Long Trade on SKR

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04 Aug 2026 at 19:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on SKR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 19021.35 SKR at 0.007$ per unit. Take profit: 0.007176 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.00658 (6.01 %)

SKR LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 04 Aug 2026 19:10 → 20:05 · 54 minutes

Position

Entry 0.007001$

Qty 19021.3515 SKR

Size 133.1685$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.007176 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.33$

SL 0.00658 (-6.01%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.42

Status loss PnL -2.60% / -3.46$ MAE -3.49% MFE +0.14% 0.0R expires 04 Aug 20:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=19 > threshold=10/45

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 58764)

#4 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 04/08/2026 19:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8832

Quality Score

0.608

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

2 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
04/08 19:03

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#4 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.01 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#4 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.01 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	0.89×ATR
4h	near	0.49×ATR
1d	clear	25.70×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	early	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 04/08 19:00 Score : +1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1)

04/08 19:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 04/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 04/08 18:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

03/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

04/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

04/08 18:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1295

range compression range_bound

Strategic	range	compression	—	0
Operational	range	range	—	0
Tactical	bull	expansion	—	+1
Micro	—		—

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.50

Transition risk : 0.50

Score contribution (this trade) +1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Impulse : —

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.70

Snapshot évalué : 04/08 19:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 04/08/2026 19:00

Score brut

0.6084

Score SMA

—

Rank

#4 / 45

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8832

Rank Norm SMA

—

Calculé le

04/08/2026 19:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6910	r1h: -0.267% · r4h: -0.921% · r1d: 9.28% · r3d: 5.61% · ema21_slope: 0.6330% · dist_ema21: 2.326%
Force Relative	25%	0.6032	rs_1h: -0.304% · rs_4h: -0.795% · rs_1d: 8.32% · rs_3d: 3.40% · beta_24h: -2.112
Volume	20%	0.1855	rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -0.502 · trend: -35.80%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7545	ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 27.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.458% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -6.013% (0.0004)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.143%	0.0R	-3.471%	0.6R	0.0×	12
1.2h ★	+0.143%	0.0R	-3.485%	0.6R	0.0×	13
2h	+27.582%	4.6R	-3.485%	0.6R	7.9×	24
4h	+33.210%	5.5R	-3.485%	0.6R	9.5×	48
8h	+39.409%	6.6R	-3.485%	0.6R	11.3×	96
12h	+39.409%	6.6R	-3.485%	0.6R	11.3×	144

computed 1 month ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60

ML Pullback Score: 6.01

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↓ down	pullback	bear_trend	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 45%	early	—	—	—	bear_high	-4.55%	-0.97	03/08 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	volatile_reversal	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	—	near 0.5ATR	0.24	range_high	+0.44%	+0.27	04/08 16:00
1h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	volatile_reversal	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 48%	early	—	—	0.19	bull_medium	+0.95%	+0.69	04/08 18:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	compression	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	—	—	—	range_low	+0.46%	-0.30	04/08 18:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	28b	—	4.857×ATR	p38	+0.386×ATR	p42
4h	↓ down	mid	2b	—	1.932×ATR	p0	+1.076×ATR	p82
1h	↓ down	early	6b	—	1.548×ATR	p4	+0.021×ATR	p0
15m	↓ down	mid	23b	—	4.039×ATR	p78	-0.679×ATR	p54

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.00658042
tp_price: 0.00717602
atr: 0.00016823
expires_at: 2026-08-05T05:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 3
total: 45
score: 0.691
delta_2h: 0.0195
extension_atr: 0.3
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8832
confidence: 0.955

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.007001	0.00658	0.007176	0.42	0.01974

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.007001
Stop Loss: 0.00658
Take Profit: 0.007176

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.00658 - 0.007001 = -0.000421
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.007001 - 0.007176 = -0.000175
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000175 / -0.000421 = 0.4157

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
133.1685	100	19021.3515	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.000421

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000421 = -19002.38

Taille de position USD = -19002.38 x 0.007001 = -133.04

Donc, tu peux acheter -19002.38 avec un stoploss a 0.00658

Avec un position size USD de -133.04$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -19002.38 x -0.000421 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -19002.38 x -0.000175 = 3.33

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.33$

Résumé

Taille de position -19002.38
Taille de position USD -133.04
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.33
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4157

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	3.33 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
6.01 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
-3.46 $	-2.60

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.8567 %	47.51 %	1

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.007001	0.00658	0.007176	0.42	0.01974

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.007001
Stop Loss: 0.00658
Take Profit: 0.007176

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.00658 - 0.007001 = -0.000421
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.007001 - 0.007176 = -0.000175
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000175 / -0.000421 = 0.4157

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.007176
            [entry_price] => 0.007001
            [stop_loss] => 0.0065379
            [rr_ratio] => 0.38
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-05 00:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.007176
            [entry_price] => 0.007001
            [stop_loss] => 0.0064958
            [rr_ratio] => 0.35
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-05 00:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.007176
            [entry_price] => 0.007001
            [stop_loss] => 0.0064537
            [rr_ratio] => 0.32
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-05 00:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.007176
            [entry_price] => 0.007001
            [stop_loss] => 0.0063695
            [rr_ratio] => 0.28
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-05 00:30:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -6.013% (0.0004)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.143%	0.0R	-3.471%	0.6R	0.0×	12
1.2h ★	+0.143%	0.0R	-3.485%	0.6R	0.0×	13
2h	+27.582%	4.6R	-3.485%	0.6R	7.9×	24
4h	+33.210%	5.5R	-3.485%	0.6R	9.5×	48
8h	+39.409%	6.6R	-3.485%	0.6R	11.3×	96
12h	+39.409%	6.6R	-3.485%	0.6R	11.3×	144

computed 1 month ago

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