026-08-05T03:10:09+00:00

Details

rank: 45
total: 47
score: 0.3054
delta_2h: -0.0464
extension_atr: -0.04
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0566
confidence: 0.957

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (3)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	17:10	0.91282000	+0.002%
2	18:10	0.91869000	+0.645%
3	19:10	0.91670000	+0.427%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.9128	0.9633	0.89	0.45	0.3635

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.9128
Stop Loss: 0.9633
Take Profit: 0.89

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.9633 - 0.9128 = 0.0505
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.9128 - 0.89 = 0.0228
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0228 / 0.0505 = 0.4515

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
144.6512	100	158.4662	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0505

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0505 = 158.42

Taille de position USD = 158.42 x 0.9128 = 144.61

Donc, tu peux acheter 158.42 avec un stoploss a 0.9633

Avec un position size USD de 144.61$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 158.42 x 0.0505 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 158.42 x 0.0228 = 3.61

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.61$

Résumé

Taille de position 158.42
Taille de position USD 144.61
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.61
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4515

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	3.61 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.53 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-0.32 $	-0.22

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.0366 %	36.81 %	16

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.9128	0.9633	0.89	0.45	0.3635

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.9128
Stop Loss: 0.9633
Take Profit: 0.89

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.9633 - 0.9128 = 0.0505
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.9128 - 0.89 = 0.0228
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0228 / 0.0505 = 0.4515

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.532% (0.0505)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.959%	0.2R	-2.037%	0.4R	0.5×	12
2h	+0.959%	0.2R	-2.037%	0.4R	0.5×	24
4h	+0.959%	0.2R	-2.037%	0.4R	0.5×	48
6h ★	+0.959%	0.2R	-2.037%	0.4R	0.5×	72
8h	+0.959%	0.2R	-2.037%	0.4R	0.5×	96
12h	+0.959%	0.2R	-5.225%	0.9R	0.2×	144

computed 1 month ago

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