Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 648.36 LDO at 0.277$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2699 (2.53 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2892 (4.44 %)
04 Aug 2026 at 21:10:05
hyperliquid
LDO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
04 Aug 2026 21:10
→ 02:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.2769$
Qty 648.3592 LDO
Size 179.5112$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2699 (+2.53%)
TP $ 4.54$
SL 0.2892 (-4.44%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 0.57
Status
loss
PnL
-3.24%
/ -5.82$
MAE -4.10%
MFE +0.53%
0.1R
expires
05 Aug 02:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=14 <= threshold=33/43
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 58820)
#45 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 04/08/2026 21:00
score du 04/08/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0170
Quality Score
0.377
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
10.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
04/08 21:00
04/08 21:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#45 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.44 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#45 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.44 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.79×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.38×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_low Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 04/08 21:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 04/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 04/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 04/08 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1297
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Tactical | bull | expansion | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.50
Transition risk :
0.50
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.70
Snapshot évalué :
04/08 21:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
04/08/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.3772
Score SMA
0.4348
Rank
#45
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0170
Rank Norm SMA
0.0907
Calculé le
04/08/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1474 | r1h: -0.979% · r4h: -0.816% · r1d: -15.51% · r3d: -15.84% · ema21_slope: -0.6782% · dist_ema21: -5.453% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2033 | rs_1h: -0.931% · rs_4h: -0.379% · rs_1d: -16.62% · rs_3d: -17.79% · beta_24h: -0.920 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1998 | rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.104 · trend: -44.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9477 | ADX: 53.7 (trend) · Chop: 36.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.860% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
5.2h)
Initial Risk: -4.442%
(0.0123)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.531% | 0.1R | -0.282% | 0.1R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.531% | 0.1R | -2.564% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.531% | 0.1R | -2.817% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 5.2h ★ | +0.531% | 0.1R | -4.103% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 61 |
| 8h | +0.531% | 0.1R | -7.440% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.531% | 0.1R | -8.732% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.24
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.69 | bear_high | -4.59% | -0.99 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | 0.39 | range_high | +0.12% | -0.94 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
49%
|
choppy 56% | early | — | — | 0.36 | range_medium | +0.68% | -0.93 | 04/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -1.8ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.19% | -0.15 | 04/08 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 5.529×ATR | p69 | -1.8×ATR | p97 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 32b | — | 11.326×ATR | p100 | -2.141×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.802×ATR | p8 | -0.836×ATR | p59 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 2.744×ATR | p33 | -1.336×ATR | p83 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.28920884
- tp_price: 0.26994825
- atr: 0.00493554
- expires_at: 2026-08-05T07:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 45
- total: 45
- score: 0.1474
- delta_2h: -0.1019
- extension_atr: -2.81
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.017
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:10 | 0.27687000 | -0.011% |
| 2 | 22:10 | 0.27596000 | -0.339% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2769 | 0.2892 | 0.2699 | 0.57 | 0.4484 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2769
- Stop Loss: 0.2892
- Take Profit: 0.2699
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2892 - 0.2769 = 0.0123
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2769 - 0.2699 = 0.007
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.007 / 0.0123 = 0.5691
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 179.5112 | 100 | 648.3592 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0123
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0123 = 650.41
Taille de position USD = 650.41 x 0.2769 = 180.1
Donc, tu peux acheter 650.41 avec un stoploss a 0.2892
Avec un position size USD de 180.1$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 650.41 x 0.0123 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 650.41 x 0.007 = 4.55
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.55$
Résumé
- Taille de position 650.41
- Taille de position USD 180.1
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.55
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5691
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.53 % | 4.54 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.44 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -5.82 $ | -3.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.1026 % | 92.36 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2769 | 0.2892 | 0.2699 | 0.57 | 0.4484 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2769
- Stop Loss: 0.2892
- Take Profit: 0.2699
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2892 - 0.2769 = 0.0123
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2769 - 0.2699 = 0.007
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.007 / 0.0123 = 0.5691
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2699
[entry_price] => 0.2769
[stop_loss] => 0.29043
[rr_ratio] => 0.52
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-05 06:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
5.2h)
Initial Risk: -4.442%
(0.0123)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.531% | 0.1R | -0.282% | 0.1R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.531% | 0.1R | -2.564% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.531% | 0.1R | -2.817% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 5.2h ★ | +0.531% | 0.1R | -4.103% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 61 |
| 8h | +0.531% | 0.1R | -7.440% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.531% | 0.1R | -8.732% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 month ago
Commentaires
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