Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 11.62 TAO at 195.62$ per unit. Take profit: 196.9965 (0.7 %) & Stop Loss: 194.9317 (0.35 %)
Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 11.62 TAO at 195.62$ per unit. Take profit: 196.9965 (0.7 %) & Stop Loss: 194.9317 (0.35 %)
Position
Entry 195.62$
Qty 11.6237 TAO
Size 2273.8185$ (margin 100$) (leverage 23)
Risk Setup
TP 196.9965 (+0.7%)
TP $ 16$
SL 194.9317 (-0.35%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7484
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.64×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.46×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 11.15×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 04/08 19:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.482319 15m : 0.609178 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 04/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 04/08 19:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5238 | r1h: -0.218% · r4h: -0.193% · r1d: 2.65% · r3d: 2.38% · ema21_slope: 0.1267% · dist_ema21: 1.394% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5107 | rs_1h: -0.256% · rs_4h: -0.067% · rs_1d: 1.70% · rs_3d: 0.18% · beta_24h: 1.140 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3972 | rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.101 · trend: 95.32% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7547 | ADX: 30.6 (trend) · Chop: 25.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.033% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.532% | 1.5R | -0.251% | 0.7R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.721% | 2.1R | -0.251% | 0.7R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.444% | 6.9R | -0.251% | 0.7R | 9.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.444% | 6.9R | -0.251% | 0.7R | 9.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.444% | 6.9R | -0.251% | 0.7R | 9.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 32% | late | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -4.55% | -0.12 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.70 | range_high | +0.65% | +0.02 | 04/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.63 | bull_medium | +1.26% | +0.21 | 04/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.60 | range_low | +0.38% | -0.02 | 04/08 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 50b | — | 10.518×ATR | p92 | +0.189×ATR | p23 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 2.918×ATR | p49 | +1.054×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.012×ATR | p24 | +0.523×ATR | p52 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 5.188×ATR | p95 | -0.939×ATR | p72 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64166.9
-0.000232883
64152
0.482319
63934.3
0.00340501
64152
0.609178
63440.1
0.0151144
64399
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201.14
196
0.7363
0.6165
0.2933
0.224
0.35
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0.5959
0.6592
0.928
0.5986
0.7153
0.213
0.1043
1
1.3829
2.0635
0.5
0.5
1
3
1
0.552
0.4199
5.5054
0.65
4.5703
8.6558
2.0635
0
0.2592
0.88
0.4434
0.5188
0.5471
0.6582
0.7153
-1.8101
4.5486
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:33 | 195.62000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:39 | 195.63000000 | +0.005% |
| 3 | 20:09 | 195.50000000 | -0.061% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 15:50:00 | 192.68 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 16:40:00 | 191.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 17:30:00 | 194.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 19:15:00 | 199.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 20:05:00 | 201.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 20:15:00 | 197.47 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 22:00:00 | 197.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 22:15:00 | 196.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 23:00:00 | 197.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 23:30:00 | 195.53 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 03:15:00 | 190.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 05:15:00 | 190.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 05:45:00 | 191.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 07:15:00 | 189.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 09:45:00 | 189.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 14:15:00 | 190.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 15:00:00 | 192.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 201.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 23:00:00 | 197.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 23:30:00 | 195.53 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 199.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 18:00:00 | 189.53 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 04:00:00 | 195.82 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 191.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 21:00:00 | 194.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 13:00:00 | 187.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 22:00:00 | 193.64 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 01:00:00 | 189.49 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 09:00:00 | 189.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 201.14 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195.62 | 194.9317 | 196.9965 | 2 | 310.68 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 194.9317 - 195.62 = -0.6883
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 195.62 - 196.9965 = -1.3765
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.3765 / -0.6883 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2273.8185 | 100 | 11.6237 | 23.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.6883 = -11.62
Taille de position USD = -11.62 x 195.62 = -2273.1
Donc, tu peux acheter -11.62 avec un stoploss a 194.9317
Avec un position size USD de -2273.1$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -11.62 x -0.6883 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -11.62 x -1.3765 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.7 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.35 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.70 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2505 % | 71.18 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195.62 | 194.9317 | 196.9965 | 2 | 310.68 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 194.9317 - 195.62 = -0.6883
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 195.62 - 196.9965 = -1.3765
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.3765 / -0.6883 = 1.9999
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.532% | 1.5R | -0.251% | 0.7R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.721% | 2.1R | -0.251% | 0.7R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.444% | 6.9R | -0.251% | 0.7R | 9.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.444% | 6.9R | -0.251% | 0.7R | 9.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.444% | 6.9R | -0.251% | 0.7R | 9.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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