Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 294550.81 PUMP at 0.00242$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002475 (2.23 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002394 (1.12 %)
Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 294550.81 PUMP at 0.00242$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002475 (2.23 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002394 (1.12 %)
Position
Entry 0.002421$
Qty 294550.81 PUMP
Size 713.1075$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002475 (+2.23%)
TP $ 15.91$
SL 0.002394 (-1.12%)
SL $ 7.95$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9293
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.21×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 04/08 19:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.204782 15m : 0.441248 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 03/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 04/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 04/08 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8564 | r1h: -1.052% · r4h: 4.176% · r1d: 14.95% · r3d: 15.33% · ema21_slope: 0.4335% · dist_ema21: 6.159% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7786 | rs_1h: -1.090% · rs_4h: 4.302% · rs_1d: 13.99% · rs_3d: 13.13% · beta_24h: 3.239 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4021 | rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.147 · trend: 102.56% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7736 | ADX: 32.8 (trend) · Chop: 24.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.487% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.239% | 1.1R | -0.496% | 0.4R | 2.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.239% | 1.1R | -1.446% | 1.3R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.281% | 1.2R | -1.446% | 1.3R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.098% | 2.8R | -1.446% | 1.3R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.494% | 4.9R | -1.446% | 1.3R | 3.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.61 | bear_high | -4.55% | +1.00 | 03/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.49 | range_high | +0.65% | +0.88 | 04/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.36 | bull_medium | +1.26% | +0.78 | 04/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.38% | +0.49 | 04/08 19:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 21b | — | 5.211×ATR | p80 | +1.12×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 4.4×ATR | p68 | +1.952×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.879×ATR | p22 | +0.907×ATR | p76 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 3.358×ATR | p65 | -0.436×ATR | p45 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64166.9
-0.000232883
64152
0.204782
63934.3
0.00340501
64152
0.441248
63435.1
0.0112526
64149
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0.2746
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1
1.9655
3.2718
0.85
0.15
1
3
1
0.5876
0.7477
5.6449
0.65
4.8116
7.7417
3.2718
0.1354
0.3651
0.92
0.5033
0.5255
0.4767
0.705
0.8143
-1.6674
7.312
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 17:15:00 | 0.002255 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 17:30:00 | 0.002237 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 17:55:00 | 0.002237 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 19:30:00 | 0.00245 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 20:55:00 | 0.002559 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 21:15:00 | 0.002482 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 21:25:00 | 0.002551 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 22:45:00 | 0.002433 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 23:10:00 | 0.00247 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 23:30:00 | 0.00242 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 07:15:00 | 0.002197 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 07:45:00 | 0.002275 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 09:15:00 | 0.002211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 09:45:00 | 0.002268 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 11:45:00 | 0.002264 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 13:15:00 | 0.002224 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 15:00:00 | 0.002296 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 16:45:00 | 0.002227 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 20:45:00 | 0.002559 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 23:30:00 | 0.00242 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 02:00:00 | 0.002288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-02 12:00:00 | 0.002129 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-02 16:00:00 | 0.002186 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 05:00:00 | 0.002044 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 09:00:00 | 0.002148 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-03 15:00:00 | 0.002077 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-03 18:00:00 | 0.002258 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 00:00:00 | 0.002104 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-04 07:00:00 | 0.002275 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-04 20:00:00 | 0.002559 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002421 | 0.002394 | 0.002475 | 2 | 0.004558 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002394 - 0.002421 = -2.7E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002421 - 0.002475 = -5.4E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.4E-5 / -2.7E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 713.1075 | 100 | 294550.81 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.7E-5 = -296296.3
Taille de position USD = -296296.3 x 0.002421 = -717.33
Donc, tu peux acheter -296296.3 avec un stoploss a 0.002394
Avec un position size USD de -717.33$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -296296.3 x -2.7E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -296296.3 x -5.4E-5 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.23 % | 15.91 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.12 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.95 $ | -1.12 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1979 % | 107.42 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002421 | 0.002394 | 0.002475 | 2 | 0.004558 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002394 - 0.002421 = -2.7E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002421 - 0.002475 = -5.4E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.4E-5 / -2.7E-5 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.239% | 1.1R | -0.496% | 0.4R | 2.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.239% | 1.1R | -1.446% | 1.3R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.281% | 1.2R | -1.446% | 1.3R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.098% | 2.8R | -1.446% | 1.3R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.494% | 4.9R | -1.446% | 1.3R | 3.8× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
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