Long Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.58 ZEC at 507.38$ per unit. Take profit: 520.0645 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 493.6005 (2.72 %)
Long Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.58 ZEC at 507.38$ per unit. Take profit: 520.0645 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 493.6005 (2.72 %)
Position
Entry 507.38$
Qty 0.5806 ZEC
Size 294.5716$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 520.0645 (+2.5%)
TP $ 7.36$
SL 493.6005 (-2.72%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.92
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9109
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.16×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.26×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 04/08 19:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 04/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 04/08 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | range | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | +1 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6875 | r1h: 1.416% · r4h: 0.888% · r1d: 5.92% · r3d: 10.52% · ema21_slope: 0.1787% · dist_ema21: 2.872% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7100 | rs_1h: 1.379% · rs_4h: 1.014% · rs_1d: 4.97% · rs_3d: 8.32% · beta_24h: 1.272 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5786 | rvol_20: 1.54× · zscore_50: 1.019 · trend: 58.29% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7332 | ADX: 28.0 (trend) · Chop: 36.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.122% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.124% | 0.1R | -0.846% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.124% | 0.1R | -0.863% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.160% | 0.8R | -0.863% | 0.3R | 2.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.160% | 0.8R | -0.863% | 0.3R | 2.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.637% | 1.0R | -0.863% | 0.3R | 3.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.637% | 1.0R | -0.863% | 0.3R | 3.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -4.55% | -0.82 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
68%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | near -1.3ATR | 0.66 | range_high | +0.44% | +0.46 | 04/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.61 | bull_medium | +0.95% | +0.35 | 04/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | range_low | +0.46% | +0.12 | 04/08 18:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 20b | — | 2.835×ATR | p0 | +0.741×ATR | p66 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 3.265×ATR | p49 | +0.921×ATR | p78 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 21b | — | 5.148×ATR | p94 | +0.873×ATR | p75 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.4×ATR | p46 | +0.895×ATR | p66 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507.38 | 493.6005 | 520.0645 | 0.92 | 1528.2 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 493.6005 - 507.38 = -13.7795
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 507.38 - 520.0645 = -12.6845
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -12.6845 / -13.7795 = 0.9205
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 294.5716 | 100 | 0.5806 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -13.7795 = -0.58
Taille de position USD = -0.58 x 507.38 = -294.28
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.58 avec un stoploss a 493.6005
Avec un position size USD de -294.28$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.58 x -13.7795 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.58 x -12.6845 = 7.36
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.36$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 7.36 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.72 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.95 $ | 1.68 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8633 % | 31.79 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507.38 | 493.6005 | 520.0645 | 0.92 | 1528.2 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 493.6005 - 507.38 = -13.7795
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 507.38 - 520.0645 = -12.6845
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -12.6845 / -13.7795 = 0.9205
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.124% | 0.1R | -0.846% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.124% | 0.1R | -0.863% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.160% | 0.8R | -0.863% | 0.3R | 2.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.160% | 0.8R | -0.863% | 0.3R | 2.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.637% | 1.0R | -0.863% | 0.3R | 3.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.637% | 1.0R | -0.863% | 0.3R | 3.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Aucun commentaire.